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There’s simply no way you don’t go 1-2 feet with local amounts to 3 feet. Thats the map

Sunday Snow before 10am, then snow, possibly mixed with rain between 10am and 4pm, then snow after 4pm. High near 36. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Sunday Night Snow. Low around 29. Light and variable wind becoming north 5 to 9 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Thats my NWS forecast.

Here’s the data corresponding to the only two locations whereby I personally compiled top 10 lists a couple of years ago for this general area: Philadelphia, PA: 1) 31.0” Jan. 6-8, 1996 2) 28.5” Feb. 5-6, 2010 3) 23.2” Dec. 19-20, 2009 4) 22.4” Jan. 23-24, 2016 5) 21.3” Feb. 11-12, 1983 6) 21.0” Dec. 25-26, 1909 7) 19.4” April 3-4, 1915 8. 18.9” Feb. 12-14, 1899 9. 18.7” Feb. 16-17, 2003 10. 16.7” Jan. 22-24, 1935 New Brunswick, NJ: 26.9 inches January 2016 22.6 inches January 1996 20.9 inches Feb 2003 20.8 inches Feb 1961 20.7 inches Feb 2006 20 inches Feb 1899 19.5 inches December 1947 19.5 inches Feb 2010 18.5 inches Dec 1948 17.9 inches Feb 1983 17.0 inches Jan 2011

FIRST CALL SNOW MAP

Those Maine amounts include part of the 6" we got last night. Knock a couple off there.

I'm very much southern New England. Appreciate the vote of confidence but worried about shadowing.

So now the magic question.....how much the flake damage caused by the wind impact ratios?

I have a open field to my S and W, decent tree coverage to the N and E so hope that helps me

Too bad I need to miss it. I'll be long dead before another one like this comes along.

(As posted on PHL thread) The very rapid pressure falls (especially if GFS most accurate) off the NJ coast will result in wind gusts of 60 to 70 mph, as winds always overperform standard gradient metrics when pressure is falling very rapidly. This will probably apply to Long Island as well. Some parts of central NJ could easily see over 30 inches of snow. There could be bands of 20-25 inch accumulations further north over metro NYC and Long Island also. Drifting will be severe due to the wind speeds. In open areas there could be 4-6 ft drifts near the end of the event. (would say 6-8 ft in parts of NJ). This is all of course dependent on GFS verifying as to details of the bomb cyclone formation. Would cut most of this down by one third or more if there is a weaker bomb further from NJ to LI coasts. It has to be said, this is shaping up to be a potentially very dangerous situation, fortunately the worst conditions may be Sunday night and travel may become impossible by Monday morning which at least will prevent a lot of people from getting into dangerous situations, they will be trapped at home and probably digging out most of Tuesday. Temperatures won't be brutally cold but with these wind speeds, wind chills will be a factor. I think temps will stay fairly close to 30F through most of the snowfall period.

Take the "expected" up

Scooter how much snow yesterday today?

Do able but it will be snowing at that point. And even landing at 1:40pm you’ll have snow falling.

Awesome pic wow

10 to 15 ft drifts with bare spots? What ae your tide times. More Hoth 2015 pics enroute.

4 ? Lucky

I have no sheltered places on my property. The wind whips far too much on the coastal plain. Even in the last storm which was very mild from a wind perspective.

Oh yeah its on every model. I can only hope that I am close enough to the CT border to get out of some of it because things look better not far from therea. I'm not excited about this storm, I am actually really worried of what I will see going on all around me. Actually the tracking part will be the most fun part of this.

So 15 to 30 across all of SNE

Ray, FFS relax and just enjoy how this unfolds.

Average depth in a wind sheltered area. The forest in my backyard here helps slow ne and e winds.

That's the place to be with this storm

My P&C forecast is 12-20 lmao. LFG!

New BOX maps. The 1 in 10 map is absolutely bananas for south shore MA. Especially western plymouth County.