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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Maestrobjwa replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
But if it's gonna be east-based, though...isn't that an automatic wall-to-wall torch like 97-98? -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Either way, we are getting a pig ridge in Canada...but we can either have a trough in the southeast, or a cool ENSO like se ridge. This why my 2023 outlook was such a dud...I didn't get that back then. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
A pure super El Nino would offer more hope for a wintry period than the warm/cool ENSO hybrid that we witnessed in 2023 and to a lesser extent, 2015....especially early in the season. -
Chester County PA - Analytical Battle of Actual vs. Altered Climate Data
chubbs replied to ChescoWx's topic in Climate Change
Nope. The airport is warming at the same rate as Chester County. How much raw data do I have to show you? -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Maestrobjwa replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Why? -
Know what might happen ... the urban centers go nuclear unbearable dunnite. Dps are 59 to 66 depending on site and probable instrumentation nuances...so call it 63. But as the evening presses on, the thermal battery of the brick and crete and street's gonna be more than willing to dump its load back out - pure infrared re-bathing. And as the DP creeps up to sponge it in lock step? Ooh. I could it see it being pretty ridic in some of the downtowns 3 floor town house multi dwellers swimmin in sweat with gun pops in distant neighborhoods. 2nd shift cops are on alert already heh
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Looks like we're at the bounce temp.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I think this is the first time I have every genuinely hoped you were right. -
"highs" ? interesting... ORH on NWS' W&H interface product has 90 since 1:15 pm ... Not sure about rounding this or that...
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can confirm that it is sweltering here
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Yeah the dew point at Logan is 59 and 61 at Worcester.
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It's nothing if it's not real .... 78 dp is definitely suss. The 102 isn't really supported very well/corroborating
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A comfortable 78 down in Bay Shore on my Davis and 86 here in Stony Brook. It's little cooler than yesterday on the immediate south shore
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Actually doesn't feel too bad. Must be the lowish dew points.
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Add one to each of those numbers for the highs thusfar. 94.6 at home.
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Looks like EWR has that 97. Warmth reached into Aroostook - HOU 82 at 2 PM, was 84 earlier. Didn't get to northern ARO - FVE tops at 53 with RA.
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97 at Logan
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Montpelier/MPV has gone up only 5 degrees since 4am .
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
In mid May vs 2026: -2023 was more E based -2015 was similar -1997 was more E based -1991 and 1982 were more W based https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/rel_wksst9120.txt -
Is that an all-time record high for the station?
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BDL 96
