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I also like the look of the northward moving stuff over southern VA. Hope it holds together for later. It would be real nice if Sept cooperates so that the last two months of summer were above average rainfall

lol

I wonder if the Susquehanna Valley will get any good storms tonight?

No problem, I don't like to step on other people's toes either. But it happens.

September 10 is average date by which the Triad reaches 90 degrees. Next week, has two or three chances to reach 90 before it looks like the end of this year’s hot weather.

WPC keeps the slight risk of heavy rain along 95. Meanwhile the 19z hrrr gives me 0.00”. Not even a T.

0.28" Feels like mid-July, not mid September. High of 86 at 1pm, low of 73 at 3:53am.

First rain in over a week. It’s been raining since 1:00 at my house, adding up to 0.95”. Thank you God.

Yea, it means no arctic source, but the airmass can work in January-Feb.

I still think S coast to SW CT is were the heavy stuff is . Someone gonna get the the Roman Stein relatively speaking

NWS UPTON, 5 to 7 inch possibility IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Showers with heavy downpours and a few thunderstorms early Sunday morning into midday Sunday may lead to flooding. Average rainfall amounts are forecast to range from 1.5 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts of 5 to 7 inches possible. Peak hourly rates could reach 2 to 2.5 inches. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

However, you can see stein hiding behind the trees on some of the 18z runs. Just hiding and then when nobody is looking, going from one tree to the next.

I’m not sure why anybody engages with the same poster who has posted “warm and rainy” a dozen times in this thread.

I'll take it and am also drooling over the map @40/70 Benchmark published a few days ago. Both of my guest rooms are put together so plan on coming out for the paste bomb

I like that south to north trajectory that has set up this afternoon in advance of the trough. For my Valley area, this is more conducive to significant rain.

And it just keeps getting muggier and muggier. IAD's dewpoint, 66 for most of the morning, is now a disgusting 72, with only occasional furtive glimpses of sunshine.

Overcast never came. Yet. Still nice and sunny.

Down to 48 this morning. Looks like a few more chances for 40s this coming week.

Formatting got hosed, good catch. Here is the rightly aligned list EWR 1980 - presnet Rank Year Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Total 1 2010 1 2 13 21 11 6 0 54 2T 1993 0 3 9 22 11 4 0 49 2T 2022 0 4 6 20 18 1 0 49 4 1988 0 1 10 15 17 0 0 43 5T 1991 0 8 10 9 12 2 0 41 5T 2002 4 1 5 16 14 1 0 41 5T 2021 0 4 12 11 13 1 0 41 8T 1983 0 0 7 15 11 7 0 40 8T 2016 0 3 3 16 13 5 0 40 10T 1994 1 1 10 16 9 2 0 39 10T 2025 0 0 10 20 8 1 0 39 EWR full record most 90 days in September: Rank Year September 90°+ days 1 1961 9 2 1983 7 3T 1959 6 3T 2010 6 5T 1970 5 5T 1973 5 5T 2015 5 5T 2016 5 9T 1952 4 9T 1993 4 9T 2005 4 9T 2018 4 9T 2023 4

Hrrr weakens the line in PA but then re-intensifies and slams LI/CT

Congrats there

Anyone else drive by Cambridge Reservoir in Waltham lately. It’s empty.

Are you sure we had 11 90-degree days in August last year? I remember the summer suddenly ending after 7/31. I think that should be a one, not 11.

12z RRFS 2.0 and 18z hrrr pillaging. Hope it is right.

Somehow managed normal snows that winter. April snow events helped. Feb storm was fun too.