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.13. At least I don’t have to water the grass seed tonight?

Only .07” here.

Went into more depth on the potential implications of the persistent -PDO for how the El Nino evolves and the degree of atmospheric coupling in the thread below. Would honestly surprise me to see this El Nino and the pattern in the Atlantic tropics evolve like 1982, 1987, 1997 and 2015. I'm thinking we most likely see something about halfway in between those years and "Active El Ninos" like 1951, 1969, and 2018 - perhaps something a little more active than 1957, 1965, 1976 and 2002 in terms of Atlantic activity. https://x.com/yconsor/status/2052132299139858764

Ironically the storms are parting to the north and south of me. The forcefield is back!

At this point I'd declare a quarter inch rain event a cat 3 NESIS storm.

Up there the ENSO state doesn't matter so much. It snows regardless. Down at our latitude in the low elevation areas we need around a hundred elements to come together at precisely the right time for it to snow. And some cows have to fart or something.

.32 with one more light batch coming

Seems tonight was always going to be the 'main show', such that it is. Maybe a quarter inch instead of a few hundredths.

Steined

One is often better than many.

Looking at radar earlier I thought we got a lot more than .12 but thats it near Marion so far..

After mine burns to hell this summer I will reseed in November and by early January it should be looking pretty lush.

You are exactly right.................... My 1300 ft elevation makes a differennce, but very close 3,000nelevation makes a real difference. I will take a +2500 Nino over a minus -.75 Nina any day of the week...............................

I'm taking the under based on recent events. Looks like another cold front like today

Snow in denver

Ten day shows a lot of clouds, but no 50s. I can live with sixties in May.

HRRR is bullish for late tonight into tomorrow morning. I'm hopeful.

Any chance you could post a link to the data and/or a full-size pic of that? Pretty hard to read as is.

Anyone want to take a guess at how this El Nino will effect the Tug Hill region in upstate NY? That's where I'll be all winter. I'm sure it will be better then the lowlands lol

Snow in Denver

There is always a blessed return of beauty in new life. Enjoy breathing in that life and hearing the sounds of the warm season. ….. At least until the first flake lands on your cheek and melts into a tear ….. above your smile. As always …..

44F and about an inch of rain. What a day.

The 18z NAM 12 says the zonal flow cuts off moisture from the south.

Light to moderate rain has filled back. Radar upstream looks promising for continued rain throughout the evening. The longer range guidance continues to advertise a general trough continuing across WNC into at least mid May. That suggests rain chance will continue with fronts arriving every several days!

You have elevation on your side though.