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48 here this morning.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Modern climate seems to have more of a disconnect between the mid latitudes and tropics, which would obviously impact the summer more, when the signals are weaker at baseline....perhaps this will change as we get into the fall. -
our boy josh for sure
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yeah this is top tier comfort weather office normies loving it
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my understanding of the western water situation and the colorado river, is that it's a long slow release from heavy winter snowmelt or northing. At best, a heavy monsoon season might provide some local relief to immediate fire susceptibility but it won't do anything for the river/water scarcity issue and the lightning will certainly start new fires considering the degraded state of the forests out there thanks to the beetles and successive mega droughts
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
MJO was rather diffuse for the most part in July 1991, but notice the only appreciable amplitude was in the MC on the 7th-8th (phase 4) and...19th-22nd (phase 7) https://www.bom.gov.au/clim_data/IDCKGEM000/rmm.74toRealtime.txt This July, we are also getting huge amplitude in phase 8, but doesn't seem to matter. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The current -SOI streak has now surpassed the 72 day streak of 1997 and is now at 74 days. Only 1998’s 100 days has been longer as far back as daily records go at Long-Paddock: https://data.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/SeasonalClimateOutlook/SouthernOscillationIndex/SOIDataFiles/DailySOI1887-1989Base.txt -
73 yesterday. Mid 50s this morning. Excellent break from the heat. Can’t beat sleeping with the windows open.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Another -PDO season. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, all I need to see. This is what ultimately matters, so IMHO, you (collective) can shove all of the OLR, VP and MJO plots......we are having a cool ENSO July. Not what I want, but it is what it is. -
Beautiful morning out. On ffx county parkway where it overpasses 50 could finally see past the blue ridge way to the distant mountains. Otherwise, mid 60s and low humidity means I get to wear a jacket today to coach!
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If you could re-experience ONE winter event....
A-L-E-K replied to cyclone77's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
mega nino, everyone should get ready -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
donsutherland1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
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Philadelphia has actually had 14 years with 0 90° days in August. The most recent such year was 2013. Some of the guidance suggests that 90° heat could return late in the first week of August and continue during at least part of the second week of the month.
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1.04 inches since midnight. We’re back baby
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Chris, June-July 1991 also didn’t get the memo (Also, May of 1991 was very warm): In addition, June-July of 1877 wasn’t cool. - Today
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Please refrain from using the heater in your vehicle in July. One must not use the heater in a vehicle until late September. Don't give in to temptation. -
3.95”
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
US National Weather Service State College PA Favorites ·steprnoSdo396f351052g6h810cug4346m98517t4a4310t48287lm7208lu · Next 3 days: Doesn't get much better for late July Humidity and rain risk ramp up for early next week 7/23/26|638am
