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  2. Trend is clear as day on the NAM. The angle of moisture fetch off the gulf has improved dramatically. I think the NW portion of that precip shield is likely under-modeled as well. Between the terrain and the sloped arctic front aiding in lift, it won’t take a ton of moisture to squeeze something out further north and west. Still too early to feel confident in it, but who woulda thought this time last night that we’d still be in the game? Precipitable water values trend on NAM 3km.
  3. 3k Nam is also much further north and west. Nice for Cape.
  4. The vort didn’t quite curl like 00z but everything started west so the end result was pretty similar to 00z…it was heftier south of here. Maybe a bit better on south shore as well.
  5. Chased convection at the last minute.. if that wasn't there it would have been a big hit
  6. 6z Nam back west, snow breaking out all the way into the foothills.
  7. 06z NAM is coming in more amped than 00z through 27h
  8. Euro back in the game central NC. BL colder bc of precip and 1-2” snow
  9. Hopefully things start to blossom, that radar's looking wiggetty wiggetty wack at the moment.
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