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58 degrees this morning.

Saturday - .54" Sunday - .53" Monday - .03" so far Total Storm - 1.10"

5.02 in Cranston near the Johnston Providence line. Storm was mostly quick bursts of heavy rain then light to moderate and heavy drizzle.

Nolo is looking spectacular this morning and well on its way to becoming another 2026 EPAC/CPAC Category 5.

7.01 as of 4:00am

It's long overstayed its welcome Naming storms just isn't an objective scientific process. We blame the weather channel for their silly naming scheme but the NHC can be criticized too. Plenty of storms in years like 2005 and 2020 that would not have been named in the 50s and 60s and prior years. I'm sure 1933 would have had a lot more. It's a lot like snowfall measuring. Oh and there was an intentionally not named hurricane during the Perfect Storm October 1991 and that December 1994 storm should have been named too. That one was far stronger than this one. I think Chris posted a video with Dr. Joe Sobel in it? It would have been all rain at the coast just like December 1992 was but much less impact than that historic storm. Stadium effect? I wonder if it behaved like the eye of a hurricane? Landfall location near Tom's River? Well now it's just tedious and boring. This thing has long overstayed its welcome and become tedious and boring. I can't wait until humans control the weather and kick these things out. Still got rain here, sometimes heavy. It's a hybrid. These kinds of storms don't belong in September they should not happen before late October. Tony from that satellite image it looks like the center crossed farther south between Atlantic City and Tom's River. So all snowfall, rainfall and temperature records from before 1999 are suspect? Well damn they were just saying how today's rainfall record is from Hurricane Gloria in 1985. 6 inches of rain in a storm that moved quickly and tracked further to the east than this one. What about temperature records from very cold winters like 1993-94 and very hot summers like 1980, 1983 1988, 1991, 1993, 1995, 1999? And those snowfall records from 1987 1988, 1993 1994 and 1996?

1:1 correlation with Strongest El Nino on record. Record low ACE to date too.

What happened to Mark Andrews 1yd QB sneaks? They worked so good last year, I think worked every single time. Not using it almost costed the game.

Ok, here we go again with the BoM RONI progs. As I’ve posted, the early near month prog of every near month of Apr-Aug ended up having been too warm as per their charts showing notably cooler in their final analyses vs these early progs. I now feel safe in saying that that’s happening with Sep, too, which would make 6 months in a row! Here was a Sep 5th prog, which had Sep near +3.0: Compare that to the brand new run (Sep 26th…see below), which has Sep MTD at only +2.4 with only 5 days to go (note the line from Aug to Sep is almost flat vs the steep slope of the Sep 5th run)! To compare, NOAA appears to be headed to a Sep of only ~+2.0 to +2.2. We’ll see next week where Sep. settles for both BoM and NOAA. I bet BoM settles at ~+2.5 or +2.6, well below its Sep 5th run’s +3.0 prog. Thus, I continue to expect that the ~+3.8 peak that it still shows for Nov will end up not verifying even closely. Before that, I predict with confidence that the +3.5 of Oct won’t verify closely. Why would the clearcut pattern of significantly too warm near month progs change now? Besides, it would take pretty much a record warming for a one month period to reach from Sep’s mid +2s to Oct’s +3.5. Sound familiar? Several models earlier had predicted a record warming from July to August, which we know ended up busting badly. To show how out of touch with reality this has been the last 3 months, this Jul 4th run had July at +2.0, Aug at +2.7, and Sep at +3.0. Jul/Aug BoM verified at only +1.7/+2.3 and Sep should verify only in the +2.5 to +2.6 area as mentioned. This warm bias is Déjà vu from 2023:

Too much attention on typhoons. What's more important is subsurface, especially near the thermocline. Why should a shallow layer of water on top control the atmosphere?

Repeat of the blizzard...same spots hammered, same spots T-boned. TBH, I'm just fine with expending this bullet from the chamber now, in the early autumn.

1.06" rainfall on the day in Methuen. .58" Saturday, .03" Friday for a 3-day event total of 1.67"

Im not a MET by all means but some things would seemingly contribute this NINO to how warm the PAC is,this has seemingly never happened before,while this NINO might compare to 1982 it was still that year of a+1.24 PDO in Sept which makes this NINO more rare,good luck with analogs,you might need some

https://partnerservices.nws.noaa.gov/products/cache/271-2026/PNSOKX/e299efee4c57e344ebf06b61c453b27a Public Information Statement National Weather Service New York NY 1001 PM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026 ...RAINFALL REPORTS FROM NOREASTER SO FAR... Location Amount Time/Date Provider ...Connecticut... ...Fairfield County... Danbury Airport 1.97 in 0753 PM 09/27 ASOS Danbury 1.89 in 0830 PM 09/27 CWOP Danbury 1.79 in 0849 PM 09/27 AWS Ridgefield 1.65 in 0848 PM 09/27 AWS Stamford 1.55 in 0845 PM 09/27 AWS 1 N Stamford 1.53 in 0845 PM 09/27 AWS Greenwich 1.42 in 0850 PM 09/27 AWS Stamford 1.36 in 0849 PM 09/27 AWS 3 N New Canaan 1.36 in 0850 PM 09/27 AWS 2 E Greenwich 1.31 in 0850 PM 09/27 AWS ...Middlesex County... MOODUS 2.70 in 0845 PM 09/27 CWOP 3.5 NW Durham 2.04 in 0800 PM 09/27 HADS Saybrook Manor 1.54 in 0850 PM 09/27 AWS Clinton 1.14 in 0845 PM 09/27 AWS ...New Haven County... 4 NW Hamden 2.81 in 0850 PM 09/27 AWS Wallingford 2.80 in 0850 PM 09/27 AWS Meriden Airport 2.77 in 0813 PM 09/27 ASOS Wallingford 2.35 in 0831 PM 09/27 CWOP Waterbury Airport 1.88 in 0756 PM 09/27 AWOS Oxford 1.78 in 0833 PM 09/27 CWOP 1.9 NW Naugatuck 1.46 in 0830 PM 09/27 HADS ...New London County... Norwich 3.09 in 0830 AM 09/27 AWS GROTON 2.01 in 0830 PM 09/27 CWOP New London 1.75 in 0815 PM 09/27 CWOP Lyme 1.24 in 0845 PM 09/27 CWOP ...New Jersey... ...Bergen County... New Milford 1.96 in 0845 PM 09/27 AWS Paramus 1.89 in 0850 PM 09/27 AWS Lyndhurst 1.72 in 0843 PM 09/27 AWS Teterboro Airport 1.69 in 0851 PM 09/27 ASOS Bogota 1.54 in 0848 PM 09/27 AWS North Arlington 1.50 in 0850 PM 09/27 AWS Leonia 1.49 in 0850 PM 09/27 AWS Bergenfield 1.38 in 0830 PM 09/27 CWOP 1 SSE Franklin Lakes 1.34 in 0745 PM 09/27 IFLOWS Lodi 1.32 in 0745 PM 09/27 IFLOWS Oakland 1.30 in 0850 PM 09/27 AWS 0.6 W Oakland 1.04 in 0800 PM 09/27 HADS ...Essex County... 1 W Newark 2.08 in 0845 PM 09/27 AWS Maplewood 1.88 in 0810 PM 09/27 IFLOWS 0.6 SW Caldwell 1.80 in 0745 PM 09/27 IFLOWS Millburn 1.77 in 0850 PM 09/27 AWS Montclair 1.68 in 0850 PM 09/27 AWS 2 S Kearny 1.58 in 0848 PM 09/27 AWS West Caldwell 1.55 in 0849 PM 09/27 AWS Caldwell 1.42 in 0753 PM 09/27 ASOS Orange Reservoir 1.32 in 0800 PM 09/27 IFLOWS Fairfield 1.24 in 0850 PM 09/27 AWS West Orange 1.07 in 0842 PM 09/27 CWOP ...Hudson County... Hoboken 2.27 in 0847 PM 09/27 CWOP Harrison 2.02 in 0849 PM 09/27 AWS ...Passaic County... Ringwood 1.49 in 0810 PM 09/27 RAWS 0.8 E West Paterson 1.38 in 0745 PM 09/27 HADS 0.8 SE Pompton Lakes 1.22 in 0830 PM 09/27 HADS 1 NNE North Caldwell 1.22 in 0849 PM 09/27 AWS Charlottesburg Reservoir 1.20 in 0745 PM 09/27 COOP Clifton 1.13 in 0850 PM 09/27 AWS 0.9 S Wayne 1.12 in 0745 PM 09/27 IFLOWS ...Union County... Union 2.31 in 0845 PM 09/27 CWOP Newark Airport 2.21 in 0851 PM 09/27 ASOS Mountainside 2.14 in 0830 PM 09/27 IFLOWS ...New York... ...Bronx County... 1 NE Harlem 2.01 in 0850 PM 09/27 AWS Fordham 1.29 in 0850 PM 09/27 NYSM ...Kings County... Prospect Park 3.34 in 0845 PM 09/27 AWS BROOKLYN 3.28 in 0845 PM 09/27 CWOP BROOKLYN 3.08 in 0836 PM 09/27 CWOP Brooklyn College 1.74 in 0850 PM 09/27 NYSM ...Nassau County... East Rockaway 3.55 in 0818 PM 09/27 CWOP 1 ESE Long Beach 3.02 in 0845 PM 09/27 AWS Levittown 2.66 in 0845 PM 09/27 AWS East Hills 2.58 in 0850 PM 09/27 AWS Mineola 1.89 in 0848 PM 09/27 AWS Wantagh 1.45 in 0850 PM 09/27 NYSM 1 N Merrick 1.34 in 0846 PM 09/27 AWS Bethpage 1.27 in 0848 PM 09/27 AWS ...New York (Manhattan) County... Central Park 2.57 in 0851 PM 09/27 ASOS Battery Park 1.48 in 0849 PM 09/27 AWS Central Park 1.23 in 0850 PM 09/27 AWS ...Orange County... 2.6 NW Tuxedo Park 1.24 in 0745 PM 09/27 HADS Tuxedo Park 1.19 in 0850 PM 09/27 AWS Cornwall On Hudson 1.04 in 0700 PM 09/27 COCORAHS Harriman 1.00 in 0850 PM 09/27 AWS ...Putnam County... Brewster 1.41 in 0835 AM 09/27 NYSM ...Queens County... NYC/JFK Airport 3.08 in 0851 PM 09/27 ASOS Bellerose 2.32 in 0831 PM 09/27 CWOP NYC/La Guardia 1.92 in 0851 PM 09/27 ASOS MIDDLE VILLAGE 1.85 in 0820 PM 09/27 CWOP Kew Garden Hills 1.74 in 0850 PM 09/27 NYSM LONG ISLAND CITY 1.60 in 0846 PM 09/27 CWOP ...Richmond County... Eltingville 2.55 in 0845 PM 09/27 CWOP College of Staten Island 1.77 in 0850 PM 09/27 NYSM ...Rockland County... Pomona 1.78 in 0849 PM 09/27 AWS 1 SSW Mount Ivy 1.66 in 0849 PM 09/27 AWS Bardonia 1.56 in 0848 PM 09/27 AWS Spring Valley 1.49 in 0830 PM 09/27 CWOP 0.9 N Montebello 1.48 in 0830 PM 09/27 HADS Nanuet 1.46 in 0830 PM 09/27 IFLOWS New City 1.46 in 0848 PM 09/27 AWS Suffern 1.26 in 0848 PM 09/27 AWS Suffern 1.19 in 0850 PM 09/27 NYSM Stony Point 1.06 in 0849 PM 09/27 AWS ...Suffolk County... Upton (NWS Office) 5.33 in 0800 PM 09/27 Official NWS Obs Eastport 4.73 in 0845 PM 09/27 RAWS East Hampton 4.60 in 0850 PM 09/27 CWOP Deer Park 1.0 NE 4.40 in 0700 PM 09/27 COCORAHS Westhampton Airport 4.01 in 0807 PM 09/27 ASOS Shirley Airport 3.75 in 0756 PM 09/27 ASOS 2 E Dix Hills 3.58 in 0850 PM 09/27 AWS Islip Airport 3.42 in 0756 PM 09/27 ASOS Montauk Airport 3.41 in 0754 PM 09/27 ASOS 2 WNW Riverhead 3.40 in 0848 PM 09/27 AWS 1 E East Hampton Airport 3.38 in 0755 PM 09/27 AWOS SMITHTOWN 3.14 in 0845 PM 09/27 CWOP Northport 3.00 in 0845 PM 09/27 CWOP Southold 2.52 in 0845 PM 09/27 CWOP North Babylon 2.31 in 0845 PM 09/27 CWOP ...Westchester County... 1 S Peach Lake 1.83 in 0835 AM 09/27 AWS White Plains Airport 1.67 in 0842 PM 09/27 ASOS CHAPPAQUA 1.64 in 0847 PM 09/27 CWOP Larchmont 1.1 NNE 1.56 in 0400 PM 09/27 COCORAHS 1 NW Rye 1.56 in 0848 PM 09/27 AWS Pleasantville 1.56 in 0850 PM 09/27 AWS Yorktown Heights 1.44 in 0845 PM 09/27 AWS 1 SSE Hartsdale 1.30 in 0850 PM 09/27 AWS Somers 1.22 in 0835 AM 09/27 NYSM Midland Park 1.12 in 0745 PM 09/27 IFLOWS &&

From a wind/flooding perspective yes. Maybe a bit more rain since they usually come in October/November when storms are less juiced up

Disappointed w/the amount of outside house Halloween decorations up as I made my way around this weekend. A bunch of slackers...

Hawaii now has the most outages in the U.S. with ~11K. Almost all are on Maui, where a whopping 15% are without power. https://poweroutage.us/area/state/hawaii