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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Hopefully the tide is turning. No lack of cold for sure. -
Showers and light rain have developed across northern Maryland. Models not showing this area of rain.
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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
Chicago916 replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Much like the November event, mostly graupel snow by me -
6z Euro ticked up significantly but Is still a coastal hit, mostly. I think we can call this a trend without a doubt at this point
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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
Cary67 replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
White out -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
In the 2010s this would be a lock to hit -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Turn that frown upside down. 4 weeks of cold at least. Definitely opening up the Gulf which was closed in December. Perhaps even tracking 3 storms a week -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
IMO its really the SS starting to fire back up that is throwing the models into fits, as there are so many vorts coming at us, they are trying to figure out what (if any) interaction there may be between the 2 streams and as yall should know by now, it doesnt take much to make sumthin when you sit near the boundary. For that reason, I think, is why its really inside 72-96 till the picture starts to get less fuzzy. Thats why I've not written off this period like many others have. In the end, I may be wrong, but I'm just followin my guy on this one (and by following gut, that doesnt mean something will happen), but period should not be written off. 6z GFS is gettin notably closer for weekend. Might be sniffin cirrus back here while easters see some flakage. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I have no idea what he means lately. -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
ILSNOW replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
wait 5 minutes -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yea, either way, it's not going to be December 5, 1981....I just meant qualitatively speaking...not amounts. -
I'm not sure it's wild anymore lol
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Seems like east has better shot at accumulating snow per guidance...I think that is what he meant. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I still lean in the OTS camp. For now. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
It’s snow in most places Sunday night. You’re talking about Saturday I think? You’re a very confused individual. Euro has some snow interior NoP. -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
A-L-E-K replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
grass almost covered already -
Pretty wild that coastal Georgia will see more snow than us at this rate.
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2025-2026 ENSO
donsutherland1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes. It has been uneven. Then again, it hasn’t been a strong La Niña event. -
And how does that make you feel? Your internet followers are getting kind of obnoxious and disrespectful and disruptive to your page. That must suck huh?
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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
cyclone77 replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Missing to the east by <5 miles lol -
Someone get that man another cup of espresso !
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How is north ga looking? I can’t see any maps.
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RAH pretty aggressive for that office: 00z GFS and ECMWF depict a more vigorous shortwave that swings across the Southeast US and Carolinas on Sunday, with a surface cyclone that develops off the coast of the Carolinas and moves NE. With very cold temperatures aloft by this point (and Sunday`s surface temperatures staying in the 30s at least based on the latest raw guidance), any precipitation that falls over central NC is likely to be snow, but the question is how much precipitation (if any) we actually receive. The GFS is sharper with the trough aloft compared to the ECMWF, resulting in snow across a larger portion of the area compared to the ECMWF which is more focused in the east. Regardless, considering nearly half of ECMWF ensembles and over half of GFS ensembles depict accumulating snow across the area, it bears watching. WPC QPF is light at this time but could increase if models converge on a surface low track closer to the coast.
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12z will be interesting!!
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I personally think we will get another shot at snow this winter but mother nature certainly has shown her hand. If nothing happens in January this place will be beyond readable...should be fun
