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  2. Eskimo Joe
    .CHO storms go brrr
  3. Ephesians2
    Charlottesville is the storm magnet this month. Seems like every time I check the radar to see if I am finally getting rain down here, there is a cell over Charlottesville.
  4. donsutherland1
    Showers and perhaps a thundershower are likely into this evening into early tomorrow. Following the frontal passage, Tomorrow through Wednesday should feature temperatures in the lower to middle 80s, along with partly to mostly sunny skies. Another cold front could bring some showers or thundershowers to the region Wednesday night or Thursday. The frontal passage will be followed by a reinforcing shot of cooler air. Thursday and Friday could see highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.6°C for the week centered around August 6. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.72°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.15°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -17.84 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.420 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 53% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.3° (0.2° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
  5. aldie 22
    Dud out here
  6. MN Transplant
    Activity has picked up on that cell by Dulles.
  7. IronTy
    Doing caterpillar work, could it be any more gross outside? Perfectly still, disgusting air.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Where are you located if you don't mind me asking?
  9. Typhoon Tip
    OH I love this product. heh. I've been in my internal monologue for years literally saying the density of the frequency has been ..etc..etc. Weird. It's actually called phase density. Different topic: I find it interesting that it's been biased on the left side like that, and it happens to predate the ENSO by some. I'm wondering if the WWB flux/anomaly quotient is constructively interfering there a bit. In which case, the phasing may actually not reflect as much pure MJO momentum as it does an environmental resonance. I've often stated in the past that the MJO isn't a pattern drive. It's a pattern augmenter. If the wave is in constructive interference the phase diagram balloons ... depending on the basal hemispheric mode/wave numbers at the time the MJO is attempting to emerge out of the Marine continent. If in phase, the dispersion into the mid latitudes is in sync with the Pacific orientation that sends N/A into a NW conveyor. I look at a combination of the Asia circulation mode together with the WPO index outlook bias get a sense of the interference scheme. Since the warm ENSO mode significantly correlates with the +PNA, and the 7-8-1-2 seems to as well, I would call this a harmonic interference. constructive. I've often fantasized about a phase diagram that isn't the scalar wave propagation coherency, but is the constructive vs destructive interference. There are times when a robust wave propagation seems not to correlate so well with the N arc of the Pac --> western N/A. The disconnect may be proportional to c or d.
  10. RDM
    Odd - hearing a regular bout of thunder rumble from the inbound system approaching NOVA. But the Lightening app shows only a few hits out by Winchester and more to the SW. Wonder if there isn't a bug in the app and/or some sensors that are down?
  11. 78Blizzard
    In a few days NNE will start getting temperatures regularly into the 40's most nights, maybe even a few upper 30's, as we head toward September. Swimming pools will be cooling down fast. Even here, I expect the pool will have to be closed before Labor day, which is about the latest it ever comes.
  12. wxdude64
    Measured two separate 53 mph gusts with line that just moved thru here, rocking!
  13. BxEngine
    We were on a tour to the natural pool and the former invest 92l threw out some feeder bands. Rest of the day was the usual aruba windy and dry. We were drenched and the natural pool was closed, that side of the island had 15’ plus waves.
  14. SnowenOutThere
    Some decent velocities showing up in the Stephen’s city line segment
  15. dailylurker
    Damn. Not looking that impressive. Just a wall of severe thunderstorm warnings for average looking scattered storms.
  16. uofmiami
    I arrive there on Tuesday, hope you took on all the rain today haha. Enjoy yourself.
  17. IWXwx
    6.72" here in the past seven days and 8.64" for the month. It looks like there may be multiple windows open nights this week.
  18. canderson
    Oh for sure lol we’ll get some rain but the storms should get annihilated
  19. CT Valley Snowman
    I wouldn't get your hopes up.
  20. nw baltimore wx
    A little over half an inch earlier and now some sun through breaks in the clouds.
  21. anotherman
    Don’t take this the wrong way…..but you often think we are done with precip a little prematurely.
  22. psv88
    Beautiful day to sail. Constant gusts to 20 made for a fun day.
  23. KakashiHatake2000
    Spc has day 2 slight risk and marginal risk out for Cumberland plateau parts of middle east tn for 5-15% damaging wind https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html .
  24. Ahoff
    Love seeing positive winter outlooks, but this August has been total sh*t, lol. Bastardi put out his winter forecast, not great for us more average, so it'll probably be huge for us, lol.
  25. canderson
    They’re going to hit an extreme stabilized environment prior to the mountains.
  26. Snowedin
    Yeah we need moisture very badly. This is no good for lawns, gardens and those of us with flaky skin. I’m rooting for any tropical systems to move in this direction in the coming weeks!
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