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  2. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  3. Eskimo Joe
    Does timing of an autumnal or early winter SSW have any implication on the favorability for a colder/wetter season? Is this something that we want to have happen as early and strongly as possible, or wait until later on?
  4. Snowcrazed71
    Not sure if I'm posting this in the right section, although we haven't started November obs yet). Curious of thoughts on this as I've seen this being tossed around by more seasoned METs now?
  5. Stormchaserchuck1
    Nov-March 10mb Regression with ENSO It actually comes out to 73% chance of having above average Stratosphere vs below average in El Nino, and visa-versa That doesn't even include 23-24, which had 4 separate SWs. I haven't done research on if an early in the year event correlates with later on SSWs, but they usually do happen in bunches or not at all, because it's correlated to consistencies like QBO and ENSO. Filtering those out, it would be interesting to know what the numbers are indeed!
  6. Damage In Tolland
    Just watered the garden ! Stein out there
  7. snowman19
    Traditional ONI, RONI, absolute SST……
  8. michsnowfreak
    Not here...thank goodness! I notice all the snowfall maps are the models interpretation at a 10-1 ratio. The last two winters here had almost all powder. Even assuming more wet snow this winter, its not a bad look at all.
  9. Intensewind002
    Only 39 for the low here Edit: 38.5 to be exact
  10. uofmiami
    My Muttontown station is probably 15 feet or so from the pool on the pool patio edge. I don’t know what the temp of the pool is but I know it’s not being heated.
  11. WxWatcher007
    We're probably done in the basin for this season unless there's something rogue in the subtropics. Time to start working on the grade for my peak season forecast.
  12. Terpeast
    I think the more interesting question is whether an early SSWE usually leads to another strat event/PV disription later in the season. Especially during el nino winters.
  13. WxWatcher007
    WxWatcher007 changed their profile photo
  14. Today
  15. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  16. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  17. winterwarlock
    29 here too today Indian Summer incoming later in the week
  18. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  19. mitchnick
    Heading toward the Euro weeklies/seasonal? Looks that way. Time will tell.
  20. EC609
    It's sooo boring though.
  21. GaWx
    Indeed, although Nov on the CFS has warmed, the 10 day mean Dec has cooled ~2F in the E US since 10 days ago. 10 day mean as of 10 days ago: Latest 10 day mean: 2F cooler. Could this be related to the even weaker early Nov SPV when considering the 35-40 day lag Chuck mentioned?
  22. psv88
    Think I figured out my issue, which was true last year early on. My pool is still around 60 and my weather station is around 25 feet from the pool. After initial drop my temp levels off from midnight to sunrise on clear calm nights. By late fall last year my temps were more normal again, but until the pool temp drops my overnight low will be higher
  23. LakePaste25
    A strong “rebound” Nina isn’t guaranteed. cold neutral is on the table.
  24. SnowGoose69
    The real question way too early is will the La Nina of 27-28 make 88-89 and 10-11 look weak
  25. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  26. MANDA
    With not much else going on I thought this was worthy of sharing. Thought this was a great video clip. https://x.com/ReedTimmerUSA/status/2114179629863084042/video/1 Enjoy the weather cause you ain't gonna notice much change for a while. Nice but getting boring. Per post above from @bluewave don't like the look of this. Keep an eye on it over the coming weeks. I wouldn't be surprised if this pattern locked in for a while. Trof west / ridge east.
  27. BrianW
    We grow with zero frost in sight.. Frost coverage at the coast, where the growing season remains in effect, looks to be patchy at this time.
  28. DocATL
    A top 5 warmest October for Chicago and for a lot of places. Electric bill and gas bill gonna be at a low point with these perfect temps.
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