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Maybe its a good thing the GFS is suppressed,storms always trend northwards to an extent,qustion would be will the Euro do the same..lol

That’s good stuff too. Not super heavy but prob a much colder BL near the coast by that point with steep lapse rates and decent snow growth with lots of salt nuclei on those IVT lower level lift setups. Kind of thing where you can weasel another 1-2” out of 0.07 QPF or something.

sticking??

Ya’ll know that I’ve been waiting for the these next couple of weeks to get here since December. As each day brings it closer, I’m starting to open up model runs with a squinty eye to make sure the players are still on the field It’s gonna be a long week

yeah - I mean that makes sense. Bottom line - as they are arguing - is to be consistent. Maybe they need some way to categorize and classify prior calls that can be quickly referenced during these reviews - so they can be consistent, or at the least if they decide to change how they are going to call it, they can reference past calls.

The Euro is even colder and has us -10 to -25 for about 48h from midnight Friday AM to midnight Sunday AM .

Strong signal for a plowable snowfall (maybe 4" - 8"?) at D7 is legit.

Rates are definitely picking up almost moderate now

I thought the control was the op member of the ensemble but I could be wrong.

I’m sure y’all look but Carvers gap and a few other over on the Tennessee forum have some good input .

I don't think that's a 'feel'. It has.

My only caveat would be that modeling has struggled this winter. Right now though, this is at day 4-5 for far western areas of this forum. By tomorrow evening or Tuesday morning, short range models should begin to have this for portions of Arkansas.

Based on what they called in Ravens-Steelers, yes

Radar lighting up in south Jersey

When is the last time Harrisburg had a 6”+ snowstorm? Feels like it’s been a few years. @Jns2183

Then again I feel like it’s tugged east a bit with total QPF

Finally seeing some flakes here in the Spotsy area. I’ll take that as a win and some snow tv for the next couple of hours, an even bigger win.

Moved one of my daughters back there today and there was easily 3-4 .. They’d had a new inch this morning on sidewalks etc

I'm a huge Bills fan so I've been checked out from everything the past 18 hours, but this 12z suite has perked me back up some. My life seems to be one disappointment after another with following the Bills and East TN winter weather lol. I don't want anything to do with the ice as everyone has mentioned, but what a run on the Euro. Not use to seeing those type of storms within 7 days on models. With that type of cold, I'd also worry about suppression, but hopefully we can reel something in

so the argument is basically that he should've been down by contact once he made the catch?

Oh man. Giddy up!

33.4 light snow here

If this actually occurs, the EURO AIFS and its ensembles had this days before other modeling did......

Flurries even down south in la Plata right now.