All Activity

its looking fine out to 114 and waiting on next panels.

I’ve gotta say hoping for a NW trend on a phased system feels 10000x times more productive than the opposite, like last weekend

Its pretty much the same as 00z and not as good as 18z, but yes ots better than 6z.

No.

When do the pieces of this start moving onshore? Tomorrow?

Top extreme precip events

honestly, if it were better than throwing a dart, they'd just update the model to account for any consistent bias in the model. ergo, there isn't that much that can be said for sure, other than that the models will move around. right now for the worse, but maybe tomorrow for the better

Had the same thought it would have far less upside but would be cold powder on top of our glacier

That's the middle ground I've been thinking about. That or the lead shortwave doesn't dig as far. There's plenty enough on the table to keep us interested in tracking some snow in the area. A big bomb has never been likely but some sort of accum event isn't off the table either

Nice to have the GFS in our side. Need the NOGAPS to come around

On a positive. It stopped trending E and came back W slightly.

Good -you can use the any water hazards as actual fairway since they'll be frozen over! Lol

Looking at 108h on the 12z Euro, I see: - surface low 100 miles west of 06z - 996 mb on the 12z, 1004 mb on the 06z Also at 102h, I see a 500mb low that is over 100 miles southwest of 06z, as well as being less positively tilted and better organized. What am I missing? Sure it's not enough, and not as good as the runs from a couple of days ago, but I don't think it's time to throw in the towel yet.

I seen enough, I am out unfortunately I think this will miss entirely. Cape may get hit, but I don't live there! Good luck everyone

We're in fuckin purgatory. Not close enough to get excited, not far enough to not care. Bleh.

For once can the GFS be correct?

I am going to kidnap the rodent before PETA does.

Extreme Precip amounts

This was a good run for central NC. I’ve learned my lesson about being in the bullseye 4 days out

Still not concerned with OTS?

And Nova Scotia

12z EURO stopped the bleeding and ticked back west. Hopefully that continues at 18z.

So what did we glean from 12z? ICON OP whiff, its ens had somewhat of a two camp split. GFS was close to nuclear GEFS looked good as well, UKIE Whiff and Euro with a slight tick W, not sure about EPS. We watch I guess