All Activity

Another min in the 30s with 38F last night, already in the 70s by 11am. Currently 72/39, about perfect.

78 / 46 just a splendid day. Mid 80s, perhaps a few upper 80s. Clouds build in tomorrow but still warm 80s. Overall trough, cut off / ULL into the E 6/3 - 6/8 temps near normal lacking heat and rain chances. Southerly flow could push departures up a bit, perhaps a sunny day gets a shot at 90. Mid month warmup.

Yeah, right in cue the ridge is returning to the Western US as we start June. This has been the dominant summer pattern since the 15-16 super El Niño. But the winter pattern has been the opposite with more of a trough over the Western US and record ridging and warmth over the Northeast. So that record NE PAC block during the 13-14 and 14-15 winters shifted to the summer. And the winters have had trouble maintaining any type of ridging In these areas as a trough has been dominating out West. The recent exception was during January 22. That was the result of the MJO 8 pattern. But most of the winter MJO activity has been in the phase 4-7 range since the 15-16 super El Niño.

Day One Nothing likely in the foreseeable future. The first window probably opens up mid-June as the MJO becomes more favorable. Not sure the basin will get going until late month though.

Had a wonderful cold low of 41 degrees. Was hoping to hit the 30s one last time but just not quite there.

Congratulations on the amazing celebration!

Where was this in Dec, Jan and Feb? Nice looking map. I'll take it now though, it is a very comfortable pattern heading into Summer.

Not with this upper level pattern lol

Agreed. When you see tropical instability waves that well pronounced, you know it means business. I think we see enhanced trades and easterly wind bursts (triggering upwelling and surface/subsurface cooling) shortly, which is typical with this kind of progression

Unusual goings on with the stratosphere as such a strong -AO +PNA block isn’t what we typically see during El Niño to La Niña transition summers. Very comfortable early June temperatures for us. Almost looks like the Arctic pattern change around March 20th was so strong that it got stuck in place into the early summer. But now we have the +PNA to go with the -AO https://x.com/judah47/status/1795928965883826606

I figured that it would be performing ahead of 1998 at this time, as that was a stronger nino that dissipated later. However, the fact that it is performing ahead of 2010 suggests this is going to be a strong la nina. Remember, the 2009-10 el nino peaked lower than 2023-24 (at least on the ONI).

It can be at certain times of the day; I time my trips to Maine when traffic should be less on the stretch when I can. Takes me 2 hours to get to my sisters in Maine when I time it right, it's taken me 3 1/2 hours when I don't hit it at the right time.

We can hope this is the year! And today is the 13th anniversary of one of the craziest weather days I've experienced.. NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... Another beautiful day ahead for southern New England with mainly clear skies and seasonably warm temperatures. Today, June 1st, marks the official start to the North Atlantic Hurricane Season. Should go without saying it`s only a matter of when, not if, a hurricane makes landfall along our coastline. While there have had numerous topical storms, August of 1991 brought Hurricane Bob, the last landfalling hurricane in southern New England. Take time today, this weekend, or this month to review whether or not you reside in an evacuation zone and what items you can buy right now to build out your emergency kit. Because, let`s be honest, waiting to last minute will feel as you are out shopping/fighting the crowds on Black Friday, minus the deals/savings. For details on how to prepare for this hurricane season please visit this link: noaa.gov/hurricane-prep

49.8 this morning in Great Falls. Just snuck in under 50.

Same Beautiful weather

Agree

Gee it's cool and comfortable. Wish it was hot and uncomfortable.

That section of 495 is brutal.

A buddy down there improvised and tied a telephone pole to his backhoe and used it as a rake to move hail.

Spoke too soon. May 2024 will tie for the 10th warmest on record.

no real heat this upcoming week so i am happy...

Brownsville experienced its warmest May on record. Brownsville's May was also warmer than any June on record. Some records from Florida, Puerto Rico, and Texas: Del Rio demolished its May and Spring records. It also had its first May extreme heat event (Clarke et al., 2014 methodology) on record. Some highlights from Del Rio:

Low of 50. Another 10 forthcoming.

Hi Don, All valid data points are meaningful....like this one. That does not of course imply that during our current warmer cycle that likely lower mean highs offset by higher mean lows will show overall warmth.