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The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
bringmesnow1 replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Model hallucination much? -
January 2026 Short/Medium Range Thread
WintryMixmaster replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
What if it's the bad kind of monster, like east TN gets warm nosed somehow but Jacksonville gets a foot of snow lol -
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
osfan24 replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
That’s what I would think. -
Well Americanwx been around for going on 16 years!!! So we're gonna have nostalgia
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2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
franklin NCwx replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Highlands is farther east. Might be you're best bet -
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Climate175 replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
LOL, this is what Gemini said when I asked about for Baltimore area regarding 18z WeatherNext (take with a grain of salt): The 18z run of the WeatherNext 2.0 model (Google’s advanced AI weather system) indicates an increasing risk for a significant winter storm in the Baltimore area this weekend, specifically from late Saturday night (Jan 31) through Sunday morning (Feb 1). Compared to earlier runs, the 18z update shows a "sharpening" of the coastal low-pressure system, which has resulted in a notable westward shift in the heavy snow band—bringing the I-95 corridor, including Baltimore, into the primary impact zone. 18z WeatherNext 2.0 Snowfall Forecast for Baltimore Forecast Detail Model Projection (18z Run) Projected Totals 5–9 inches (Mean Ensemble Forecast) High-End Potential 12+ inches (if the low tracks 50 miles closer to the coast) Probability of >6" ~45% (a significant jump from the 12z run) Start Time Saturday between 8:00 PM and 11:00 PM Peak Intensity Sunday between 2:00 AM and 8:00 AM -
I really think this ULL could produce a hell of a band over us. It’s been so long since I’ve seen any sort of synoptic deform band over WNC.
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Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.
WinterLand replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
It's actually great. Don't need any more disruption to work and school. Two snow days this week for my kid's school is enough. -
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Roger Smith replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Do this again with a guy in a toque watching a hockey game on his I-phone with score CANADA 5 USA 1 (sorry eh) -
Boom or bust basically with a chance at a 6-12" SECS
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
Burghblizz replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Mostly just light snows with that here -
Yup i think ur right bro
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
For a direct hit yes, there would need to be changes soon. But i think we can eek a minor grazing event out of this in extreme SE PA at the very least. -
A number of those were high-impact storms i.e., 12/20/2009, 12/27/2010, 2/9/2013, 1/24/2016, 1/29/2022, etc.
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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
mclean02 replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
I have lived in Triad my whole life and don't ever recall a blizzard warning being issued for Guilford county that is but after looking i guess RDU are really strict about issuing those lol -
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Bob Chill replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Gfs did great job during JFM 2014&15. the mid range with fast moving progressive northern stream waves. Euro did well inside of 72 hours but the gfs was the one you wanted on your side in the mid range. That said, the gfs and euro haven't been that far apart with the current threat. Its just one of those setups where a little means a lot on the ground. -
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
IronTy replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
I vote this one be called the WeatherNext Blizzard of 2026 if it happens. -
I think it was before Dec 9th 2010 because I joined Dec 3rd 2010 lol
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What a spread lol
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2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Maggie Valley Steve replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Big weekend event in Maggie Valley with our IceFest. Skiers should be piling into town as Cataloochee increased their base by 25 inches since Sunday morning! -
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
I believe thats what Euro AIFS and AIGFS do, no? Use AI to adjust raw model outputs? -
Question is there not a -NAO at this time? Would that not block the disturbance from going OTS or up the seaboard?
