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Nope just chasing our tails like normal. One day, we'll catch them.

Jesus what a stretch for DC on south coming up.

Here’s the 6z GFS for overnight into Tuesday.

Thanks Don. This morning we are finally seeing a movement to phase 8 where previously it was stuck in 6. Also the wind reversal is imminent. Of course, all this may effect us too late where we would need everything line up perfectly (night, high rates, arctic air, track...).

The back for this winter had to break at some point. Hopefully it doesn’t come with backdoor fronts every week.

13° for the low here as well with 4.5" at the stake. .3" yesterday, 45.4" for the season.

I mean if he expects a week of freezing rain like he’s forecasting I salute him.

Starting to show movement to phase 8.

17 degrees this morning. Tomorrow looks like a lot of freezing rain.

The northern jet has been few hundred miles further south in the northeast than in recent years. It’s been very warm outside of that area—west, south etc. With climo into March, even if the persistence sticks, the jet persistence lifts north and the boundary for BN is north of us. Last Saturday with 50’s and no real warm front, gave us a taste of what’s close by in this pattern—we just need climo progression. With that, and no -NAO on the horizon , it makes sense that our first widespread 60+ degree days in months should arrive next week…

Enjoy the snow

So you’re forecasting a week of 30s and drizzle? Good luck.

Interesting to see that March is still reverting to the 2020s milder and less snowy mean even following our coldest and snowiest winter of the 2020s so far. March Monthly Mean Avg Temperature for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 46.5 46.4 2025 46.9 46.9 2024 48.1 48.1 2023 44.6 44.6 2022 45.3 45.3 2021 45.8 45.8 2020 48.0 48.0 March Monthly Total Snowfall for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 0.1 0.1 2025 0.0 0.0 2024 T T 2023 0.1 0.1 2022 0.4 0.4 2021 T T 2020 T T

I'll be surprised if we end up missing out entirely in March...it definitely doesn't look as good as I thought since the stratosphere ended up delayed a few weeks, though. Not the worse thing in the world from a DJFM standpoint because it will chip into the negative margin relative to my seasonal forecast.

Why should we lock in a week of 70’s when every other one has failed? I hope it does. Winter is done as is snow. I’ll believe it when I’m sitting on my deck tanning next week in 70’s

extended looking like the worst of both worlds, miss south the warm thundery rains and no actual winter threats

Looks like mid month could offer something more wintry. Obviously tough to nail with confidence this far out but battleground nearby.

Stop being dumb and embrace Morch Kevin.

She comin. Pack leavin.

Yea, I realized afterward.

Highly unlikely

Torch cometh next week.

I think for DJF.

Yea, I'm probably like 10" above average, but we have to see what March does.....if we somehow shoot a blank this month, I'll only end up a pube over climo.

Oh, for sure....but I was speaking more to how much the gap in snow depth has closed between my area and the 78-redux zone.