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Color me skeptical with a cold chasing moisture setup, but I suppose we’ll see. With exception to the climo favored areas of course

I’m one of those people! I’ve lurked on here back and forth the last 5 or so years. Have really gone all-in on the snow chasing since we were on the brink of breaking history without it. Add having kids to the mix and now it’s all the more reason to love the chase. But missing out on the massive totals was a huge blow between the legs. Luckily my kids don’t know any better and seeing everyone having fun makes those years without snow seem further away

That's some man cold next weekend. Winds are howling with below zero temps. Talking -30-35F windchills

And those are skewed numbers with the prolonged warm up. We could be at -8 now

Definitely not a March 2018 redux. That was a record snowy March here at PHL, and quite frankly, I can't see that outcome happening again. At some point, I've got to think this string of cold months has to end at some point. Even in 2018, we had the very warm February that interrupted an otherwise cold and snowy winter pattern.

That LP over the upstate could give Western NC a surprise. We've seen stranger shit this winter.

Close the blinds. But is it for one week or two?

When its all said and done-3 plus inches in SE Wake is like once every 3 years lately I am good

Been so dry this winter (for the most part), that the weather channel has only named 8 winter storms which ties the lowest amount for winter thus far with last winter. Not saying the weather channel is the best indicator of winter weather but their winter storm naming system generally shows active periods vs inactive ones. Large scale winter storms across the US have been very few and far betwen past 2 winters. Even our dud winters in the east of 2020,2023,and 2024 has more countrywide activity. Probably due to it being a dry La Niña I’d assume ?

By my count, and I do not claim to be nearly as competent as the great @donsutherland1 and @ORH_wxman, through 1/31 both BDR and BDL are experiencing their coldest (by avg temp) start to winter since 2011. Both stations just edge out 2018, and of course neither count February since it hasn't happened yet. That's very impressive to me. Maybe more impressive is the inland streak with temperatures below 25. Looking back, that 1961 period is just outrageous.

What’s the JMA say?

Literally dude. I took my happy ass into the car and drove to Mebane just to see/drive in some snow before it finally hit Raleigh. The central NC dry slot was so brutal. Even a day later, even though Burlington/Mebane started far earlier, it looks like they only got an extra ~1 to 1.5" out of it. Crazy.

Pretty close...I'm at 39.5".

Makes sense, as there is usually a break right when the SSW takes place,.

1. Grow up 2. If people saying the word 'fuck' bothers you SOOO much, just block them. Problem solved.

It will because it won't meet the 5 consecutive months at or blow -0.5 criteria, but I considered it a La Niña, anyway....per MEI and RONI.

DCA averaged -17.4 the last 8 days of January including three -21

That looks like the Jan 2022 band that croacked I 95...I suffered the same fate as you lol

Exactly! You're not getting cutters in this pattern!

As soon as I saw him compare the EPS at 360 hours from last February, I knew he was a fool. That great look that yielded next to nothing lmao. And he’s comparing that joke map to this year/winter….yes ass clown is right.

The longevity of this is the story … Today was 9 straight days at BOS < 29˚, T-11th (most recently 2004 and 2018). The next couple days may well crack 30, but if the "warm" days this week stay below 32˚, then it will set the record (16 days, 1961, 2015 was second). Having a top-10 snowfall and then a cold stretch has only happened once before (2015). The recent <0˚ temperatures were very short-lived. 2016 went from -9˚ on 2/14 to 54˚ two days later, 2023 from -10˚ on 2/4 to 51˚ the next day. 2018 did manage to go below 0 during the cold spell. So, nothing too cold, but an anomalous pattern that is sticking around for a while. Now if we could inject some moisture into it with the right timing again …

Ken, stop with these frieken idiots. They don’t know Jack shit. That goof talks about an EPS mean from this time last year, and nothing came of it lol. What a fool he is. Looking for clicks like the rest of the fools.