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2023 was unreal here . Had 69”for the year lol and a huge portion was from tstorms . So a dry year like this was coming around this area. Let’s see if you guys can get up over 70”

45” here

Lol. I did mean Era but Error could be accurate also

Depends where - EWR has 41 90 degree days in 1991 and 40 in 2016 and also 41 in 2021

What do y’all have YTD down there? Must be well over 50”

Today's Highs: PHL: 83 New Brnswck: 80 TTN: 79 TEB: 78 EWR: 77 LGA: 77 ACY: 76 BLM: 76 NYC: 76 ISP: 73 JFK: 72 * no intra hour highs

Yep. Started raining right in the middle of my barbecue. Almost predictable at this point.

31” YTD here . You got almost that in 2 months

Still looks ok for here. Ugly for NE. It will undoubtedly change one way or the other in October.

I like the EURO better than the CANSIPS due to the handling of ENSO and the extra tropical Pacific...as I have been saying....but I don't think it will be that bad. Compromise between the two for snowfall. Probably heavily EURO on temps.

Thank you. Yes, that makes sense and it’s clear that there are many days where the mercury exceeds freezing.

Check my edit....huge +EPO, despite big -NAO.

Just can’t escape the rain in these parts, big Labor Day tournament this weekend delayed two games and rained out tonight’s games in Milford. Already 2” of rain this month, 27” since July 1.

Oh. Do you have a link?

That's the August run...September is UGLY.

As a near coastal resident who was directly affected heavily by FIVE H/TS 2016-24, I’m very much enjoying the break from the stress of threats! However, looking back at the 6 other El Niño seasons with <4.4 ACE through Sep 6th tells me to still be cautious for the rest of the season, especially late Sept through mid-Oct: 1) 1941: -TS TX/LA border mid Sep -H TX late Sep -TS Windwards/MH Honduras/Nicaragua/H Belize late Sep -H NW Bahamas/MH S FL/H FL Pan early Oct -TS SE Bahamas/FL Big Bend mid Oct 2) 1929: -MH NW Bahamas and S FL tip/H FL Pan late Sep 3) 1914: -TS FL/GA border mid Sep 4) 1905: -TS Belize/LA late Sep -TS W Haiti early Oct -TS LA early Oct 5) 1904: -H upper SC mid Sep -TS Belize early Oct -H C Cuba/S FL mid Oct -TS FL Pan early Nov 6) 1876: -H/Leewards/MH VI and PR/H Hisp/E Cuba/NC mid Sep -TS Windwards late Sep/H Nicaragua early Oct -H Caymans/MH W Cuba/H Keys and SW FL/TS Bermuda mid Oct These six very quiet first half of season El Niño analogs are suggesting an avg of 3 TCs (range 1-5), including 1.5 H (range 0-3) and 0.8 MH (range 0-2) yet to come that would have significant to major land impacts. Hopefully though it will be most like 1914 or otherwise 1905 at the worst! https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/

Gorgeous sunset.

Cooler air has finally arrived. Currently 66 at the house. Looks like the mid to upper 50's for lows in the morning.

Heres euro.

Maybe we are starting to see a pattern change the next several days.The stubborn ridge off Souitheast Asia is semmingly getting shunted East towards the Central Pac per the ensembles,as to where the MJO goes could seemingly just be getting destrucive interference from Rossy/Kelvin closer to the MC,which JMA has been comsistent in showing but the JMA hasnt been doing a spectacular job as of late

Lots of these maps floating around socials