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.26 here so far

I'll sell that 10" the Euro is showing here over the next 15 days.

I had to do a double take to make sure I had the right storm. Clearly making a run now. Another deep burst may be enough to get over the top.

Nothing did

Not even wet ground. A few drops. Unreal.

I’ve already compared the current Nino to the prior one for both GLAAM and for OHC (like night and day). 1. Here’s a similar comparison of PDO: Current: -0.71 Sept of 2023: ~-2.4 on Sept 19th though these are admittedly volatile as one can see it rose steeply Oct 1-20th: 2. SOI: 90 day mean is now way down at ~-22. The mean was down to only -8 for the same 90 day period in 2023. It was -18 in 2015 and -14 in 1997. A rough estimate using monthlies (due to no dailies that far back) for 1982 is -19 to -20. The only other 90 day mean as of Sept 20th back to 1876 that realistically could be about as low as 2026’s -22 based on monthlies is 1896 (incoming strong Nino) though that chance is <50% as it is more likely in the -20 to -21 range. So in summary: 2026: -22 2023: -8 2015: -18 1997: -14 1982: -19 to -20 1896: -20 to -21 The other super-Ninos’ rough estimates: none even close to 2026, 1896, 1982, 2015: 1972: -13 1965: -14 1957: -5 1888: -11 1877: -10

Up to 1.21” on the day with a drizzle/mist now.

.22 today . Saw lots of forecasts with widespread 1” . Not the setup for that

Look at Fay…

As far as overall synoptic pattern recognition, machines are taking over. They just don’t have the skill to resolve hi res or mesoscale features.

its 80 degrees down in South Jersey with a 73 dewpoint in Money Island along the Delaware Bay

Well, last season they were right

Yeah good hits from Euro twins.

I can't wait for the AI agents to be trained to show blizzards leading to every run showing a storm.

Only 0.21" here so far.

I don’t live in South Weymouth, and I’m not lying. I had 1 inch last Sunday, which dried up in two days.

Might struggle to get .10; so much for a .50-1” storm

Dude I literally looked . You were away when it hit . They both are at almost 2” this month.

I need that sign here meme for that.

I agree with this. I am agnostic as to what harm ai will cause at this point, but I’d say the warning signs are flashing bright red. And I’d prefer to just err on the side of caution. In general I think experimenting with something that almost immediately gets deployed society and world wide should be done in the most cautious way possible. TBH I don’t even want ai so any kind of societal collapse risk either from bad actors or rogue AI’s is enough for me to say let’s just stop entirely until we figure out if this is safe.

Shocking. Been the same story here for awhile. 0.09" Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

He’s laughing

No

I don't think we realized how shifty he is