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  2. sbnwx85
    I’m going to cosplay this cut off low as a weak tropical storm.
  3. IWXwx
    Cue Spartman's weekend washout post
  4. Stormchaserchuck1
    +9c has popped in the subsurface on TAO/Triton for the first time of this event! It's warming pretty rapidly too, we may see a +10c in a couple of days. That's +18F, so if the water is usually 62F, it's now 80F.
  5. bristolri_wx
    I don't think this winter will be nearly as bad as people are expecting. December and January are likely to be warm and wet. How much of that ends up as snow will just be some luck on low pressure tracks/placements. I wouldn't put a lot of hope into a White Christmas for Southern New England. However, February and March are looking cooler on the long range forecasts, while still showing above normal precipitation. Could be a back-loaded winter. Locking in a below normal snowfall winter would be quite pre-mature at this point while the El Nino is still developing, and other factors may come into play.
  6. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  7. bluewave
    It wasn’t even a hot summer for the cooler 1980s era. The warmest 1980s summer was 1988 and the 2nd warmest 1980. This current July is close to the warmest July on record. So there really isn’t a comparison to the summer of 1987.
  8. Stormchaserchuck1
    Yeah, I thought we were talking about ENSO. 1987 is a really good find, as that was one of the most El Nino Summers on record, JJA ONI was +1.5c, all time record for JJA is +1.6c
  9. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  10. Chinook
    The Appleton tornado damage path was 12.1 miles long, and 0.85 mile wide, EF-3
  11. GaWx
    But the summer of 1987 was hot based on the climo centered on the period it was within as I posted. Why are you comparing it to more recent (hotter) climo that makes it not seem as hot? Also, the hottest was in the E 1/2 of the US regardless of what climo you use.
  12. Prismshine Productions
    I'm baking up here from the humidity Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk
  13. bristolri_wx
    Looks like a repeat of July. HHH the first week of August. After that much closer to normal or below...
  14. bristolri_wx
    That's not the look you want to see on the CFS if you like warm and dewey. One person in farting in North Dakota is enough to trigger the CFS to show above normal temps...
  15. bluewave
    That was still a cooler summer by recent standards. June-August 1987 71.77°F -0.54°F
  16. CT Valley Snowman
    Looking at radar, the best action may stay west of me. Current activity doesn't look as impressive as earlier.
  17. Torch Tiger
    3 drops.
  18. Damage In Tolland
    Sunrise surprise Monday
  19. GaWx
    OHC is at a new high on this graph:
  20. CT Valley Snowman
    Grabbed .5 earlier. Let's see if we get any more.
  21. KakashiHatake2000
    Oh okay gotcha thanks Jeff also agreed and yep we shall see by day 1 tomorrow .
  22. Today
  23. nrgjeff
    Maybe @KakashiHatake2000. Their afternoon text mentions conditional instability. Might come south a wee bit if the temp fcst gets warmer, but the turning is better north. I also infer they thought about 5% up there in Kentucky or IN/OH near the TP, but held off. Probably a Day 1 call this time of year. Things are not synoptically evident Day 2 in meso-scale season. If time were not an issue, Dayton OH would be a lovely starting point.
  24. KakashiHatake2000
    Happy chasing Jeff hope you catch one are you think 2% could be expanded southward .
  25. GaWx
    Here’s another unusual one: the summer of ‘87 was similarly hot in the E 1/2 of the U.S. overall and El Niño wasn’t just weak as it was moderate to strong that summer:
  26. nrgjeff
    That's go to Crossville and ask questions later. Official does not get down there, but it's only 90 minutes for me to get up there. If the line really does re-develop east of Nashville, that's prime for it to reach the Plateau as it's maturing. That part of Kentucky is doable too, but farther to drive. Doable is relative in the South - some breaks vs straight forest and mountains.
  27. SJonesWX
    and the chickens rejoiced!
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