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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
WmsptWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Assuming the overnight runs were bad with no activity lol -
H92 a bit warm until you get into NW CT.
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Not the best for CT with those temps.
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Gfs is all over the place and tossed. AI is tossed too. This will be a ORH to SNH deal on northeast. For best amounts anyways.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Kitz Craver replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
I’d hit that -
GEFS not that inspiring.
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Lots of meh members on the gefs
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100% correct. Possible, but the 12-2 system has the deck stacked against it. No 50-50 low, no Lakes to New England H.P. as a cold air source. And of course, our long time drought pattern that no one fully understands is again an aggravating factor. The GFS dropped the QPF from 1.48" for Augusta at 06 11-27 to .60" at 06 11-28. I don't have enough fingers to count how many times this has happened during the past 4 months.
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Looks like the last 4 seasons continue. At least days get longer in a few weeks.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
moneypitmike replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Are you able to post any pics, Jeff or is that forbidden? -
This set-up would probably work in January with a colder antecedent air mass. Track isn't bad. Fast flow doesn't allow low to amp up and move inland.
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Not really. Elevation won’t matter much.
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Skynet still fairly flat…and consistent. No spiking footballs yet. We ride the ensembles.
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06z Euro starting to tick a bit further north, SLP down to 980mb as it makes its pass by, Decent hit in the interior of SNE/CNE.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Somewhat of an elevation event . At least in that depiction -
Pittsburgh PA Fall 2025 Thread
blackngoldrules replied to TheClimateChanger's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I don't know how this next system is going to turn out for us, but at least we already have something to track. GFS gives the weenie amounts while Euro gives us little. Others are somewhere in between the two. Should be interesting to see how this one evolves. I'm also just trying to get the page more active again. Lol Sent from my SM-S931U using Tapatalk - Today
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I'll take the GFS. I'm one of the few who doesn't want snow. Euro has me in the bullseye. Maybe you can rent old pit westborough.
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Yep Typical
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Nothing burger unless you live 45+ Miles NW of nyc.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Snowcrazed71 replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Ok.. I'm still not going to kill this for us in Connecticut. The GFS could be easily shift back down 50 miles or more and we are back in the game. Today is Friday and we still have 5 days before this storm gets here. This is not the final outcome. Not yet. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
moneypitmike replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
yes please, GFS. EC would disappoint central and northern folks. -
Gefs slightly more east and colder. Nice interior storm.
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6z GFS gone wild here
