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Saturday may be an inch or so? The issue is snow ratios are not going to be good….likely less than 10:1. The boundary layer is going to suck, it’s going to be in the upper 30’s even up here where I am

Seen this movie before.

In winters of Yore.

To give weenies false hope.

Currently getting a rain/snow/graupel combo... I think. 39.7F

I average around 28 inches. It snows here.

My biggest concern is the trend towards the low popping off the coast further north, in a more miller B fashion. This would allow more warm air to migrate inland and best dynamics to stay north of the VA border until the low starts moving more NE. At that point it becomes a cold chasing moisture kind of situation

Small details make all the difference, the energy was a little flatter on 6z GFS and that really affected the outcome. If only it could look like the 6z Nam, that's the best case, neutral/neg a lot sooner.

You’re in NYC. You should be asleep Nov-Mar.

Not me. I stayed up for the euro and then woke back up again for the gfs.

Snow growth looks solid, nice lift in the snow growth zone.. Should be a solid swath of .15-.35" qpf

Maybe end of January

Another day of model watching. The short range models look pretty good. The GFS is starting to go back and forth, and the Euro is being stubborn. Looks like a classic winter storm threat for NC with not knowing exactly what will happen until it does or doesn't happen.

Need to bump to FEB

made a thread to separate the Saturday and Sunday convo..

I think you could easily pick up 1-2” provided the QPF is there on Saturday.

Seems all we can muster up this season are these coating to 2" storms. Higher elevations favored, should be a a few hour period of moderate snow.. Timing differences with the steadiest snow, GFS is a bit earlier, EURO a bit later.. Looks like a snowy Saturday morning for most, earlier the better for accumulation potential down to the shore..

Glad I got a good nights sleep. 06z runs look tame to nothing.

Please send as many pics of the coating. From every angle. Deck, backyard, truck, street view. Whatever you can.

The probability that parts of the South, including Birmingham, Atlanta, Athens, and Mobile could see a light snowfall on Sunday has increased on the guidance. Snowfall amounts do not look excessive. This will likely be the major winter weather story this weekend. A shot of Arctic air could follow the snowfall.

Time to bow to the king again?

I would

Bump