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Winter 2026-2027 Speculation
Prismshine Productions replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Considering the blowtorch in the Pacific that isn't that bad tbh... Thought it would be worse Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk -
Another night of endless wall-shakingly close CGs. Downstream looks like quite the deluge
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
TheDreamTraveler replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Been getting a lot of good rains off and on all night - Today
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Be careful what you wish for. We might get the Greenland Block plus the Nino moisture. Then look out DMV. That'd be a definitive, textbook George BM winter storm setup with people diggin' out for weeks.
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I'm just going to say, with most of the +AAM coming from the equator this is not as much of an anomaly as it would seem, it being the strongest El Nino on record. An equilateral AAM index would probably be +8.
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The models are Oct 4th. The difference between the two times (9-23/30 and 10/4) is actually the most drastic difference of the whole year lol. Oct 1 ENSO correlation goes up like 2x.
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There is a possibility that a tropical system near Baja California might develop into a Cat 3 Hurricane. I want a high end Cat 5, then all the moisture hits Texas. I crave for unprecedented moisture feeds from off the deep tropical Pacific and the Gulf of Mexico, plus my precious Caribbean Connection! I want catastrophic amounts of rain! I have an Ark. I'll be taking real time water level readings. I'd like to see at least 45 feet of water over the 1626/967 Intersection! BRING IT ON, SUPER NINO!
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The AAM went over +4 as expected yesterday (9/19) per the image below, an extremely rare/historic event. The last time it was this high may very well have been in early Feb of 1998. It appears that it will likely stay >+4 into Sept 21st: -
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Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
We got two rounds of rain: 0.06" and 0.02". No hail. Of course, areas just to the south got wrecked. -
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2026092002&fh=14&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Torch Tiger replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Plummeted to 49 -
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pretty much the only time I would root for them lol
