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Looks like the mean ticked a bit west of 0z on the EPS.

Scoot is already down for the count and I have 0.1”

I can’t believe Euro AI is still almost a whiff. What a dumb model.

Looking at that you’d think we’d all be slapping weenies, damn

Here’s hoping you’re spot on. I’ll be at Wannemakers in DG first thing this AM getting the Christmas garland. Off the roads tomorrow.

0z Canadian looked decent as well for most of us.

More like this. Need violence and anger.

When we subtract the recent strongest El Niños from the era before the warming of the WPAC warm pool, it shows what I have been talking about. The WPAC hasn’t been cooling down like it used to during strong El Niños. So this leads to the forcing shifting further west than it previously did during El Niños. This is why we had Niña-like elements combining with the 2015-2016 and 2023-2024 events. During the weaker 2018-2019 and 2019-2020 events they couldn’t even couple and the La Niña background more completely dominated.

6z Euro & 6z GFS are keeping CTP very much in the game.

Turkey hangovers for some of us …

Can you even be mad anymore though? Lol. ive come to hate the winter, can’t wait for the warmth to be back. 4pm sunsets are depressing

06z eps

For the best stuff.

10” total so far. Looks like the hrrr was on to the southern band placement. Not sure how much more we’ll see today. The snow is very dense for lake effect.

That map is to generous the further south you go into SNE.

Damn that far up and in huh?

Same thinking , as long as the goods aren’t 5 miles north of our backyard we will survive another tease.

Definitely going to be on the edge as far as temps are concerned but that is tantalizingly close to an isothermal paster here

Man, I hope you're right. What's crazy is you've got a good chance pull a 20" month (at least)...in November. Awesome start to the season.

You can’t throw that far enough

Still think you need to be ORH to SNH for the goods.

Already gave my call but I think we are going to be in the sweet spot back to back storms. 11.2 inches for MBY is my final final call. Enjoy the storm!

Nice work. Caveat on the COOP "accuracy" for sure. Some sketchy measurements in past years. Regardless, this is definitely a November for the books around here, assuming this storm acts as expected. With that said, gonna narrow my range a bit and go 6-8" final call for here. General consensus QPF numbers in the 0.60-0.80" range, ratios pretty close to 10:1, etc etc. Going to be a fun day to work tomorrow.