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More confluence this run

Yes the cape homie. Hallelujahz…

Not much change on the GFS through 06z Saturday.

Unfortunately, Every model has it.

Kind of sucks that the airports probably won’t capitalize on the snow cover and much below normals temps to hit subzero.

That is a ton of convection chasing on the 12z GFS through 72 oh my

Thanks!!

AI GFS is another Big Hit. Slight tick north

Out to 66 trough axis is def more positively tilted and western edge isn't digging as much. Not great thus far.

probably gonna hit 55 F on sunday

AIGFS

Does the low being closed off over lake michigan on 12z at 60 as opposed to being more oblong and extended in the 06z make a difference or are those just lines and shapes at this point

It's the chance of precip. 70% chance of heavy snow.

yea def a tick east

a model with very low skill scores-bottom of the list I believe

Pacific flow is too fast to back the kicker vort off, so might as well bring it closer and phase to bring that sucker up north.

AiGFS has the low closing off further north like the RGEM. Dives it down through extreme NE Alabama. Neutral to slightly negative tilt too. Looks like a great run

you would think "HEAVY SNOW" would be 100%. Why can't I understand the percentages?

AI GFS looks a tick Northwest? At least at h500 and with that initial slug of precip.

What about all the convection east?

We will have better luck on this storm....you are in a pretty good spot for this type of setup

9.1° for the low.

What in the hell is cfs lmfao.

can someone do a PBP ?

Sorry, I didn’t realize reality was unacceptable to you. stating and opinion of a storm not happening or missing to our south on a weather forum must go against some code of ethics, I will wishcast like 90 percent of your post are going forward. we’ll disregard the facts that are being displayed across every model. And just keep wishing for nw bumps. That being said if the 12z suites remain the same I will not post anymore regarding this storm as to not clog up the thread.