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According to SV, looks like 3 to 5 ish

Man, this is something that is usually eye-opening.

Cape storm is weird too on the Euro. Doesn't seem to really get anything to happen due to extremely poor wave spacing and no gulf moisture.

I know this is off topic but… nuking snow in Lenoir right now. .

Yep not even close to the GFS. Still some upslope snow in mtns

Same here. My years in Boone had multiple “big events” but I loved the over performing NWFS events the most. Real boom or bust.

Skynet looks good for NNE lol

Really impressive snow virga to our immediate west and nw. I think it's cold just above the deck.

Um hope that’s some snow lol

After looking at temps I'm guessing that maybe .2ish of that is snow

It’s 44 it’s probably rain

Purcellville. Huge flakes coming in off of the Blue Ridge. 38/33

Precip total from the event

The next weekend thing looks like it has more potential with what seems to be better moisture return from the gulf. Trusting a moisture-starved system without having cold air locked in prior is risky business. We’re better at cold air chasing anafrontal systems, right?

Gfs sort of did that on yesterday's 12z run. Had it in PA, then reformed in VA.

This thaw has changed the feeling of winter. Feels like it’s going to be seen as a front loaded winter where most of the cold was in December. January seems to be pretty warm until the last week. La Nina’s suck in February so we may just scrape ourselves to an average season. More than that I don’t see

Normally a low over Baltimore is no bueno for us but since this guy is moving basically due east perhaps can still work.

Has a weird surface low progression of forming over MD moving to off to the tip of long island and then reforming over southern New Jersey. Not sure if that plays out good or bad for us.

I don't think this Euro run is gonna cut it. energy is too far east

That’s if it can develop as it should, if it cant/if it’s impeded, then probably not.

Heres vorticity at 108 which is generally further north than its 6z counterpart.

It should be snowing pretty good in a few minutes here. Won't last, of course.

Euro

Euro

Pops a low over MD