All Activity

no relatives but watch what comes out of DRBC the next few weeks. A basin wide drought warning maybe implemented by them by mid January if we do not get any moisture Up this way. The southern jet stream is simply too far south and the northern jet stream will not bend to bring it up. Their is enough short waves below Memphis but they are dying on the vine in the Tenn Valley. WE NEED TN VALLEY SHORTWAVES FOLKS TO PRODUCE UNTIL THEN YOU GET NOTHING TO TRACK.

'Dangerous game' you are playing sir. Be careful!

The weekend is too far north for most except maybe TSSN and mitchnick but the 18z Euro has Friday. A general coating for the area.

Yeah SE Canada does make a difference too. Ridge axis is a little west on that 18z run too…so even though it isn’t taller, it’s better oriented.

Got a bike ride in after work partly to test my tolerance for these temps and it was actually kinda refreshing until halfway thru when I could barely feel my fingers. I even took a hand warmer with me. I probably could use warmer gloves, but yea, it's cold outside and this was probably below my threshold.

Overnight low is suppose to be 12°F, Already there.

It's only December 9th and you're calling winter over already? lmao

this is why it’s sometimes not as simple as worse PNA -> weaker storm… the TPV is better oriented and allows the vort to curl more on the ECMWF

Was hoping to go the whole month of Dec with snow cover.

this is why it’s sometimes not as simple as worse PNA -> weaker storm… the TPV is better oriented and allows the vort to curl more

That’s a pretty decent sized event for recent standards over SE areas. But I think decent banding would prob get back into interior too.

Yes, I noticed on my way across the bridge this morning. Super early for sure.

He beer.

Not that far off.

Why do you keep doing this to yourself?

Unfortunately, in this fast flow pattern that has been dominant since 2019, I doubt storms will pop up out of nowhere. I think if there’s enough storminess around, one will come our way.

lets sharpen that up a bit

It’s nice to see us focus on 15 day horizons in December. Bodes well for the perennial can kicking in Jan and Feb…

18z Euro on borad for the 14th, Really gets going but just a bit late.

Ai also

I actually feel very positive for the Saturday night snow . I really do think it’s coming . My gut feeling generally works

Was just out for daycare pick up. Bet visibility was 1/4 to 1/2 mile at best, and there’s hardly any wind right now. It’s just snowing that hard. Sounded like some ice pellets were mixing in a bit once I got home. .