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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Damage In Tolland replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Must have taken you a long time to find the one model that shows that, weak sauce man -
August finished with a monthly mean temperature of 75.8° in New York City (Central Park). That was 0.3° below normal (1991-2020).
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Let's see if it can build some convection tonight. Either way, the odds of anything remotely noteworthy coming of this is rapidly diminishing.
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Was 1963-64 an el nino summer Chris? If so there are two el nino summers ahead of it, 1963 and 2002. This was an extremely front loaded summer, no really hot days after July. Too much rain for it to be hot. The early part of July was like a less extreme version of 1966 but the pattern didn't hold because the dryness in 1966 lasted until the blockbuster winter of 1966-67 began. What do you think of the idea that a very wet last month of summer leads to a warm less snowy winter?
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
dendrite replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
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IR is really looking tough.
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Yeah that’s the other thing. Bit of drier air.
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So only the park was below normal. Makes sense that we focus on it so much.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
VivaManchVegas replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Last time I went to Stowe was 2004. It was during the summer for a few days. My second child was born 9 months later.. ahem. I have skied there, but that was in 1987. I have the epic pass for next year. We will be going this year for a few days with my youngest Teen. Wife doesn't ski, so any in town VRBO's or Inn's suggestions would be good @powderfreak. She loves the small town shops. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
donsutherland1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
It's unfortunate. Bastardi and Martz follow one another on X and both have audiences that overlap on climate change denial, so it's not that surprising. However, Martz is not a practicing meteorologist. He has no research to his name. Bastardi, even setting aside his positions on climate change, should stay with the proper meteorological terminology. He's damaging his professional legacy, which has already been hurt by his stance regarding climate change. It is what it is. -
August Dep: PHL: +2.3 (7.44) JFK: +1.4 (7.49) ISP: +1.4 (7.94) EWR: +0.9 (10.18) TTN: +0.7 ( 7.69) LGA: +0.3 (7.85) NYC: -0.5 (8.56)
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Today's Highs: PHL: 82 EWR: 80 New Brnswck: 80 TEB: 79 LGA: 78 ACY: 78 JFK: 78 * missing intra hour highs NYC: 78 TTN: 78 ISP: 77 BLM: 76
- Today
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
So you've gone over to the dark side too, ehh? Lol -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Cfs2 has been coming in along those lines too in recent forecasts fwiw. -
El Niño summer pattern finally kicking in
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Welcome to 2026 TS Edouard! .
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Looks much more like it's about to go poof rather than boom.
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Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20) Named Storms: 5 (2) Hurricanes: 3 (0) Major Hurricanes: 1 (0) Dolly, Edouard
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We have had worse lol.
- Yesterday
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If this thing can fire some diurnal convection it could go boom. Not a small ask with the dry air nearby however
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August finished with a monthly mean temperature of a preliminary 75.8° (0.4° below normal). That was 0.6° above the prior 1981-2010 baseline. It will turn somewhat warmer tomorrow with the temperature topping out in the middle 80s. Showers and thundershowers are possible late tomorrow and Wednesday. Excessive heat with highs in the middle and upper 90s will be just south of the region in such cities as Baltimore and Washington Tuesday through Thursday. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.6°C for the week centered around August 26. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.93°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.50°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -0.79 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.654 today.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
EasternLI replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I do not have any prior runs saved for comparison, unfortunately. However, it does look quite wet for Dec.
