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Incredibly impressive on the YTD for CONUS-wide average. Nearly 3F above the 1991-2020 mean. With Nino heating for the second half of the year, you have to think there is a real chance for warmest year on record. Current record is +2.21F (relative to 91-20 average), set in 2024.

Biggest snowfall of my experience (26.5" on 3/14-15, 1984, CAR had 29.0") arrived at about 1030 mb and didn't quite get down to 1015 by storm's end. Temp was +/- 10° for most of the event, with 15-25 mph SE breeze. 22" fell 6 AM-8 PM. The numbers: 13 10 -18 0 0 46" 14 12 2 2.08" 25.0" 65 " Deepest ever at my snow stake. 15 28 10 0.10" 1.5" 64" Snow ended before dawn, with some ZR.

https://www.imdb.com/title/tt14688458/

Yesterday's high here in East Nantmeal was only 72.7 this set a new low maximum temperature for the date set back in 2005 of 73.7. Another below normal temperature day today with highs not far from 80 degrees. Shower chances increase tomorrow afternoon and again on Friday into Friday night. Temperatures remain near normal through the weekend before warming a few degrees above with highs by the middle of next week in the mid to upper 80's. Does not look like any return of 90 degree plus reading across the county for the foreseeable future.

Yesterday's high here in East Nantmeal was only 72.7 this set a new low maximum temperature for the date set back in 2005 of 73.7. Another below normal temperature day today with highs not far from 80 degrees. Shower chances increase tomorrow afternoon and again on Friday into Friday night. Temperatures remain near normal through the weekend before warming a few degrees above with highs by the middle of next week in the mid to upper 80's. Does not look like any return of 90 degree plus reading across the county for the foreseeable future.

I actually made a post over in the El Niño thread about the Cfs2 looking interesting at 10mb this winter, but I took it down figuring the usual suspects might accuse me of being a weenie...imagine that, me being accused as being a weenie? Lol Anyway, here was the 1/27 link I had posted. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon&region=nhem&pkg=Tz10&runtime=2026070800&fh=6

American capitalism is all about privatizing profits and socializing losses

July 8 2002: A three-day deluge ends in central Minnesota with 10 inches in northern Kanabec county and 9.5 inches in southwest Aitkin County. 1974: Minnesota experiences an intense heat wave, with the Twin Cities reaching 101, the warmest temperature in 26 years. For Wednesday, July 8, 2026 1816 - Frost was reported in low places throughout New England. (David Ludlum) 1950 - The town of York, NE, was deluged with 13.15 inches of rain in 24 hours to establish a state record. (The Weather Channel) 1975 - Three people were killed and six others were injured when lightning struck a walnut tree near Mayo, FL. The nine people were stringing tobacco under a tin shed when the bolt hit the nearby tree. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms in the central U.S. produced wind gusts to 90 mph at Waterloo, IA, 6.38 inches of rain at Tescott, KS, and twenty-five minutes of ping-pong ball size hail at Drummond, OK. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thirty cities in the north central and northeastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Beckley, WV, equalled their all-time record with a high of 93 degrees. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms spawned seven tornadoes in Adams and Logan counties of eastern Colorado, and hail caused 2.3 million dollars damage in Adams, Logan and Washington counties. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Sixteen cities in the central and western U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. The high of 103 degrees at Denver, CO, equalled their record for July, and a 110 degree reading at Rapid City, SD, equalled their all-time record high. Denver reported a record five straight days of 100 degree heat, and Scottsbluff, NE, reported a record eight days in a row of 100 degree weather. (The National Weather Summary) Observances: 8 Wed National Love Your Skin Day 8 Wed National Raspberry Day 8 Wed National Video Game Day 8 Wed Be a Kid Again Day 8 Wed Math 2.0 Day 8 Wed National Blueberry Day 8 Wed National Freezer Pop Day 8 Wed National Ice Cream Sundae Day 8 Wed Oneofusismissing Day 8 Wed SCUD Day 8 Wed National Chocolate with Almonds Day

Dear God, that guy nearly got creamed. Very close call.

0.12" of rain last night. Cooler day on tap today with a high around 70.

Silo?

Yeah, this is going to be a very impressive ridge for that part of North America. MPX has a shot at a new all-time 500 mb height record. The previous record is less than three years old.

Especially pleasant morning after the hell of last Wednesday - Sunday

I imagine we should see at least some of the D4 drop to D3 tomorrow.

I'm sorry, but some of this sounds like hyperbole of the hyperbole. What serious person is out there saying that a 90 degree day in New England is dangerous and requires people staying inside? Everybody knows the information environment is crap on balance. Even the general public to a large degree gets that. A met on local tv saying a heat dome is going to give us highs of 95 with a HI of 105 so take precautions otherwise it can be dangerous is very different from some kid on YouTube saying the heat dome is going to kill everybody. Yeah, they get clicks, but I don't encounter a lot of people in normal life who are cowering in a corner because of something they heard from a random online. In the face of a lot of bad information and hype out there, a lot of professionals and serious hobbyists have tried to counter that with using more probabilistic forecasting and communication, contextualizing how weather is not climate, and explaining how the science is the same even when terminology changes. To be clear--I believe the information environment is profoundly worse on balance than it was 30 years ago. There is too much hype, too many bad actors cashing in on quackery, and too little nuance introduced whenever we do have high end events (not every hurricane or major flood is directly tied to climate change, not every temperature drop below zero/above 100 is historic, etc) but I don't think it's fundamentally changed how most people make decisions, especially in advance of/during high end events. Not yet at least.

I am happy Silo is back... I just hope that season 3 does not disappoint.

Sure looks like multiple chances for additional destructive storms coming tomorrow and Friday...

We, and our immediate friends to our south, have become the severe weather mecca of the country - here are the number of severe weather warnings issued by local NWS offices since July 2nd:

It’s been a decent stretch of four consecutive days of measurable rain totaling 1.29”

Not familiar with the author but interesting reading on a hot summer day regarding increased potential for positive PNA this winter and some of the data and science behind this potential pattern. https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/atlantic-anomaly-and-super-el-nino-shaping-early-winter-2026-2027-predictions-united-states-canada-europe-fa/

Underachieving--I am almost sure of it. Elias & Sig's system is the main reason. Get those voices out and I think players--especially Gunnar--are gonna do better. Hey you're forgetting about Basallo in that 1-2 punch equation Who says they are the 1-2 punch? You can bring in other FAs to compliment them. See here's the thing: Things are not so bad that we need another 3-4 years rebuild from the ground up...which seems to be what you're suggesting (I mean you get rid of the young players ya gotta start over). Getting new young stars is bound to take that long because ya gotta draft and wait 4 years. I think there's a way to add to the young core and not go through 100-loss seasons again.

I refer to it as the softening of society..now days people have more issues handling weather because they are inside a lot more than back in the day..

Congrats! And that's exactly where my AC resides 24/7.