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https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1477.html

Actually didn't reach 100F today. Heat index still peaked at over 118F, though. The moisture never mixed out. Dp was basically 76-78F all day.

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 448... Valid 032231Z - 040030Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 448 continues. SUMMARY...The potential for severe winds is increasing across eastern Pennsylvania, southern New York (including the New York City metro), and northern New Jersey as storms approach the coast. DISCUSSION...Latest radar imagery from KBGM and KDIX depict an initially broken band of thunderstorms beginning to show the early signs of cold pool amalgamation and upscale growth. Concurrently, increasing MRMS VIL values and cooling cloud-top temperatures have been observed over the past hour, further hinting that organization/intensification is occurring. More recently, a 75 mph gust was observed at Scranton, PA. Regional VWPs from central NY have been sampling fairly strong (40-50 knot) mid-level winds that are supporting stronger deep-layer wind shear than depicted by recent RAP mesoanalyses, and is likely promoting the recent intensification trend. Consequently, given the development of a deeper/more cohesive cold pool and strong deep-layer shear in proximity to ongoing convection, it seems likely that the potential for severe winds (most likely 55-75 mph) will persist downstream for the next couple of hours as storms approach the coast. Based on latest storm tracks, this band should reach the NY/NJ coast within the next 2-3 hours

extreme https://x.com/WorldClimateSvc/status/2073150197807329431 World Climate Service @WorldClimateSvc These extreme deterministic solutions are eye-catching. For reference, the ERA5 record highest 500mb height over the CONUS is 6027 gpm (21 Aug 2023). As of today's 12Z runs, the following percentage of members exceed this: WeatherNext2 23% AIFS-ENS 12% IFS-ENS 12% GEFS 19%

My PWS registered a high of 103.6 F this afternoon just before 4:00, 0.1 F higher than yesterday. Driving around town about the same time, our other car’s thermometer hit 108 F near the Target shopping center! While driving. Not parked on the asphalt somewhere. That’s insane. I can’t stand this heat. It’s horrible. It’s currently 95.2 F at home, in the shade.

That’s why I’m not to worried about tomorrow, models are all over the place with the storms being so scattered lol

HRRR has a good handle on things

This is the station a stones throw from mby. MOG.

You’ve got severe coming in over next few hours . Take the fam out into that for relief

High of 88 again today but already down to 79 degrees.

I'm new here. What is the arguing about? Had a good storm here in Elimsport earlier .38 .

Pretty close to being a line now

Yea man too hot. Swamp ass.

Yeah, I'm saying even in general, it's a shame that if we ever get a typhoon stronger than Tip we will never know because we don't have recon. I'm sure that Tip has already been surpassed but we can't prove it.

99.4° for a high in Reisterstown

What are you.. a senior ?

Mby highs: 7/1 - 100 7/2 - 101 7/3 - 102 (101.5 rounded up)

65 knot gust (75 mph) at AVP!

Could hit a island or Taiwan.. it would be nice to get a peak then.. btw for being a cat 5 right now satellite looks meh compared to what we usually see

Maybe some of you morley and intellectually superior d*****bags never noticed, but posters in this thread actually interact and appreciate his post. I don't know who the f*** some of you people think you are.

Mt. Holly radar indicating 65-75kt winds on those storms running through I-81 in PA. If they can manage to congeal into a line and get a cold pool behind them, watch out N NJ/NYC.

Damn

Its a damn shame that we don't have recon anymore in the WPAC. Even if we get something that surpasses Tip, we will never know.

It is but I dont want to go out in this heat.

I’m sure both of you are both keeping the young one hydrated. Is it possible to get to somewhere cooler for the evening with better A/C?