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Agreed, it looks like another potentially widespread and significant severe weather episode with very strong flow overlapping high moisture. Tuesday could have some potential too.

Short range models whiiffed,better convection was seemingly in SW Tn,but nothing really severe

Ugh! No fun! That had to be miserable for her on Friday! As I get older my excitement for severe weather is drastically waning! I only root for snowstorms now!

Sheesh...what do we have to wait another decade to get outta this? Boo, lol

Well I don't might the drought because I don't have to cut an acre of lawn every week. But I do miss the rain cause the grass is looking more brown then green

I had some minor branches go in ng across. The driveway but other than that, the storm were more bark then bite. Barely any rain

Much less hot today we haven’t broken 94 yet. Mostly overcast and not as humid

Yes, ncep ~-0.75 to -1 vs WCS

So much for rain today too...rain will stay south...screwed again

Decent

It was last year at this time when the PDO started its dump. Interesting to see if we repeat. I know Larry uses Ncep(?) numbers, but I think they pretty much followed the same trend as this graph. Feel fee to correct me Larry.

Sorry for the late reply. Sadly I missed out on the seeing the storm hit due to other reasons but could hear it. Family reported that we had a huge wind gust and lost power because of it. Was out for about 2.5 hours. Kids saw a sweet rainbow and sunset sky after that was awesome. Speaking of trees, my mom's hood in annandale was smacked from the storms on Thursday. A huge 30" poplar fell across the road taking out power lines. That was 8pm thursday. Dominion didn't show up until yesterday afternoon so a full 18 hours later. They worked on things but the storms last night knocked power out for a larger area surrounding my mom's house. She didn't get power back until 2am. So a full 30 hours w/o power for an 85 year old and no a/c. And dominion wants to merge to make more money.

Gorgeous day

Hit 100 again today.

What a day

79/55 But that peak June sun feels much warmer to me. I would’ve guessed mid-80s working outside.

Yes new moon tomorrow.

Exactly. Like I said, no one ever fixes it. It is what it is at this point. Temps off, cant measure snow, etc.

Surprised there’s no red flag warnings in Franklin County with this breeze. it is dry and crunchy.

2PM vs 24 hrs ago: RDU 7 cooler, more clouds, and NW vs SW winds

There’s a coastal flood statement posted in my area… Astronomical high tides? The statement doesn’t mention the potential cause.

Up to 86F, slightly humid. A trace is of rain so far this week so lawn is pretty crispy

Models are suggesting -SOI will lessen. There’s chance -SOI will end 6/16. If so, could be 6 days of +SOI before goes back -. Guessing per models 6/14: -15 to -20 6/15: -6 to -13 6/16: +5 to -6 6/17: +8 to -5 6/18: +16 to +1 6/19: +21 to +4 (the high point) 6/20-4 should drop back down and get back to negative by 6/21-2

El Niño .

Re Sunday severe threat from SPC -- 30 wind was backed westward to i81 corridor... 2% tor also moved slightly NWward compared to the morning Day 2 OTLK Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1237 PM CDT Sat Jun 13 2026 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN GEORGIA NORTHWARD INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of damaging wind gusts are expected across the Mid-Atlantic vicinity Sunday afternoon and evening. Additional strong to severe storms are expected across the Upper Ohio Valley and Lower Great Lakes area. ... Synopsis ... Broad troughing will exist across the eastern US on Sunday with several smaller-scale troughs moving through a longer-wave trough. At the start of the forecast period, one shortwave trough will be moving across the Northeast and a secondary low-amplitude trough will approach the eastern US later in the day. As this happens, low-mid-level southwesterly flow will increase to around 40 knots, providing effective-layer shear sufficient for thunderstorm organization. Surface dewpoints will increase into the low 60Fs perhaps as far north as central/southern New York ahead of an eastward advancing cold front. Diurnal heating of this moist airmass should result in MLCAPE perhaps as high as 1500-2500 J/kg across the southern Mid-Atlantic, to perhaps 1000 J/kg across portions of New York. Multiple rounds of thunderstorms will be possible along and ahead of the surface front during the afternoon and evening. Damaging wind gusts will be the main concern with these storms, although an isolated tornado will also be possible. Strong consideration was given to increasing wind probabilities to 45% (Level 3/Enhanced) across the central/northern Mid-Atlantic region, but opted to defer any upgrade to later outlooks after collaboration with local offices. Additional bands/clusters of storms are likely to develop during the afternoon across portions of the Upper Ohio Valley into PA/NY. While instability will be lower across this area, deep-layer flow will be stronger. Linear bands and clusters will pose a risk for isolated severe/damaging wind gusts through the evening.