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  2. Or just one day of 70 before strong fropa, succeeding a week of 50s
  3. Got some light flakes here in Knoxville (Inskip neighborhood).
  4. usually my threads bring good juju. of course nne has been crushing it, but that's not surprising. Just hope southern sne sees a 1-2" at least
  5. And from what I've seen on long range this'll be it until probably the first week of January.
  6. You had cold to VA and more snow than Methuen?
  7. I mean. How magical would it be to get a surprise? Radar isn’t supposed to look like this right now. .
  8. 0z NAM brings 2 to 3 inches for most of the LSV on Sunday am.
  9. Few takeaways that I've taken from this forum today: 1. There will likely be some banding that will set up somewhere around 30 miles east or west of the I-95 corridor, we probably won't know where exactly until right before the event - Likely will be 1-3" for most areas. Locally 4"+ is possible depending on where banding sets up 2. Guidance seems to generally like Baltimore up to Philly for the highest totals 3. I don't think the south will win again lol
  10. I am incredibly pleased with how the season is progressing relative to my expectation....may end up with less snow than I suspected through December (of course), but pretty damn good overall.
  11. Good ole MRX just tweeted that snow is beginning to fall across the northern plateau. [emoji1787] .
  12. The NAM Nest and HiRes Window FV3 both have a similar idea of initial rain turning to snow, with a nice band moving to the southeast in the late night hours. Surface temperatures are VERY marginal, but most of the column is "cold" other than right near the ground, so it should be mostly snow after initial rain for some. It's a good thing that this will fall at night, or else stickage would be completely dependent on rates.
  13. Just how dry it is from the previous run. Not that this is exclusively a NAM thing, but it does tend to vacillate pretty wildly. The proverbial 'NAMing' that lasts a run or 2 then disappears.
  14. Welcome to the board. Tell us more about the PDO going up. I haven't even looked at it lately!
  15. Matches up with my early season MC mismatch analogs from my outlook well. I am very pleased so far...only nitpick is that I though it would be less -WPO and more -EPO. December 2017-January 2018: December 2024-January 2025:
  16. Solid dusting down here. May be able to squeeze out 1/2 to 3/4ths inch.
  17. RRFS replaces the NAM, right? Nobody should look at its 18z run for this storm, lol
  18. I am waiting to see if new WWAs are posted. Almost would have to be.
  19. Yeah, not a terrible run for us snow wise. Not that it’ll verify (probably)
  20. Probably this spring. But what about this run is so clearly awful?
  21. This fits my progression for latter December into mid January perfectly...my only issue is I feel that -NAO/-AO in mid January will get pushed back, as I think that will be +TNH post reflection.
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