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  2. IrishRob17
    https://schumacher.atmos.colostate.edu/hilla/csu_mlp/index.php
  3. vortex95
    and DIAMOND DUST at 30,000 ft!
  4. Stormlover74
    No I didn't see that. Where can it be accessed?
  5. Damage In Tolland
    Dunno I’m laying out on aluminum foil on my roof currently
  6. BBasile
    Once again. Maybe I'll actually get something today? It's currently 89.7F with a 76F dew.
  7. vortex95
    Only @CoastalWx would use "decent" and "meh" in the same sentence! It's like when he finally had his 6" in a single storm b4 the 20"+ events this past winter, and he used "violently" and "beautiful" in the same sentence!
  8. RickinBaltimore
    Hey guess what? Eastern Baltimore County's getting it again.
  9. Lava Rock
    Hows your ac running Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
  10. winterwx21
    Yeah looks as if there will be isolated activity in northern-central NJ around 3-4pm from those pop ups in northeast PA that you mentioned. I'm not having the cookout until 6pm and I think any activity will be gone by then, but we'll see.
  11. WxUSAF
    Getting the Stephens city treatment the last few days
  12. vortex95
    I wonder if the GFS still has its TC spin-up bias in the long range? It looks more optimistic that the ECMWF Very dry at low-levels currently in the MDR, and will the dust outbreaks decrease? TCs can form in such hostile MDR conditions, but they are typical quite small and struggle. We saw this in the previous two years a lot.
  13. Kay
    That pic was the last minute of sun. No thunder or lightning nearby. Wind, though. Here comes a wall of rain.
  14. Damage In Tolland
    87/77 This is how we dew it
  15. frd
    Storms seem to be getting stronger in NE Maryland as they move East.
  16. Kay
  17. CoastalWx
    We do the dew. Summer baby.
  18. vortex95
    Today's set up is almost identical to ydy. And the SPC outlook looks very similar as well. So multicellular clusters once again. We do have the storms nrn areas now, but the clouds should clear out nicely behind it all for plenty of aftn heating. And VIS currently clearly shows boundaries laid down S of the tstm area.
  19. frd
    SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 543 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 110 PM EDT SAT AUG 8 2026 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 543 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS DEC001-003-005-082200- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0543.260808T1710Z-260808T2200Z/ DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX $$
  20. NEG NAO
    as the storms over southeast PA keep moving east - northeast they are starting to become severe and there are other fast pop ups developing further north towards Allentown
  21. John1122
    The line of storms were disorganized over my area and it only rained for about 10 minutes. They looked strong just to my northwest and southwest. Once the line passed my area it has rapidly developed and there's a ton of thunder and lighting just to my south, extremely heavy rain too it appears. Not sure if any upstream redevelopment will happen or not today.
  22. SouthernNJ
    An early line approaches from the west, some strong winds are possible due to the environment out ahead of it.
  23. vortex95
    Yesterday was a case of how hugging models can burn you for a fcst big time. This is where human fcst skill and intuition comes in. I stated the setup in a previous post and noted there were no reasons why there would not be sct-bkn coverage fro tstms Friday, and that was the case! Not tooting my own horn, just saying that models are far from perfect, and only *simulate* the atmosphere. They are not direct copies! And it shows that we are far from having fcsts automated. esp, for mesoscale phenomena.. Also, sometimes ppl will say, "well, this is the latest run (of the HRRR (for instance), so it has the latest data, so it *must* be more right than previous runs!" Obviously, that is flawed reasoning. Models can be wrong for all sorts of reasons in any given run, and sometimes egregiously so. And it is not always apparent why they do that. That's ok b/c they have limitations by default and again, the human fcst part comes in here and is still of very high value! Also, SPC had a SLGHT risk of svr tstms for the region. Why would one just ignore that? I would defer to SPC outlooks the vast majority of the time, as that's all they do, fcst convection! It was not highly conditional case (BOOM or BUST) w/ strong capping in place. Convective temps would be reached easily so decent tstm coverage was high prob. So putting in zero POPs for anywhere n the DMV yesterday has me scratching my head.
  24. RedSky
    Next week a taste of fall
  25. KakashiHatake2000
    I see hopefully they get some today .
  26. Great Snow 1717
    ...some people enjoy making energy executives even more wealthy...
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