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Exactly.

I had food delivered this morning. Just a few things but I wasnt going to the grocery store for them.

Look where the mid level low is before it tries to redvelop.

This is a nice storm for a lot of people let's wrap it up

What makes me nervous is the Triad always is the coldest in wedge situations (even compared to 50 miles west), that last hand of heavy rain may come through with temps in the mid 20s. No bueno

@wxmeddler I think bc you let us know about the Dr U convo you were gonna be low. I sorta expected that too, unfairly.

Hurricane recon flying in the Gulf and off the Cali coast getting more data. .

Yeah, the biggest reason this is higher end despite being a SWFE is the airmass and amount of moisture involved. You try and rip that type of gulf moisture up over the top of an arctic airmass this cold, you're going to get fireworks....and it's also kind of an ideal angle with the broad trough...so the duration is decent for a SWFE....instead of like 6 hours and out, we're more like 10-12 hours before the upper midlevels start to dryslot. You can also throw in some local enhancers with this airmass like OES and a CF....the CF helped you in a system like 12/16/07 and it might help you again. So we could easily see widespread 10-16/12-18 from that. I think a lot of the 20"+ talk is overhyped at the moment, especially since Monday is looking less onshore flow if this ticks north....but there is still the chance someone could grab 20 if we trend that Monday position a bit further south and prolong onshore flow.

Imma pass out early tonight so I can be ready for tomm. Got a feeling we ain't getting much sleep this upcoming period

I can go lower if u want.. Trend last 12 hours seems fairly clear that the cold front is over-performing a bit. Not too surprising, but even an hour or three of extra CAD really bumps the totals up when you're dealing with up to 2" hr rates.

I wonder where this storm will rank in terms of size and shear coverage. I dont know I've ever seen such an expansive warning map across the county. Very impressive. Sent from my SM-S938U using Tapatalk

Yeah MU can say n do what he wants. 18zs say it ain’t over by a king shot and even if us SErs lose some to taint a pingerfest is what we transition to. I’m knocking table right now. Check.

I smell death band. Sit back and smile.

These runs have looked fantastic. Also, people have lost their minds at the grocery store.

Empathetically, I don’t want Ray to get screwed in storms, but he does have some fantastically dark prose when his backyard gets reamed.

I discovered WJLA has an online listing of "DC-area" closings and delays: Closings

The first portion is.

They were cleaned out!

Lol 13 miles could be the difference between a crack whore or a fatty

Looks like the gfs only the CAM version

I asked him that on X because I can read the NAM too.

@bncho @Maestrobjwa @baltosquid @flanvil Hi guys! I made a video going over some basic atmospheric principles from Atmospheric thickness/geopotential height to divergence/convergence aloft based on super/sub geostrophic wind balance. Hopefully it can help out some people trying to learn more about this storm/atmospheric setups! I do apologize as I haven't done anything like this before so its a bit rough but hopefully helpful regardless. Let me know if anyone wants a video applying these topics to a real world example.

Got the Kuchera???? And only 246 hours away. What are we thinking for ratios?

If that primary ends up stronger, he will be right. I’m just hoping it isn’t. .