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Enjoy the rain that some called for . Will be rain for me as well or just glop.

I'm not sure if anyone posted this yet, but the MEI for January was -0.8

It’s about to be

Ralph made a good point in tbe other sub...what some guidance shows today is something we've haven't seen all winter: A wound up storm. Have we seen that--just in general--in the last 5-6 months? Suppressed, weak, and shunted has been a more predominant theme than what we see on the AIs. I mean stuff can always change...but I'm starting to believe the idea of winters having a "personality".

It’s basically been cloudy for days on end here.

Here ya go

Theme of the decade?

A staple form of "fun" for all males I knew growing up in the 1970's/1980's. Never got stung, but damn what a rush!

47⁰ under mostly sunny skies, feels amazing out there....won't be long until the itch for Spring starts, saw some robins the other day, Cardinals are singing a different tune too.

Not everywhere

Enjoy the coating of slush.

Yes, more GEFS members than not show a big goose egg for New England. That is concerning when coupled w/ the ECMWF op. But the AI ECMWF shows a hit!?

The euro family of models will win this time. Gfs and cmc familias will eventually slide se. I hopes I am wrong…

A buddy of mine moves dirt for a living and he painted one of his excavators….. .

NAM also crap

That is crazy they cannot possibly let people ski in weather like that I mean you could easily get disoriented and lost in that kind of snow.

oh ok. Thought it the other way around. i figured you stat guys could keep me straight.

Up to 32° here after a tenth of snow. Overcast now. Very jelly of those with 40s.

Could be totally wrong on this and just guessing what you are saying, but i feel like we have said that a lot this year with certain storms and they haven't trended NW, probably wrong on my part

At least DT is always calm and measured in his thoughts...great spelling to boot!!

The Euro seemed to have zero ridging behind the Fri/Saturday system, so everything slides ENE. It did look kind strange, being so flat and no other model is showing that. The CMC has a good amount of ridging, helping to amplify it much closer to the coast. The AIFS was somewhere in between. The 12z GEFS were actually pretty flat too. Eh, we'll know a lot more where things are trending 24 hours from now

From this vantage point IMHO this is where you want the GEFS to be....

NAM looks south thru 24 .. what a terrible performance by guidance leading up to go time

I never thought it would be a MA storm, and that's probably is a good thing for NYC and PHL. If this turns out to be a MA storm, then NYC and PHL will get close to nothing.