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That’s the current version (4.3), which tends to run high. The experimental version (5.0), which will become operational this spring, is lower.

Maynard, MA. 1978. But looking to tug it SE it a bit.

How we pray. Let’s get an all timer and then spring

Mesos ramping up which is good

Ohtay. We're off and running...

I eat salmon like I’m part grizzly. Good to see others partaking. Italian, sushi, and Mexican are probably my top 3.

Nah…Likely in NJ!

Wiz those are all time panels like 6 an hour in convection. Check out the marginal for CT coast can you say 2013 with its 9 per hour band. Yeah that's what those panels remind me of

Montauk.

He was laid off in 2024. He was good

Always thought with these doozies the short range models are gonna pick up on the banding signals while the globals paint with a broad brush, time to look at the mesoscale and even then, it comes down to radar / nowcast at go time with these bigguns...

I'm in NYC. Been here since 2012. And yes. But now my son is picking up the mantle and is fired up for tomorrow.

Never go by CEF snow totals. They’re so out of wack with other proximity measurements it’s laughable.

Chescowx normally wins these

This… this is my shite right there

The comparisons are decent; with the explosive deeping of the 500 mb trough, intense 850 low passing south of SNE a bit further south than in 78, great easterly moisture inflow north of the 850; both have classic "S" shaped 850 isotherms as well as signs slowing down and attempt at capture of surface system. The sfc layout shows the classic banana shaped high with the surface low embedded same as 78; the 78 high was ~1048 mb, this one is a bit stronger ~ 1051 mb; almost exact locations. So, overall, similar sfc and upper level layouts; not identical, but pretty dam close. Sfc and upper level features are a tad further south this time.

Gimme dat orange or red

Storms like this i always think of the old days when would always say...tge heaviest snow always ends up further northwest than modeled...shut up dummy

No no it can’t

Why not? There’s a first time for everything.

Anything is possible with this models anymore. Our early December snow looks like 4-6” a day out and that went to crap real fast inside 12hrs as it shifted nw

My 8 year old grandson asked me if the January storm was the most I ever saw So I explained 78 on the SRI coast. At the time I thought nothing of it but then realized I had asked my Dad the same thing in January 78 he said no 1960 . 3 weeks later was the Blizzard of 78. Full circle moment ?

Ultimately, I would really like to start seeing more signals for a pivot and maintaining of this intense fronto to really get excited and hopeful for widespread 18-24" but its more a quick south to north push and then it kind of fizzles. I think though there are signals which argue for that to occur and I wouldn't totally expect models to accurately handle this right now. But anyways...it is going to be absolutely epic for some hours. 18z NAM 18z GFS

I hadnt seen this since they updated..bullish

He’s a weenie