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One way or another I’m going to witness a hurricane in person. Once I retire I’m definitely taking a quick trip to FL or the Carolina’s. But shhhh! Don’t tell my wife because she doesn’t know this yet!

So you're saying CC's effect are somehow limited to the EU, and do not include Russia? Sorry - that's still cherry picking data. The more data you include, the better picture you get. Stop excluding data that doesn't fit your narrative. (Also Nature isn't exactly an unbiased reliable source. Also - "is expected to"? If CC is already here - shouldn't this already be happening? Why would this need to be a prediction, rather than an observation?)

That individual just likes to be contrarian for NWS/SPC.

Euro ai hinting at it

So it appears we are now at 5 confirmed TORs in the local area from the other day. This, after a well known local weather personality questioned spc issuing the tor watch. Gotta love it

Thank you for sharing!

A low of 51 degrees this morning! Absolutely beautiful!

Would track for our area's luck of late.

Helene Documentary available today https://www.angel.com/watch/shared/c39477ce-431a-479f-a0a9-27bf60199691at https://www.facebook.com/share/p/194WCRZcbU/?mibextid=wwXIfr

The shear over the Caribbean is nuts so nothing gonna come through there. I'd watch 20-30N and west of 50-55W for anything to get going beyond 10 days. Big plume of dust coming across over the next week or so. Climo ramping up as we move through August so will be interesting to see what can get going with developing and already strong El-Nino.

Enjoy the sunshine today clouds look to build back Saturday afternoon and linger throughout much of the Sun - Wed period with next rain from southerly flow and cut off low to our west Mon-Tue. Hot/Humid beyond there.

Nothing on the 7 day horizon but that may change by 8/8 with the Atlantic ridge established could increase FL- EC risk

Last of the showers finally rotated through here about 10:30 last night. Picked up an additional .04". July ended up with 8.99" here and that is on the lower side for my area. Looks like another general 1" of rainfall next week. Locally higher amounts possible. Nice day today!

DCA: +1.5 NYC: +0.9 BOS: +1.1 ORD: +0.6 ATL: +1.2 IAH: +1.1 DEN: +1.6 PHX: +1.3 SEA: +1.1

I have some awesome pics of mammatus that I snapped in NoVA, from over the past 1-2 decades when we lived there...my favorite wx phenomenon to photograph.

Yeah I don’t care too much about the backyard…especially the back half of the back by the woods where all of the fruit and nut trees are. I cut it early in the spring back there and that has been it. It’s a meadow around the pawpaws. Lots of crickets and tree frogs with the field grass and clover going to see. The wife gets what she wants out front with the biweekly mowings. Although it has slowed way down this past month from that lack of rain.

These are INCREDIBLE pics, TY for sharing!!!!

More of the same....every week has featured a big rain event going back to early July

The GFS seems to be pretty insistent that something might pop and at least get close to the CONUS before a recurve.

The GFS has been pretty insistent something develops and heads at least in the general direction of the CONUS. We'll see.

Got a nice drink (2"+) from Arthur with little wind. 200 miles east, Public Lands' Cutler tract had lots of trees flattened. Had 0.09" overnight, event total 0.16". From Tuesday thru yesterday, each subsequent QPF was lower than the previous one, finally fixing on <0.1" for both yesterday and last night - both verified.

July 31 1961: Very heavy rain falls at Albert Lea, where 6.7 inches is recorded in 24 hours. For Friday, July 31, 2026 1976 - A stationary thunderstorm produced more than ten inches of rain which funneled into the narrow Thompson River Canyon of northeastern Colorado. A wall of water six to eight feet high wreaked a twenty-five mile path of destruction from Estes Park to Loveland killing 156 persons. The flash flood caught campers, and caused extensive structural and highway damage. Ten miles of U.S. Highway 34 were totally destroyed as the river was twenty feet higher than normal at times. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1986 - The temperature at Little Rock, AR, soared to 112 degrees to establish an all-time record high for that location. Morrilton, AR, hit 115 degrees, and daily highs for the month at that location averaged 102 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - The deadliest tornado in 75 years struck Edmonton, Alberta, killing 26 persons and injuring 200 others. The twister caused more than 75 million dollars damage along its nineteen mile path, leaving 400 families homeless. At the Evergreen Mobile Home Park, up to 200 of the 720 homes were flattened by the tornado. (The National Severe Storms Forecast Center) 1987 - Afternoon highs of 106 degrees at Aberdeen, SD, and 102 degrees at Ottumwa, IA, and Rapid City, SD, established records for the date. It marked the seventh straight day of 100 degree heat for Rapid City. Baltimore, MD, reported a record twenty-two days of 90 degree weather in July. Evening thunderstorms produced golf ball size hail at Lemmon, SD, and wind gusts to 80 mph at Beulah, ND. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Twenty-one cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Sioux City, IA, with a reading of 107 degrees. The reading of 105 degrees at Minneapolis, MN, was their hottest since 1936. Pierre and Chamberlain, SD, with highs of 108 degrees, were just one degree shy of the hot spot in the nation, Palm Springs, CA. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Overnight thunderstorms soaked eastern Kansas and western Missouri with heavy rain. Four and a half inches of rain was reported at Nevada, MO. Evening thunderstorms in Oklahoma produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Covington. Six cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Williston, ND, with a reading of 105 degrees. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) Observances: 31 Fri World Ranger Day 31 Fri National Avocado Day 31 Fri National Mutt Day 31 Fri Harry Potter Birthday 31 Fri Lifeguard Appreciation Day 31 Fri National Jump for Jelly Beans Day 31 Fri National Raspberry Cake Day 31 Fri Shredded Wheat Day 31 Fri Uncommon Instrument Awareness Day 31 Fri Hawaii Flag day

Rain incoming. Hopefully a soaker this morning.

Wow, that's wild.