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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Actually didn't reach 100F today. Heat index still peaked at over 118F, though. The moisture never mixed out. Dp was basically 76-78F all day. -
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 448... Valid 032231Z - 040030Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 448 continues. SUMMARY...The potential for severe winds is increasing across eastern Pennsylvania, southern New York (including the New York City metro), and northern New Jersey as storms approach the coast. DISCUSSION...Latest radar imagery from KBGM and KDIX depict an initially broken band of thunderstorms beginning to show the early signs of cold pool amalgamation and upscale growth. Concurrently, increasing MRMS VIL values and cooling cloud-top temperatures have been observed over the past hour, further hinting that organization/intensification is occurring. More recently, a 75 mph gust was observed at Scranton, PA. Regional VWPs from central NY have been sampling fairly strong (40-50 knot) mid-level winds that are supporting stronger deep-layer wind shear than depicted by recent RAP mesoanalyses, and is likely promoting the recent intensification trend. Consequently, given the development of a deeper/more cohesive cold pool and strong deep-layer shear in proximity to ongoing convection, it seems likely that the potential for severe winds (most likely 55-75 mph) will persist downstream for the next couple of hours as storms approach the coast. Based on latest storm tracks, this band should reach the NY/NJ coast within the next 2-3 hours
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extreme https://x.com/WorldClimateSvc/status/2073150197807329431 World Climate Service @WorldClimateSvc These extreme deterministic solutions are eye-catching. For reference, the ERA5 record highest 500mb height over the CONUS is 6027 gpm (21 Aug 2023). As of today's 12Z runs, the following percentage of members exceed this: WeatherNext2 23% AIFS-ENS 12% IFS-ENS 12% GEFS 19%
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My PWS registered a high of 103.6 F this afternoon just before 4:00, 0.1 F higher than yesterday. Driving around town about the same time, our other car’s thermometer hit 108 F near the Target shopping center! While driving. Not parked on the asphalt somewhere. That’s insane. I can’t stand this heat. It’s horrible. It’s currently 95.2 F at home, in the shade.
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That’s why I’m not to worried about tomorrow, models are all over the place with the storms being so scattered lol
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High of 88 again today but already down to 79 degrees.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Elim72 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm new here. What is the arguing about? Had a good storm here in Elimsport earlier .38 . -
Pretty close to being a line now
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99.4° for a high in Reisterstown
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Mby highs: 7/1 - 100 7/2 - 101 7/3 - 102 (101.5 rounded up)
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
MGorse replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
65 knot gust (75 mph) at AVP! -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Maybe some of you morley and intellectually superior d*****bags never noticed, but posters in this thread actually interact and appreciate his post. I don't know who the f*** some of you people think you are. -
Mt. Holly radar indicating 65-75kt winds on those storms running through I-81 in PA. If they can manage to congeal into a line and get a cold pool behind them, watch out N NJ/NYC.
