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We may or may not get anything signif9icant, but the grandkids in SNJ (about 25 miles SSE from PHL) are progged for 10-16. With 2 decent storms already and the cold (especially Jan into Feb) they've probably had more days with snow cover of any winter since moving there in 2015. Three years ago, their total "cover" was a flurry that turned the grass to light green.

Kind of surprised that Watches up in Lehigh/Berks haven’t been upgraded to Warnings yet. Will undoubtedly happen in 2hrs

mt holly not biting

It wallops RIC

It really is. We're going to walk the dogs and kids. Nothing better than a beautiful day right before a snowstorm.

In the past I’d be a bit concerned with the euro but given how bad it’s been and being kind of alone…not putting much weight on it. But watch it bite me in the weenie

The NAM should keep it going and blow our doors off at 18z. The 15k sref should be out soon..

No, the euro is like 25% less than most other guidance. Still an incredible storm, but probably the difference between “hell of a system” and “potential all timer”

8-16 still great call by Mt Holly

Over and under odds of what the Central Park official measurement will be regardless of how much snow actually falls?

Yeah I feel alot more comfortable now

Hopefully MPM will be at his Maine Pit so he won’t bitch incessantly about missing snow

You leave that resplendent rodent out of this! .

I'm glad to see that it made a pretty good move. The 10 inches that the Euro is showing for our area seems like a realistic worst case scenario.

Yea that’s what matters imo. I find the euro is too weak with qpf on coastals.

I wonder what the models would've showed if 1978 happened today

same over here

Definitely a little subdued compared to everything else. Most guidance is 2”+ liquid here and that’s like 1.5” something monitor.

Also I am encouraged it wasn’t one run to get to this. After the air went out of things at 00z, it started this move at 06z then accelerated it at 12z. Hopefully it’s just picking up on a final, persistent trend now and not a windshield wiper…

Yall up there i wouldn't trust the euro worth a shit. Showed me getting 2 inches here in NC 6 hours before and got 15. The euro has been pure ass. The GFS-NAM-HRRR nailed here.

We get 3 and they get 30 nice.

Beat me to it!!

Better/earlier phase and better tilt with the new Euro. Note how the 500mb low closes off earlier. Delmarva nuke time:

I did move to cross junction in 2020, which was good for snow - but no better for rain, but i moved back to stephens city in 2023. I'm so dumb, I moved here twice. Lol.