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  2. michsnowfreak
    Honestly, the funniest thing about the strong Nino this coming winter is that everyone in the north/northeast is prepared for a winter subpar to their climo. Expectations are set. It’s actually the troll comments that there will be no winter at all (in places that would see multiple snows in their warmest winter on record), that will look absolutely ridiculous next spring.
  3. mitchnick
    As always, if it doesn't happen on or around the time as proged, we may be in trouble. Fwiw, today’s weeklies establish the trough around the GOA the first week of November and holds it through the last week. We won't have long to wait. P.s. Today's weeklies put a nice hit on the PV too. This has been advertised for a few days now. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-zonal-mean-zonal-wind?area=nh&base_time=202610190000
  4. michsnowfreak
    DTW lows the last 3 days 37F, 35F, 38F. Light frosts each day, with freezes in the colder spots. Might not see a cloud all week, but what better weather for peak Fall color peeping?
  5. marsman
    42 at 7:50 am. No 30's this go-round. Next time.
  6. psv88
    64 and beautiful today
  7. Bubbler86
    34 for the low at Pen-Mar this AM. Less frost than the day before. Lots of mowing going on today as it has spiked to 68.
  8. Brewbeer
    the freeze two nights ago dropped most of the leaves off a couple of maples in my yard
  9. Brewbeer
    thank you for removing any pretense we may have had about your objectivity
  10. steve392
    Lots of fires with smoke for days. Gorgeous afternoon, 65, bright blue skies.
  11. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  12. CT Valley Snowman
    Foliage seems to have dulled a bit locally after wind, rain, and a couple of freezes.
  13. tamarack
    Even at my latitude it's uncommon - only 6 of 28 Octobers have had measurable snow, most recently in 2018. Elsewhere in Maine - Gardiner had measurable in 2 of 12 Octobers, Fort Kent 8 of 10 but only 4 with 1"+ and none more than 4". BGR 1973-75 had only traces, though the Maritimes had a blizzard on 10/20-21/1974. We also had 0.7" on 10/26/1962 in NNJ.
  14. mitchnick
    Residual cold. Look how far the heights are off the coast matching the low anomaly.
  15. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Sandy’s track has no comparison in the entire historical record. That alone qualifies as historic. Also while still tropical over the Gulf Stream it had the largest area of tropical storm force winds of any TC in any basin ever. Also pretty historic. As far as timing of impactful extratropical storms, many where in the swing months of oct/nov and mar/April. The flow tends to slow down during this time and this allows coastal storms to affect multiple high tide cycles. The other name for the Ash Wednesday storm is the 6 tide storm. This exact scenario is playing out as we speak. Massive erosion and wash overs are occurring already on the outer banks and it’s just getting started. .
  16. ChescoWx
  17. mitchnick
    Disagree. That post had the trough moving east by the arrows. It's not moving east. And to say the eastward end is just smoothing out is your interpretation.
  18. ChescoWx
  19. LakePaste25
    Here are the 850s for that same loop:
  20. LakePaste25
    That’s not modeling a retrograde. You can clearly see the secondary center of LP N of HI moving east to replace it. The eastward end is just getting smoothed out. Come on now. The entire wave pattern is literally locked in.
  21. Today
  22. dendrite
    Warm & rainy
  23. mitchnick
    You may want to reconsider.
  24. snowman19
    Commoditywx does not have an agenda. Last winter he was hyping cold runs. He’s as neutral as they come
  25. GoAPPS
    "Winter in Waiting" On Saturday, rime ice covered the evergreens at the highest peaks of the Blue Ridge Parkway as autumn filled the valleys with golden hues.
  26. mitchnick
    Since I don't have an X account, you should probably give them this link because that run, when put in motion, clearly shows that trough off the west coast retrograding WEST, NOT EAST, in the frames leading up to that 360hr map they posted. Agenda, agenda....that's all I see. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=eps&region=nhem&pkg=z500a&runtime=2026101900&fh=18
  27. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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