All Activity

Models are too a lot of things, not just too snowy. Case in point, last year the gfs, accounting for the 3 runs per day, had philly over 100° more than 80x. The Euro was better, but it still had them over 100 numerous times. Philly reached 100 zero times last year. A nws met tracks this on a Philly board, so im not making it up. Too snowy. Too cold, but also yes, too hot. I know some can't handle that last one.

No I'm just going by the Longest Heatwaves page the NWS maintains for NYC, I don't know what heatwaves JFK had that year except for the amazing 102 degrees we hit out here right after the 4th of July! According to that page NYC last 7+ day heatwave was in 2002 and 2002 was also the last year to have two heatwaves of that length (well of course since it was also the last time they had one 7+ day heatwave lol.)

(we) meaning JFK?

0.64” here but don’t really care to get any really, Just another lousy Saturday and our party has moved indoors today.

Not a fan of the trajectory. “only” 0.90” in the stratus from yesterday

and two big heatwaves in July of 7+ days each, something we don't see anymore :-( We saw it happen one more time in 2002 and that was it.

When folks in far NNE are installing and excited about , you know a HHH summer is upon us

A few years ago a deer fell into my pool at my other house in the Poconos and died and I had to call in the game warden to help remove the deer. Well long story short, removal of the deer was much easier than what happened the rest of that summer. A massive tick infestation, I found six ticks on my clothes that summer, I bought that chemical from Amazon that you're supposed to put on your clothes to keep them away but still had to change clothes after each time working in my garden and wash my gardening clothes in a bucket before taking them inside, etc. The ticks were of the small black variety and thankfully none of them got under my skin (literally), although one did manage to get into my hair but I removed it before it was able to do anything else. I found out later to leave food for opossums since they are the ticks' worst nightmare, they eat them like crazy.

Nice. Purchased. Thank you.

Thanks for canceling summer now

It was a 6/7 to 6/8, 2 day heat spike. The heat didnt return till later in the month 6/26 in 1999.

Ticks, and tick born illness, is nothing new up here. One has to take proper precautions and hope for the best. Don’t let tv hype impact you so much.

we have to like it because it's much needed, Rob!

Highs:EWR: 99 (1999)NYC: 96 (1925) 94 in 1999 * / 2008LGA: 97 (1999)JFK: 92 (1999) 1999 had such a great summer, we didn't have all these darned ticks that year. Looks like this is when the heat got started that wonderful summer and today was a clean sweep for record highs that year.

Yes, Thanks.

They're great, especially the newer ones, they keep improving efficiency. Have a cool summer.

Congrats

Lilacs peak was a solid month ago down here but I had noticeable less blooms as well.

I'm really worried about these ticks Rob, I see there's large numbers of them in parks here. It's going to be a bad season (it already is.) https://abc7ny.com/post/tick-season-officials-warn-bites-rise-provide-prevention-tips/16669279/ SMITHTOWN, Long Island (WABC) -- "Don't let a tick make you sick." That's the message doctors across the country are spreading after discovering that tick bites are on the rise. The CDC estimates 500,000 people in the U.S. will get Lyme disease this year, and all it takes is a single tick bite. Wildlife experts say, from what they are seeing, it could be a rough season.

Yesterday from Joe D’Aleo at WxBell: “Ocean(s) in transition? The SSTA last 30 days (-15 to +15C) Comparing 2025 to 2024: January to May 2024 vs 2025: Is this the start of a transition back to a negative AMO? The ocean changes modes on a multi-decadal cycle - 30 years of a positive this cycle followed a cold of 30 years, which followed 40 years of warm, which followed what appears 25 years of cold. The cold AMO/NAO/AO favors colder (US) regardless of ENSO.”

.04 today mostly mushroom growing type rain

Yesterday from Joe D’Aleo at WxBell: “Ocean(s) in transition? The SSTA last 30 days (-15 to +15C) Comparing 2025 to 2024: January to May 2024 vs 2025: Is this the start of a transition back to a negative AMO? The ocean changes modes on a multi-decadal cycle - 30 years of a positive this cycle followed a cold of 30 years, which followed 40 years of warm, which followed what appears 25 years of cold. The cold AMO/NAO/AO favors colder (US) regardless of ENSO.”

I agree 100% models are too snowy. I've been an unapologetic snow lover all my life and started following snow threats religiously since the 72/73 winter. Since then when modeling was first being used as a tool, they have ALWAYS been too snowy beyond 24 hours. I can remember complaining to a friend in high school (before 1976) that the model forecasts were too snowy. My point is, modeling has always been too snowy outside of 24 hours for a variety of reasons and to use recent years' snowy +24 hours modeling errors as proof of anything is a mistake imho.

Installs completed, These work amazing, Whisper quiet, And can cool a room in short order.

It’s raining now