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I had been thinking 1-2” here until about 6 hours ago. 4” seems likely.

How do you post videos of radar mine keeps saying to big

Even up in the Catoctins it was 26-27 late afternoon and no issues on the roads with light rain/ drizzle

Main road we live on already with a coating on it. Nice to be in a good position temp wise.

The ocean affect you can see on Upton radar on there site, or even on radar scope. The only way you see it is if the main stuff is east.

1/2 to inch already.

1" lol

How is snow growth there? Started here around 8:15 but we are only at about 1.5”. Pure baking powder. has not gotten any heavier than moderate since it started. Hopefully see a little improvement in flake size, but either way should end up with a few inches.

We toss those koochie graphics. Wish we could just bring some more realistic discussion into these storms.

Gotta use either TJFK or TEWR radar to see low lvl moisture

Flurries now.

guys the snow that's coming is heavy banding! during that summer that would be thunderstorms. I couldn't be surprised to see some thundersnow

Ocean effect snow in Long Island right now. Can’t recall seeing that recently.

So that escapes the radar? Genuinely curious!

Shocked you’re surprised

Interestingly, one of the most useful model I can find right now is the Euro Weeklies control. It is basically a 4 week extension of the 0z Euro deterministic run after day 15. It has been doing really well if one accounts for its biases - the ensemble weeklies not so much. I haven't been discussing the weeklies as much lately due to their errors and inconsistencies. But again most models past 120 hours are struggling mightily. They are all over the map. One thing the weeklies are signaling is that we are possibly about to enter a very dry time frame. Now, that might sound bad and it could be. However, many of the areas which get snow...that signal will show up as dry. I noticed the CPC analogs are almost all from the 2020s. That probably isn't unwise on their part, but it probably means they are going to be wrong. This winter doesn't remind me of 2020s winters at all. This one has a bit of old school in her bones. And no, I don't want an ice storm either. I don't mind a mixed bag, but I like my lights on. After Helene knocked us out for several days...I am not a fan of running a generator 24/7. During the winter, "no power" is about ten times worse. Pipes freeze. There is no heat. There is no travel.

Quite shocked to see the radar in Binghamton has fully filled in on radar loop.

Same here.. Measured 4.8" about an hour ago.

About an inch here. Def over performing my earlier thoughts.

2.3" so just under an inch over the last hour. Hoping light snows will continue long enough to end up with 3".

Just eyeballing outside and looks like 1/2” already.

Radar filling in all the way to the lakes….

dry air holding strong

That has been one nasty sucker hole over NYC/NNJ, they got screwed. At least It does appear to be fiiling back in some to the west of them.