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Where do you get the AIGFS?

Ok, so onto the next panel. It's markedly different vs 18z...seems positive at h5, but sfc not terribly impressive

That energy is also farther SW and diving in harder than on prior runs.

H5 energy is trailing decently west of last run. This should be improved.

AIGFS is a weenie run if you work under the assumption that the AIs surface temps are broken

Sure had a great start to this winter season from Turkey day until about Dec 10th. The big storm Nov 30th definitely made the whole winter. It's just a shame that we have to pay for that with what will be a 6-8+ week stretch of very little snowy weather. Definitely looking like a garbage pattern for the foreseeable future, but hopefully we can bookend this season with more storminess. No matter what this already destroys last winter's futile excuse of a winter.

Trof axis is further west than 18z so far...seems like that would be a positive, but with this year and where we live, I can't look too much into it

Good start

I swear 2016 lined up a lot like that top one . Went on snd on

Well the ICON is perking up I see.

Probably not going to make a ton of difference, but the ridging out west with the GFS now vs 18z is a bit higher. H5 does show some subtle differences. Let's see how this progresses down the line

I got pivotal now ty bro!

np Yeah I noticed it a while ago during hurricane season. My only complaint is I think there should be more localized regional parameters, there's one for the entire eastern half of the US but it would be nice if he could split it into specific regions like the Northeast, Southeast, etc.

All I can say is paste TN white! Bring those days of snow & cold where it don’t melt for at least a week!

After the hype, I was kinda hoping this winter could go BIG with real-deal storms and deep snow pack. AN for snow but its come in mostly bite-sized chunks similar to last winter here. Glancing back at my daily data for 2013-14 (which just happened to be the season I started keeping such) and in that incredible winter I had SEVEN warned storms (Marshall's not in the LES belt just to be clear). Totals for the 7, largest to smallest: 18.0", 10.5", 8.5", 6.3", 6.0" 5.5", 5.5" (plus 3 top-shelf WWA's). In the last 2 winters I've only had two events reach exceed the 5.5" threshold - neither got a warning. Still paying the bill for 13-14 is how it feels at times, lol

I'll have to try that thanks!!

The frames do seem to load faster/more consistently on Pivotalweather...speaking of which the GFS runs quicker on CyclonicWx so I tend to use that

That's what she said

They beat the rams once already..

Just hit 50. AWT

Tropical tidbits has lots of missing frames jumps from 144 to 180 lol

I'd still rather have that at 144 instead of being in the bullseye. Lots of time to improve

50F and .67" of warm-ish rain made for a bunch of parking lot puddles. BUT! Thx to frozen ground and night time temp spike we only lost half the 5-6" glacier leaving us with 2-3" otg heading into tomorrow's odd system. Can I get a headline upgrade? APX says its on the table.

Blame the cape storm