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yeah, I mentioned it a few days ago too. Thing is, .... ugh this is gonna turn some eyes but we're getting some of this seasonal lag business that was papered. It's more and less evidenced year to year. It's because of CC's speeding up of the jet stream in recency. It lends to extending the wave lengths deeper into the springs, which causes the aberrant cool "excursions" - the paper refers to these as unseasonable jet meanders. In winter as well, with unusually deep cold intrusions to mid latitudes, setting up very extreme temperature gradients which in turn speeds up the jets... It's a status of where we are, not necessarily where we are heading in the grand scheme of things... Sensibly it's well footed. There's also empirical data. I can tell you more than merely anecdotally, prior to 2000 I observed snow between Kalamazoo MI and Boston MA, twice in 31 years. Since? about 1/3 to 2/5ths of the years have had snow in May or an atmosphere supportive of snow at the synoptic scale/mass. This is also true at the other end of the dial in autumns. Where I'm going is two fold: A, this lending to a kind of forgetfulness about where things could be if this were not taking place. It's no one's fault per se. We get conditioned/acclimated... But really we've been colder than the back ground since last autumn, and now the jet is meandered to extend things further - that's what this really looks like... -refer to annotated post I provided several hours ago. That is an anachronistic SPV B, when does this break down? The hints we're seeing may be seeing the end.

Don't get me wrong, though - I get where you are coming from. But I'm just doing this as a hobby and competing against a steady stream of dis- and misinformation. There are accounts that are actually PAID big bucks just to spread climate disinformation. For an unpaid hobbyist to compete against a career liars, AI is an absolute must.

That signal has started to show the past few days. It is growing legs.

I'm wondering if this rain for tomorrow ends up being more like a 3,500' evap level virga sky

heh...12z Euro ends that run way out there in a deep summer vibe.

lol....It's almost like someone was reading the conversation in here...

Sorry, I don't have time to write my own posts. And ChatGPT headlines get far more engagement than any I could create.

There is a BUZZ for Tupac bobblehead giveaway night at the Yards -people started lining up around noon - the queue at the main gate behind CF is full as of now (2:50 pm)

You are very committed to discussing all facets of climate change, and I admire your effort. However, would you possibly be up for moving away from AI usage in your posts? I can't help but see all the hallmarks of it throughout your Twitter page. A lot of it undermines your overall message, and I'm not talking from the energy consumption standpoint, but instead just the overall strength of the rhetoric you and consequently ChatGPT use.

HRRR did pretty well yesterday having these showers moving through

My super ensemble had rain for you https://synoptic-weather-lens.base44.app

I’ve noticed a weird phenomenon of drought denial online — and not just from the usual suspects. Sometimes it is even promoted by people I would not expect to do it, like @Typhoon Tipwas entertaining from the usual suspects. But the PDSI is not the Drought Monitor. It is not a subjective map or a weekly expert assessment. It is an objective drought index built from the two core inputs that matter most: maximum temperature and precipitation. And for the first four months of 2026, the U.S. has had by far the highest average maximum temperatures on record and the second-lowest precipitation on record. The most alarming thing is how much lower the PDSI is than 1934 at the same point. That was by far the worst drought observed since at least 1000 CE, per paleo evidence. https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/2014gl061661

East end boy likes west end flow

I just read “The Last Traverse” book about a winter death and rescue on Lafayette and that was a good read about that area. Rescuers find two bodies on the ridge frozen. One is barely alive and they save him, lowest body temp recorded in the U.S. to survive…. One survivor to tell the story, and those National Guard guys are cowboys in the blackhawks up there in 70mph winds at night. I’d recommend if anyone is looking for a quick but intense read.

Yeah we’ve been overperforming a bit on night 1s of CAA. Usually it’s still too mixed to really bottom out here in my hill, but I suppose it’s that time of the season where it’s a little easier to decouple with weaker flow.

Variably cloudy here with upper 50s. A little cool, but not too bad. Better than E flow scat.

Meanwhile it's raining.

Oh hey. It’s windy. Like, hella windy. Again.

57-59 today. I would've taken this a week ago, but after a few days in the mid-upper 60's it feels coolish. Next week looks like rubbish, but hopefully things turn around by the weekend and beyond.

Old Bridle path up and Falling Waters on the way down was always one of my favorites. Haven't done it since about 1990 though. Did the whole Pemigewasset loop in the early 2000's. Beautiful place to hike.

I didn’t realize how cold this trough would be. It’s been flurrying and spitting snow all day out of slate gray skies around 40F at 1,500ft with steep lapse rates. I figured it would try to warm up but not really at all.

Destructive sunshine day

Today kind of sucks

Yea Triangle to Triad (<1.5” from the past two week “wet” period) are absolutely not out of the woods

yea feels like we're still in a La Nina thing. Gulf of Mexico has had basically no influence on our weather for like 3 years now. I haven't been tracking things much lately, but at minimum we need to start getting tropical remnants back in this area by Fall.