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  2. CoastalWx
    Looks that way
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Good question...I guess the year in the aggregate?
  4. raindancewx
    The PDO tends to decay toward whatever 1.2 is in October, so I do expect it reverse toward neutral fairly rapidly in the coming weeks. But I never really expected it to sustain positive, and that still looks correct. PDO is a pretty weak signal in December nationally. The lightest blue/green is 0.1 r, not r-squared. But PDO is a bigger deal in Oct-Nov and Jan-Feb. The only important tendency with a -PDO December is Western Canada will be cold (probably not flooded with Pacific air).
  5. GaWx
    I’ll check. But first tell me this: do you mean around the current time (say, the same day (Sep 28th) or late Sept through Oct) or do you mean also later?
  6. raindancewx
    We're up to 3.8 inches of rain as of a minute ago for the month. Should pass September 2013 (3.97") to become the wettest month for Albuquerque since July 1930 in the next two hours. Above 4.45" (July 1930), its easily the wettest month in over 100 years. Real shot at passing July 1930 too with ~36 hours of rain/month left as Polo makes landfall two. Sept rain/temp patterns nationally don't really reflect correlations to El Nino or the PDO, although PDO is irrelevant for US temps in Sept.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I know that.....I mean the entire list of cold arctic years.
  8. HIPPYVALLEY
    Maybe putting an end to what has already been a very tame yellow jacket season in these parts. Relative to normal at least.
  9. GaWx
    2011 was moderate La Niña while 2000 was weak La Niña. Also, both were coming off of a prior year’s Niña.
  10. Stormlover74
  11. Typhoon Tip
    First wide spread multi-regional frost/freeze potential 6th-7th?
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would not expect that this year....1997 was low, ascending solar with a strong easterly QBO...very odd timing for a super-El Nino. This year fits the bill with W QBO and descending solar. Good luck with early blocking. 1997 is a very poor polar analog...our chances will come later this year.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    2004 was a weak El Nino...any other warm ENSO years on that list?
  14. gravitylover
    Meh. It's just sitting and spinning and hasn't moved out so we're not 'behind' it yet.
  15. winterwarlock
    Its mainly cloudy..another bust
  16. scope1
    Sprinkles
  17. steve392
    Been having some color here by me for 2 weeks now. Mainly younger trees.
  18. pazzo83
    yep - sure we haven't had as many extremes as the middle of the country (although early July was pretty insane here), it's just... warm. Yeah, we have below normal periods still (and hopefully one happens in tandem with a coastal storm later in the season!). But the warmth is mostly unabated.
  19. LongRanger
    light rain
  20. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  21. GaWx
    Recent Josh update on Polo on a farm he was staying at on Baja: includes a nice video of the peak as well as aftermath, which shows that people/farm animals weren’t injured despite significant damage to the farm. The main house he was staying in handled it well though:
  22. Today
  23. Baroclinic Zone
    Off and on drizzle all AM
  24. Weather Will
    WB 12Z models for Sunday.
  25. frd
    Sun was forecasted, but as usual a busted forecast. Has happened all year.
  26. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  27. Typhoon Tip
    the problem with orchestrating life behaviors around traditional points of views and perspectives/belief systems is when objective evidence, and math, prove that the old traditional methods are harmful - yet, they remain unwavering.
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