I just want to take a few minutes outline the areas that I will be posting about and to introduce myself as I do not post much in general and rarely really post outside of the Mid Atlantic forum.
I have been a member since the Eastern era of the board and have been tracking the weather as an enthusiast since the early 2000's. I moved to Southeastern PA to go school at Millersville in August 2008 and graduated from there with a B.S. in Meteorology in 2011. I enjoy forecasting in general and especially mesoscale forecasting. I try to get out and do some local chases, though lately I haven't gotten out as much as I would like too.
I hope to keep this blog updated at least weekly with a focus on general forecasting. Obviously during slow times you may not here much out of me. On the other hand, during severe weather days I may use this blog to voice my opinions on the very short term as the event evolves and update several times a day. My "area of interest" (or whatever you want to call it) will generally be the Shenandoah Valley of Virginia and the more western suburbs of DC. I may post outside of this area occasionally if there is something overly interesting happening and things are dull here.
As a computer/technology, don't be surprised to see the occasional technology oriented post either!
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A significant cyclogenesis event in the North Pacific will be the primary catalyst of a pattern change over the next few days.
Let's take a look at the evolution over the Pacific into western North America.
Notice our N Pac storm gets dual jet support and really goes to town over the Aleutians. Wait isn't that where a massive ridge was last week? ... or for that matter the last three months. Well that's one thing that changes. The ridging once over the Aleutians and Bering Straight retrogrades west, while the N Pac storm breaks cyclonically northward. It's really a beautiful event. Minor flat ridging over the eastern Pacific gets pumped up into the Gulf of Alaska, with an intensifying polar jet streak pushing north into the Yukon.
What happens after that? Fantastic classic anticyclonic wave breaking into British Columbia! The result is a 170kt+ northerly jet diving into the Pacific Northwest. So you know the trough and all that energy bottled up over Alaska and the Gulf? Well a lot of that comes pouring southeast on the wings of this jet into the northern Rockies
So that's the atmosphere's plans for Saturday.
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