Other than the news that my second novel is progressing well today, we have some weather to discuss. Teleconnections tell us what kind of 500mb pattern we can expect to shape up in that time frame. Normally 2-4 days, his medium to high confidence, 4-8 days is low to medium and 8+ days is usually low confidence for various reasons. Our snowstorm potential exists because two thirds of our pattern is showing a good sign for a snowstorm to impact the New England region. First we have to have a n
First snow of the season looks to be supported by most of the guidance we use for forecasting our weather across the CONUS. Our weather in New England this time of year gets particularly colder as we venture to the beginning of November through the end of March, this time period is notorious for heavy snowstorms, more so towards DEC through FEB sometimes including NOV and MAR. This winter supports a La Nina pattern, although weak, but present should feature more of a negative PNA and positive
GFS if right shows snow occurring over the coastal waters of Cape Cod on November 16th. Could this be the mark of the first snow of the season? Stay tuned, next two weeks will determine whats real and what is not.
"Dawn Awakening: The Apocalypse is Now", is a heart wrenching tale about the end of the world through the study of geology. Together we will experience, life, death and destruction of the world in a process known as the, "Earth Core Pulse", a theory I created on an epic energetic pulse of ultimate energy emanating from the Earth's Core throughout the faults of the Earth, and where it all starts, the Philippines, explodes into dust and heat is generated throughout the oceans as various earthquak
Looking at the latest 12z model data, it appears that the last week of October through the Halloween holiday and into the first few weeks of November the Teleconnections will favor trough in the east and ridge in the west type pattern where sustained cold will be possible in New England north of 40N latitude. This could mean a stormy November in which cold air sinks into the Oh Valley centered in this region the trough will allow storms to come up the East Coast to the benchmark and give us pre
SO the models are showing frigid air entering the northern Plains sometime in the next ten days and that cold air filters into the eastern US by day 13-16, which is the 27th and beyond of October. We could be seeing a change to much colder air eventually as winter gets closer. Most of our storms this winter will be from the Oh Valley to the Mid Atlantic coastal storm tracks, signifying that miller Bs and not Miller As will be the normalcy this winter.
Ok the pattern upcoming for the next two weeks is quite simple. Simply put, it remains a negative to neutral PNA, positive NAO and positive AO, this means cold air will continue to filter into the western Canada and Western US, while the eastern US and eastern Canada remain underneath a strong ridge of high pressure with southwesterly winds and warm temperatures. By the end of October, this pattern may switch to more seasonal temperatures showing a cooling trend by the beginning of November.
Hey everyone of Americanwx.com foruims,
Today I inform you that my novel, 'The Dawn Awakening: Opening Segment" is being reviewed by a publishing company for potential publishing, keep me in your prayers, as we can get through the barrier of publishing. Thanks, I will have another updated blog on Thursday when they make the decision. Thanks!
James Warren Nichols
Hello folks,
I am writing to you guys because its fun and a bit of an exercise short story for when I try to write short stories and get published in the future. This practice short story is about a Blizzard of the Century deal where a catastrophic nor'easter meets the NE CONUS and the MW. A storm as strong as the Greenland storms in the winter time. A low as low as 925.4mb a category five hurricane pressure. What would happen if a low bombed out to 925.4mb southeast of Nantucket, MA, h
A microburst potential exists on Tuesday morning as a screaming Low Level Jet with hurricane force winds possible for Cape Cod if the surface low travels over the top of the area.
The latest afternoon run of the GFS today has brought fear into the eyes of the beholder. Shows a 937mb sitting off the SE US Coastline festering on the warmest waters of the Atlantic Ocean. Could become a category four hurricane in another five days.
Models are not crazy about the tropics right now but we have two areas of interest growing in the Tropical Atlantic as I write this blog. First area of concern is close to home, in what we call a homegrown threat, an area of thunderstorms grew into an area of low pressure earlier this afternoon and is growing with thunderstorm activity. It developed from a leftover frontal boundary currently racing off to the Northeast over the western Atlantic Ocean. TS Emily grew from the same front yesterd
Check out my recent work, my novel draft and my short story. I want to publish them both soon.
Hurricane Hunter Short Story.docx
A day of Rest, chapter one.docx
The title is "A Wild Weekend to remember, a love story" there will be a continuation of Marie and Walter's weekend in the second short story and then a continuation of the story.
James Warren Nichols, written by
A couple, a love story.docx
12z Models are in and bring some snow to the Cape and Islands, they are further south than the 00z runs and this still makes me believe that the models are not quite there in there handling of the H5 low just yet. I will give a full blog update tomorrow morning.
A major nor'easter/blizzard is imminent. Blizzard of 2017 is on its way. The northern piece of energy has made a US landfall over NW US at 18z yesterday afternoon or evening and this is the energy that we have been waiting for a sampling of and now that we got models adjusted stronger with the southern vort max and northern vort max. Now there are three jet streams involved. The northern jet stream (AKA Arctic jet stream), southern stream (Pacific Jet) and the sub-tropical jet which situate
NAM and its parallel model both show extensive potential for ferocious wind gusts on Tuesday late morning through the afternoon hours. there remains a window of 6-12 hours where winds could gust as high as 105mph according to the NAM model. Stay tuned for further updates.
