Tornado Girl Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 4" in L'pool....snowing nicely. Great discussions by all! TH, your thoughts on how this all transpired have been very good! Time for mother nature to reward you and your fellow Tuggsters with something BIG! Yes all of us Tuggsters have been bystanders this Winter....I hope your right....All it takes is one or two good LES events to get back in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 LEK looks like you will see 2-4 from the LES fairy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 :snowman: :snowman: :snowman: Snow continues at a good steady clip but wimpy flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 7.5 inches in Eggertsville as of 1PM. NWS saying 2-4 more is likley, lake snow advisories up for NIagara and orleans counties just north of us and I have a feeling the NWS will add Northern Erie later because a good deal of the snow that is effecting Niagara and Orleans counties is also getting into Northern Erie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I think the forecast verified fairly well for most of us....I hope everyone enjoys their snow ......Tug looks to get a little light LES tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I never believed it, just thought it was ridonculous. I just want to know what they were thinking. They're usually not this far off. I upped my forecast from 5-10" to 6-12" yesterday and now I'm thinking that I should have stuck with 5-10". Radar is filling in a bit in Albany County and the models did hint at enhanced precip in the Cap District this afternoon. We'll see, but I'm guessing we don't break 10". Current surface map looks like it want to try to turn winds WNW down the Mohawk Valley. Hudson Valley has north winds. Maybe a bit of convergence starting. Nice little kink in Isobars. The old MVHV convergence....that area should be good for a inch or two later today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 MVHV is hard to predict. The NWSFO mentioned in the there discussion yesterday. Sometimes it works out and sometimes it doesn't. I mention it so much that I should probably change my screen name to MVHV Convergence LOL! It usually disappoints although a couple of times it's cranked out 3-6"! The old MVHV convergence....that area should be good for a inch or two later today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 MVHV is hard to predict. The NWSFO mentioned in the there discussion yesterday. Sometimes it works out and sometimes it doesn't. I mention it so much that I should probably change my screen name to MVHV Convergence LOL! It usually disappoints although a couple of times it's cranked out 3-6"! LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 What do you think about the clipper this weekend? Didn't look too impressive on the 12z GFS. I thought us Tuggsters might get some LES behind the clipper but cold air looks marginal now. I think the forecast verified fairly well for most of us....I hope everyone enjoys their snow ......Tug looks to get a little light LES tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 What do you think about the clipper this weekend? Didn't look too impressive on the 12z GFS. I thought us Tuggsters might get some LES behind the clipper but cold air looks marginal now. The LES tonight and tomorrow will have two strikes against it. One, is the inversion height is very low...so the band won't' be able to grow very high. And two, The shear is very strong..so this will most like tear apart stronger bands that try to form. One thing that is good is the amount of moisture...any bands that do get going could be locally strong. Places SE of Ontario like SYR will most likely pick up 2-5 inches tonight. The band might shift up to the Tug tomorrow So the Tug could see a few inches at that time By the time Friday rolls around we will have drier air overhead. Therefore, the clipper like system coming thru Saturday will be on the weak side, so I don't see a lot of snow from it...The Tue/Wed storm will be interesting....We won't have A high around that will help hold on to the cold air like we had with this one....So we will have to watch the Rain Snow Line closely...But most likely the coast will see rain out of this one....One good thing is , In about a week and a half the models are showing quite a lot of cold air...So it could be fun...We will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 yours ? ....They look like they are enjoying themselves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted January 12, 2011 Author Share Posted January 12, 2011 The LES tonight and tomorrow will have two strikes against it. One, is the inversion height is very low...so the band won't' be able to grow very high. And two, The shear is very strong..so this will most like tear apart stronger bands that try to form. One thing that is good is the amount of moisture...any bands that do get going could be locally strong. Places SE of Ontario like SYR will most likely pick up 2-5 inches tonight. The band might shift up to the Tug tomorrow So the Tug could see a few inches at that time By the time Friday rolls around we will have drier air overhead. Therefore, the clipper like system coming thru Saturday will be on the weak side, so I don't see a lot of snow from it...The Tue/Wed storm will be interesting....We won't have A high around that will help hold on to the cold air like we had with this one....So we will have to watch the Rain Snow Line closely...But most likely the coast will see rain out of this one....One good thing is , In about a week and a half the models are showing quite a lot of cold air...So it could be fun...We will see. May I suggest you start a thread on next week's threat potentials. I'm stormed out for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 Picked up 6" so far, still snowing steady..Seasonal total up to 34".. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted January 12, 2011 Author Share Posted January 12, 2011 Another glancing blow here... two Noreasters in a row where the Hill Towns end up on the short end, but better than nothing. Maybe it's payback for the 46 inches last February. Best estimate would be 6 inches as of 10:45 AM. There could be a tad more, but I haven't done my official measurement yet. -SN continues and 21F. Beware! Last 1/2 of Feb and March... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted January 12, 2011 Author Share Posted January 12, 2011 I am still in shock and awe and dumfounded (somewhat not that we didn't hammer the Berks and SVT but come on those amounts were like from out the Rudolph the Red-Nosed Reinder Christmas Special! "And then it struck!" ) over the SICK totals across SVT and the Berkshires. That megaband just thumped these locations and probably caused a lot of subsidence to the west which kept snow totals down some over ENY esp. the HV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avid6eek Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I just got home from work and finished clearing the snow....we are at 9.0" for this system. Still -SN falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 I just got home from work and finished clearing the snow....we are at 9.0" for this system. Still -SN falling. 10.75" here and still falling light to moderate at times. hoping to hit the 12" mark soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 May I suggest you start a thread on next week's threat potentials. I'm stormed out for now. OK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted January 12, 2011 Author Share Posted January 12, 2011 OK Sweet ! Tuesday's event could be a real thumbreaker and wrist twister IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 yours ? ....They look like they are enjoying themselves. my neighbor's ,they love to help me shovel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 About 7" now , snow is really comming down..Big big fluff factor..We have great DOT here but they have no chance.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 11" storm total now. light snow continues. 3 miles east of me its probably SN+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avid6eek Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 11" storm total now. light snow continues. 3 miles east of me its probably SN+ It really would be nice if the precip hole over Schenectady county would fill in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 :snowman: :snowman: :snowman: and 1/2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted January 12, 2011 Author Share Posted January 12, 2011 :snowman: :snowman: :snowman: and 1/2" 9.9 here. A bit surprised that much on the board but that's what it is... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 About 6" total here for the event. The snow held on tough all day, making for a nice long lasting storm. Currently have my deepest snowpack of the year with around 12" on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted January 12, 2011 Share Posted January 12, 2011 9.9 here. A bit surprised that much on the board but that's what it is... I wonder what the chances are of some mohawk hudson convergence enhancement over the next few hours, I know it ws mentioned in the ALY AFD yesterday. That would probably add another inch or two of fluff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 Fresh off the presses: measurement at 7:00 PM reveals that we are now at 8.6". We have had 2 more inches since about 4:30 PM. Snowing moderately and 16F. I wonder what the chances are of some mohawk hudson convergence enhancement over the next few hours, I know it ws mentioned in the ALY AFD yesterday. That would probably add another inch or two of fluff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNYLakeEffect Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 5.2" storm total. 14" on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.