Winter 2026-2027. Historic Potential

[Bob Chill]

3 hours ago, CAPE said:

I didn't mean to single you out, but keep seeing posts about how Oct snow means doom for winter. Maybe a case can be made about specific patterns that set up in October correlating to an overall unfavorable pattern for the winter.

Big november snow also locks in a crappy winter. The big sample size of 1987 was used in my deep analysis. 

[mitchnick]

Updated October Euro seasonal out. Temos around the same as September.'s. But a little wetter than September. 

These maps are for DJF combined fyi.

https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/seasonal_system5_standard_2mtm?area=NAME&base_time=202610010000&stats=ensm&valid_time=202612020000

https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/seasonal_system5_standard_rain?area=NAME&base_time=202610010000&stats=ensm&valid_time=202612020000

[mitchnick]

I believe @Weather Will and @CAPE would have monthly Euro seasonal maps. Hint, hint...!

[psuhoffman]

On 10/3/2026 at 10:01 AM, WxUSAF said:

02-03 winter in state college was epic and made up (mostly) for the dismal first 3 winters I had there. We had snow for Halloween 2002 and winter kept going until Easter 2003.

That was my last winter there and the only good one I experienced.  I remember the Halloween snow.  

[bncho]

20 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

I believe @Weather Will and @CAPE would have monthly Euro seasonal maps. Hint, hint...!

 

 

[bncho]

I don’t know how WW does this for a living it took like 10 entire minutes to copy and paste the images

[mitchnick]

I'll try this again. Lol

I like how the Euro has 850 temp anomalies for most of the forum under 1C for the DJF period. The SLP for the periid is tasty too.

Sorry about the 850 map, but that's all money can buy you on the free site. Bncho?

[Eskimo Joe]

@griteater posting