Summer 2026 Med/Long Range Discussion

[SchaumburgStormer]

Feel free to bump troll me when I am bitching in January, but hoping this super nino at least keeps us in a wet pattern. Will deal with warm shots and rain over CAD. 

[A-L-E-K]

14 hours ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Feel free to bump troll me when I am bitching in January, but hoping this super nino at least keeps us in a wet pattern. Will deal with warm shots and rain over CAD. 

word

[Malacka11]

I have resigned myself to this winter being an interesting vibration for sure. I don't care if it's 70 for Christmas... just please don't let us transition to that straight out of the only wintry period that really delivers of the entire season. No issues if it stays 65 the entire winter, just not the bait and switch. Watch, this year we're gonna get 30" on the 22nd and it'll vanish in two days...

[CHItoMKE916]

Betting new climo will be ice storms. Lots of ice storms farther north than typical.

[A-L-E-K]

ice storm climo in n america def has some weird favored corridors, i could see one shifting and being potentially problematic

that said, the lake definitely offers a good deal of protection given the typical low level winds in ice set ups usually have an easterly component, with the exception being extreme deep cold antecedent airmasses but i'm selling those this winter for sure

[CHItoMKE916]

38 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

ice storm climo in n america def has some weird favored corridors, i could see one shifting and being potentially problematic

that said, i the lake definitely offers a good deal of protection given the typical low level winds in ice set ups usually have an easterly component, with the exception being extreme deep cold antecedent airmasses but i'm selling those this winter for sure

Shhh then everyone will know the secret that lakeside = best climo even with early summer pneumonia fronts

[Jackstraw]

Lets see how the models do over the next 10 days precip wise.  The mean average for MBY last Sunday was .5 inches, I received over 2in within 72 hours. To be honest, the Canuk and Baby Canuk did the best with last week and this week in the medium to long range. It has me around 1.5in thru 10 days while the others just a spittle. If it keeps up I'm riding it into March in mby lol 

[A-L-E-K]

48 minutes ago, CHItoMKE916 said:

Shhh then everyone will know the secret that lakeside = best climo even with early summer pneumonia fronts

secret on our wonderful region very much out these days

[A-L-E-K]

13 minutes ago, Jackstraw said:

Lets see how the models do over the next 10 days precip wise.  The mean average for MBY last Sunday was .5 inches, I received over 2in within 72 hours. To be honest, the Canuk and Baby Canuk did the best with last week and this week in the medium to long range. It has me around 1.5in thru 10 days while the others just a spittle. If it keeps up I'm riding it into March in mby lol 

hi-res baby canuck been having a summer