Spring/Summer 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread

[nrgjeff]

It's still got a snow tag. Might as well add winter, lol! Perhaps that's just to make us feel less hot right now.

After the severe today they have flash flood risk for Wednesday. Can't argue with a front stalling. What else do they do in July? Got a tropical system far enough away to be no threat, but it still helps pump in moisture. Ambient moisture is enough anyway. These dewpoints are ludicrous even for July!

[Carvers Gap]

2 hours ago, nrgjeff said:

It's still got a snow tag. Might as well add winter, lol! Perhaps that's just to make us feel less hot right now.

After the severe today they have flash flood risk for Wednesday. Can't argue with a front stalling. What else do they do in July? Got a tropical system far enough away to be no threat, but it still helps pump in moisture. Ambient moisture is enough anyway. These dewpoints are ludicrous even for July!

Or winter is just gonna be that warm!  LOL.  But yeah, i need some seriously lower humidity, Jeff.  I am soaked every morning after my run.  Just looks like someone took a 5 gallon bucket, and poured over my head.  Same deal after mowing. 

Tags are now spring and summer - you all have high standards for thread tags!   If it was Montana, I might leave snow.  They started the month out w/ winter storm warnings in SW Montana!  Fortunately, the west is getting some much needed monsoonal rains in a few areas.  I saw that Mammoth had rain this past week.  Not unheard of, but it was plentiful.  Portions of MT had flood warnings last week which is kind of nuts out there during the summer. 

Storms kind of fizzled out in NE TN this evening - so far.  I don't mind that.  Storms IMBY seem to find a way to get pretty bad on NW flow t-storms during July.....just not NW flow snow during January. 

But yo....send me some crisp air masses.  Central Florida can keep this humidity.  It's theirs, and they can have it back!

[Jed33]

Very heavy rain training over my location this morning, although I am kind of on the southern end of it. Currently at about 1.10in for the day and still pouring. It comes and goes in very heavy bands but just keeps training over me. Looks like the band may be lifting north ever so slightly for the moment, so it may come to an end soon for now. Looks like as the front pushes south later, it may push the whole thing back south later on. Hopefully the areas that have been the driest can get in the band at some time today or tomorrow.

[Carvers Gap]

1 hour ago, Jed33 said:

Very heavy rain training over my location this morning, although I am kind of on the southern end of it. Currently at about 1.10in for the day and still pouring. It comes and goes in very heavy bands but just keeps training over me. Looks like the band may be lifting north ever so slightly for the moment, so it may come to an end soon for now. Looks like as the front pushes south later, it may push the whole thing back south later on. Hopefully the areas that have been the driest can get in the band at some time today or tomorrow.

As Jeff noted, that stalled frontal boundary has reared its ugly head this AM.  Bean Station is seeing a lot of heavy rain.

[Carvers Gap]

One thing which is nice about this in NE TN(not relief for everyone as has been shared), the drought is getting busted up here.  We aren’t there yet, but much better off than during spring and winter.

[Jed33]

Finally the firehouse is off at the house for the moment. Ended up with around 2.73in of rain for the moment. Kinda glad I was on the southern end of it, as like Carver said, just 4mi to my W/NW, Radarscope is estimating Bean Station has had close to 6in of rain!!!

[John1122]

The band of rain set up south of my area. Looks like 3-5 inches around that area and less than .5 here. Not too upset by that, too much rain here already lately.

[Jed33]

Well the break didn’t last long. Looks like it just wants to pour all day long! Radarscope estimates over 4in for mby now, but I’m not at home, so can’t check it now. Crazy how stationary this band is!