GBOVolz Posted March 17 Share Posted March 17 Got a picture of the mountains this afternoon in the Hall of Fame area of downtown. Then I asked ChatGPT to remove the clouds.. 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 I had no idea it was supposed to snow tonight, but we just had a snow shower and now I see the forecast says it will snow some in the morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GBOVolz Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 I had no idea it was supposed to snow tonight, but we just had a snow shower and now I see the forecast says it will snow some in the morning. MRX had a 20% mix for my area . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted March 19 Author Share Posted March 19 Both the 12z and 18z GFS have another system in the d8-9 range. This is the time of year(shoulder season) when that model can score a coup just like it did a couple of days ago. Not saying it is the gospel, but I think the end of the month is a time frame to be watched. That was a pretty stout run. The 12z Euro has the amplification w/out the storm. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 Snow was hanging tough yesterday evening above 2800 feet or so. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted March 20 Share Posted March 20 Mountains were pretty! We got a few runs up at Sugar. After hitting 80 in Chatty last week, driving up and seeing snow before reaching the Tri Cities was a trip. Great time with family spring break. So looks like the AC will be humming this weekend. Then back to slightly below normal temps next week (except midweek). Should even get cool and cozy nights and mornings a few days next week. WNW flow in early spring is a wild ride! Appears that the last few days of March will usher in a warm early April. Mid Atlantic ridge may not be centered over the Valley. See if it'll let in some April showers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted March 20 Share Posted March 20 Looks like after being bottled up for a spell next winter we are headed back into a EQBO,potential for a rock PV 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GBOVolz Posted March 20 Share Posted March 20 Looks like after being bottled up for a spell next winter we are headed back into a EQBO,potential for a rock PVSorry for the ignorance, but is that good or bad if you want snow?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weatheriscool Posted March 21 Share Posted March 21 The last 18 months give or take in my area have been strangely dry. It was dry middle to end of Summer last year, Fall was dry - but usually is - and Winter was not really that wet. Now, in Spring, at least so far, it is dry and I dont see anything in the next ten days or so to change that. Those that follow long range stuff, are we headed into another dry Summer? Coming off a dry Summer/Fall/Winter that will not be good. I am accustomed to having the big rains during the Winter/Spring. Just me opining. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 On 3/20/2026 at 7:35 PM, GBOVolz said: Sorry for the ignorance, but is that good or bad if you want snow? . It's headed to +QBO territory by winter 26-27, that usually means less blocking and a stronger polar vortex. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 The dry air did work overnight, it got down to 23 this morning. My forecast low was 34. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 Drought is going to be a major problem at the pace we are approaching one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted Saturday at 11:33 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:33 PM Well that rain line was just a splash. I sure hope more develops. I was surprised to hear the news reporting in Asheville on so many wild fires already over that way. I’m hoping this does not turn into a long drought with a lot of fires. My yard already shows summer type cracks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted Sunday at 01:47 AM Share Posted Sunday at 01:47 AM 2 hours ago, Matthew70 said: Well that rain line was just a splash. I sure hope more develops. I was surprised to hear the news reporting in Asheville on so many wild fires already over that way. I’m hoping this does not turn into a long drought with a lot of fires. My yard already shows summer type cracks. We've had quite a few fires already this spring too. Very rare for spring to see fires here. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted Tuesday at 09:27 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 09:27 PM We badly need some rain here. Mammoth may get absolutely hammered from Saturday to Saturday. That seems to signal better things(precip wise) when they get it going. Looks like we might need a snow cam watch posted for Mammoth. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted yesterday at 02:25 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:25 AM It rained heavily the other night but fires have started back this week. Hopefully the rains return. Above normal temps look like they will close out April, might risk early tomato planting. I normally hold out until April 30th if the first week of May forecast is warm. Have had frosts ihto late May before. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted 7 hours ago Author Share Posted 7 hours ago On 4/7/2026 at 10:25 PM, John1122 said: It rained heavily the other night but fires have started back this week. Hopefully the rains return. Above normal temps look like they will close out April, might risk early tomato planting. I normally hold out until April 30th if the first week of May forecast is warm. Have had frosts ihto late May before. Ditto. My garden has been doing decently well so far, but I too have fought the urge to plant the warm wx stuff. I may risk planting 1-2 in a cold frame next week. This pattern seems pretty stable, but we have both seen warm, spring patterns flips to one frost after another. The drought monitor has drought expanding across much of Tennessee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago I just hope the Euro Ai is correct and not the GFS. The GFS rainfall is dramatically different and much drier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Rain Saturday night was an Easter miracle. I don't see much more for a couple weeks. Might be able to get some quality precip late April but delays would not surprise me. Gotta chip away at what will become a significant SER and Mid-Atlantic ridge. Then getting into May (note weeks 3-5 are notoriously awful forecasts) charts show WNW flow and only normal precip. Meh. Weeks 3-5 are considered the un-sweet forecast range beyond daily extended forecasting yet not covered by reliable seasonal signals. Hope for all our yards is El Nino signal kicks in quickly in June. Normal heights and seasonable moisture would open the door for summer thundershowers. We'll see if / how the drought impacts dewpoints though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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