The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[WarmNoseHater]

29 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

Sure have thoroughly enjoyed tracking this with you all. Im definitely happy for the ones who dont normally see much. This is yalls big one possibly. 

I do wonder where that dry slot sets up and why the 3k NAM keeps showing it especially up this way.

well you DO live in "Dry Fork"

[SUNYGRAD]

Just now, Blacksburg Coach said:

snowing here in SWVA, started about two hours ago. Very powdery

Of note the HRRRR has not been depicting this very well this morning.

[eyewall]

18 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Inside this range go with the 3km NAM/Euro/RGEM...they're going to handle this better than the GFS.

I hope the 3K NAM is wrong because that would be a complete dumpster fire up this way.

[wake4est]

[letitsnow]

This particular shot was taken on February 12, 2014 on Glenwood Avenue in Raleigh, just up the street from the Angus Bar

[olafminesaw]

People going to be calling bust tomorrow morning when there is expected to be a massive dry slot over central NC with banding to the NW. Going to have to be patient and wait for everything to fill in and pivot, just something to keep in mind

[wake4est]

GFS drops ANOTHER 10 inches of snow on Thursday in central NC.

[Blacksburg Coach]

4 minutes ago, WarmNoseHater said:

well you DO live in "Dry Fork"

I would go here https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/ 

And deselect all the short range you don't like and go with that LOL!

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[Blacksburg Coach]

Just now, Blacksburg Coach said:

I would go here https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/ 

And deselect all the short range you don't like and go with that LOL!

This is snow totals for Danville BTW

[SUNYGRAD]

My question is----will get mail today?  I think my odds are better than trying to forecast this storm correctly. 

[Silver Meteor]

5 minutes ago, wake4est said:

GFS drops ANOTHER 10 inches of snow on Thursday in central NC.

GFS for Thursday, Feb 5th. 

 

[WinstonSalemArlington]

6 minutes ago, wake4est said:

GFS drops ANOTHER 10 inches of snow on Thursday in central NC.

And I fell out….

[wake4est]

GFS for tomorrow AND Thursday combined

[wake4est]

The Canadian looks good. The Ukie looks hilariously bad. 

[ADB83]

The Canadian looks good. The Ukie looks hilariously bad. 

It actually looks like the NAM 3k or at least resembles it. We have a model war shaping up.


.

[WinstonSalemArlington]

GEM blesses almost everyone in the Carolinas and SoVA

[Ravens94]

[NorthHillsWx]

Brad Ps latest map won’t make any friends in triangle or triad 

https://x.com/wxbrad/status/2017270520702534102?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g

[GunBlade]

21 minutes ago, ObiWanKarlNobi said:

The Feburary 12th, 2014 snow happened on a Wednesday.  I went to work that morning like everyone else.  It started snowing around 10 or 10:30 AM and then everyone started leaving.  Even though I lived 5 minutes away, it took me 20 minutes to get home.  Some of my co-workers had to abandon their cars and walk home. 

Thankfully, Wake County had already canceled school that day.

https://www.ncrabbithole.com/p/raleigh-nc-greatest-snow-picture-winter-weather

Yea there was no road driving home for that storm. It stuck so quick. 

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[olafminesaw]

2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Brad Ps latest map won’t make any friends in triangle or triad 

https://x.com/wxbrad/status/2017270520702534102?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g

There's definitely some models that support that dry slot. It makes sense but it's kinda a 50/50 at this point 

[NorthHillsWx]

1 minute ago, olafminesaw said:

There's definitely some models that support that dry slot. It makes sense but it's kinda a 50/50 at this point 

His map looks like the UK

[WinstonSalemArlington]

Ben Noll, WaPo

[Regan]

He went extreme… maybe his bigger focus is the clt area. I know we aren’t sure about a dry slot, but wow that was abrupt. I could see a him pitting a circled area and a disclaimer, but dang. The other tv mets are still in the 3-6 or 4-7 range. 

[RaleighNC]

55 minutes ago, mclean02 said:

That storm was legendary with the lady on the phone and car on fire on the hill lol! Which one was that ? 

That was just a small one. That hill was a skating rink and someone had a transmission fluid leak onto a hot engine. Poof.

[Regan]

Wow. Just compared Brad P and Allan Huffman maps. Idk what to think about this. 
 

I just watched Brads vid and he seems to think the 2 pieces will not merge. Ever WRAL is still saying 3-6 an ABC is saying 4-7. Idk that I’d have put 1-3 like Brad did. Not on a graphic. Nothing strong is in agreement. 

[andrew29649]

40 minutes ago, UpstateSCBud said:

Question for anyone near upstate sc. When’s the last time we had a significant snow storm where the majority of the snow falls during the day and not at night? Been here 37 years and don’t really recall any. 

You have a great point. My vague memory always remembers them starting around dusk or in the early AM hours. Waking up to way more than forecast.

Every one I can remember during the day was a temperature battle that cut totals. 

[stormwatcherJ]

3 minutes ago, Regan said:

Wow. Just compared Brad P and Allan Huffman maps. Idk what to think about this. 

What's going on? Dry slotting Raleigh?

[WinstonSalemArlington]