1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread

[Carvers Gap]

7 minutes ago, Mrwolf1972 said:

Nam all weird says it's 32 in valley at start and rain then temps drop. 

Evaporational cooling.  

[Holston_River_Rambler]

WxBell at hr 60:

[Tucker1027]

Looks like it has quite a bit from the weatherbell maps 

I was too early my bad


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[Mrwolf1972]

Nam seems weaker then other runs. Or 2 systems

[Holston_River_Rambler]

Higher qpf I think this run and. another jog north 

[Holston_River_Rambler]

1 minute ago, Tucker1027 said:

I was too early my bad


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No worries. I've done the same thing. 

[Mrwolf1972]

1 minute ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

Higher qpf I think this run and. another jog north 

I don't see that on pivotalweather

[Reb]

prominent downsloping for the mountain counties

[Mrwolf1972]

It looks like 2 systems on this run

[Holston_River_Rambler]

Ends the icy pain for some by Sun 4am

[Holston_River_Rambler]

2 minutes ago, Mrwolf1972 said:

I don't see that on pivotalweather

This is the sort of frame I'm going by. It';s not much but everything seems shifted a hair north:

[Scottie16]

Weird run.


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[Mrwolf1972]

[Holston_River_Rambler]

NAM is going to straight up cut a mslp to Bloomington to see the Natty Champs. 

[John1122]

3k keeps me sleet out through 60. Seems colder than the 12k. 

[Mrwolf1972]

Just now, Mrwolf1972 said:

This is after the initial freezing rain looks like a second system our west. 

[Matthew70]

5 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

WxBell at hr 60:

NAM at this hour is still not in its wheel house correct?

[Carvers Gap]

The 18z NAM had less of a warm nose in middle Tennessee.  It is also for sure south w/ its precip shield(first wave...edit).  

[Tucker1027]

2 minutes ago, Scottie16 said:

Weird run.


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agreed. 

[Mrwolf1972]

It sends the lp to Nashville at 72

[Holston_River_Rambler]

Fun little sounding in Alabama as it cranks north:

[McHenrySnow]

1 minute ago, Matthew70 said:

NAM at this hour is still not in its wheel house correct?

NAM does not have a wheelhouse. 

[Tucker1027]

NAM does not have a wheelhouse. 

Yep. It’s getting discontinued this spring correct?


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[Carvers Gap]

The 18z NAM rolls w/ two waves of precip.  The first wave absolutely hammers the eastern valley.  Precip w/ that wave is south of the first wave on the 12z.  It makes me think the model is adjusting the earlier hours.  I bet that might happen w/ that second wave as well.  Makes sense as the big high is impacting the early part of the run.

[McHenrySnow]

Just now, Tucker1027 said:

Yep. It’s getting discontinued this spring correct?


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Yes, but it's replacement is horrible too. 

[Scottie16]

Yep. It’s getting discontinued this spring correct?


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Yes, it’s primarily used for temperatures


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[Scottie16]

The 18z NAM rolls w/ two waves of precip.  The first wave absolutely hammers the eastern valley.  Precip w/ that wave is south of the first wave on the 12z.  It makes me think the model is adjusting the earlier hours.  I bet that might happen w/ that second wave as well.  Makes sense as the big high is impacting the early part of the run.

I mean the map shows how powerful this HP will be.


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[Tucker1027]

[Holston_River_Rambler]

I think the 18z NAM is colder west TN and  warmer East TN

 

 

[Holston_River_Rambler]

Just now, Holston_River_Rambler said:

I think the 18z NAM is colder west TN and  warmer East TN

 

 

Ideal for MBY