Jan 17-18 Sunday Funday Storm

[BooneWX]

1 minute ago, strongwxnc said:

Sipping the good stuff round here. 

Now what is this about getting interesting again...

Recon went in, we’re ticking west and I just phoned the were almost back department 

[wncsnow]

[olafminesaw]

1 hour ago, kvegas-wx said:

NCDOT ...why the heck are we brining I40?!?!

The funny part is a band of rain is supposed to roll through here tomorrow 

[NC US Geological Survice]

2 hours ago, willbuck said:

Yes,   for the germans  X-D

[strongwxnc]

3 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

Recon went in, we’re ticking west and I just phoned the were almost back department 

Full send is in order then. 

[olafminesaw]

3 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

Recon went in, we’re ticking west and I just phoned the were almost back department 

Approaching landfall as a Cat 5 Flizzard

[NC US Geological Survice]

Just now, olafminesaw said:

The funny part is a band of rain is supposed to roll through here tomorrow 

I saw that creep in and gives me more pause as to why they were salting Down East and the Piedmont 5 days in advance 

[BooneWX]

2 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

Approaching landfall as a Cat 5 Flizzard

I’m amassing an army of trace amounts these past few winters. GIVE ME ANOTHER! Soon I’ll have enough to count .1! 

[AGardiner87]

0z NAM looks a tad west! 

[Brick Tamland]

[Brick Tamland]

[SnowDawg]

Great trend for the mtns and foothills with the moisture transport on NAM 3km. Still need a bit more but as we know in these situations the far western extent of the precip shield is sometimes underestimated from the moisture being pushed up and over the arctic front. Unbelievably, I think we’re still in the game with a small chance.

[Brick Tamland]

Oh really?

[olafminesaw]

This has a the makings of a big surprise for Tidewater VA

[strongwxnc]

3 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said:

Oh really?

Compared with the 18:

[NorthHillsWx]

NAM is that south park meme “I ain’t heard no bell” 

[gamecockinupstateSC]

[wncsnow]

Need 75-100 miles in 30-36 hours 

[wncsnow]

RGEM didnt trend unfortunately 

[BornAgain13]

Oh NAM why are u doing this to me lol

[BornAgain13]

Most of short range guidance has trended NW ... even the HRW-WRF models 

[cbmclean]

2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

Oh NAM why are u doing this to me lol

Just don't look.

[BornAgain13]

Just now, cbmclean said:

Just don't look.

Pulling me back in lol

[Brick Tamland]

[Brick Tamland]

[Brick Tamland]

[BornAgain13]

Would think that western edge of precip from the GFS will look better than modeled. 

[SnowDawg]

One thing that stuck out to me on that NAM and GFS run was this piece of energy is phasing with the southern part of the shortwave when it was not before. This amps the system up a bit more, earlier formation of the low pressure, and more lift to the north and west. Need 2 or 3 runs of trends back my way but could very well put a lot more people back in the goods. Now if Dr. No will just agree.

[WXNewton]

GFS is backing that thing up...

 

 

[gamecockinupstateSC]