HKY_WX Posted yesterday at 07:12 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:12 PM This is a pretty insane -NAO signal day 10. This would displace the mean pattern further south eventually. You would think it could lend itself to one of those classic late winter UL bowling ball snowstorms at some point in late February/March if we're lucky. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted yesterday at 07:35 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:35 PM 1 hour ago, WXNewton said: 12z Euro shifts way south this run, I suspect EPS will reflect that as well. Still rain for most but CLT went from 58 at 6z to lower 40s this run. Continue to lead with ens at this point bc ops are still out there when they shift like this over a 6 hr period lol. Well then, let's see if we can trend this into a winter storm. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted yesterday at 07:44 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:44 PM 31 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: This is a pretty insane -NAO signal day 10. This would displace the mean pattern further south eventually. You would think it could lend itself to one of those classic late winter UL bowling ball snowstorms at some point in late February/March if we're lucky. I like the sounds of that! Let's have a little March 1st 09 bowling ball roll through! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted yesterday at 07:45 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:45 PM Just now, WXNewton said: I like the sounds of that! Let's have a little March 1st 09 bowling ball roll through! Hard pass 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted yesterday at 07:47 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:47 PM 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Hard pass I am sorry, I forgot that was a sore one for you! It's all fun and games until your neighbor gets 8-10" and you're looking a the bare ground. I will not mention it again! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago Verbatim, 12z UKMET was a nasty ice storm for Ashe, Watauga, Avery and Allegheny counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SHTFWX Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago 3 hours ago, WXNewton said: I like the sounds of that! Let's have a little March 1st 09 bowling ball roll through! That was a good storm. To make it a little better, maybe this time the bowling ball can be a ball of ICE! LETS GO! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago The perfect track just no cold air. Back to our regularly scheduled programing I suppose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Models seem to keep pushing that colder air further and further out. Wondering if it even happens? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VBweather Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 21 hours ago, olafminesaw said: How can I generate similar maps? Is this a subscription based site? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Do not believe the 6z Euro, Do not believe the 6z Euro. Stay away lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago FWIW the 06z Euro is an absolute crush job and much colder for N NC MTNs and a lot of VA! Also, temps not too far off this run all the way back down towards I40. Temps change between 00z and 6z is crazy! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 18 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Do not believe the 6z Euro, Do not believe the 6z Euro. Stay away lol Shouldn't have looked, now I will be chasing another cycle! 6z EPS, ticked back south too with some totals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 06z Euro also showed some significant ice on the southern edge. I woudn't overlook the ice potential on this one in Cad areas. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 9 minutes ago, tarheelwx said: 06z Euro also showed some significant ice on the southern edge. I woudn't overlook the ice potential on this one in Cad areas. TW Definitely worth watching some more! Between now and Thursday, models should sway either one way or another. If there's going to be a wintry side somewhere, I'd feel good about western border counties through central western VA, also any ice potential could go as far south as 40 in the heart of the CAD areas. I think we will see some model agreement over the next few days. What was interesting on that Euro run vs last night is the low pressure was quite a bit stronger and further north but definitely more wintry looking. It will be interesting to see what the next 48 hrs trends are. Also, on this run you can see the high pressure stayed more anchored in the Northeast-Eastern Canada and the low pressure above the Great lakes kind of died out a little bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Keep that high over the northeast/new england and I suspect the cold air will show up. Assuming that look is correct or even improves a bit, I'd expect more ice to start showing up. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 12z GFS not showing any snow/ice, but it does put a 1027 to 1030 high in a pretty prime spot. I'd look for things to trend colder at the surface. In the last 3 cycles, GSO has gone from 57 to 51 to 37 late afternoon Sunday. Quite the change. TW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 minutes ago, tarheelwx said: 12z GFS not showing any snow/ice, but it does put a 1027 to 1030 high in a pretty prime spot. I'd look for things to trend colder at the surface. TW This run went from 52 on 06z to 38 in MBY another tick like that and we might be in business. This is why I love weather, just went we think we can predict the future 5 days out, it changes drastically in 6hrs! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Canadian going to come in further south too and more pronounced wedge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago CMC/EURO showing ICE and some Snow on the northern edge. Will be interesting to see if this keeps trending colder. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago I simply could not be less enthused for 33 and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago First GEFS run in 4 runs to put some snow back in WNC. Not much but definitely had some members colder and further south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Anyone have the sleet map from the CMC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Is GSP sticking with their “significant” to “extreme” snow risk this weekend lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Is GSP sticking with their “significant” to “extreme” snow risk this weekend lol Maybe they were on to something.... maybe we were too quick to judge. We might just have a threat after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 16 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Is GSP sticking with their “significant” to “extreme” snow risk this weekend lol In all seriousness, something must have changed this winter, they used to hold back graphics until they are publicly released, now the automated maps seem to be available at any time (presumably based on the NBM). If so, it's not great for these graphics to be potentially shared all over social media before they get any kind of human review. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 12z EuroAI says don't count on much rain either, let's push the precip from Macon to Columbia! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 9 minutes ago, WXNewton said: 12z EuroAI says don't count on much rain either, let's push the precip from Macon to Columbia! We need the rain. Water table is low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Euro looks to be holding the energy back longer, appears it's once again going to eject out further south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: We need the rain. Water table is low Yep, definitely could use it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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