BooneWX Posted 11 hours ago Author Share Posted 11 hours ago Just now, Upstate Tiger said: I actually like the potential showing on the Euro better than the GFS. Euro has a bomb just off shore for storm 2. Yea I don’t get worrying about any surface output at this point. At 500mb we’re very close to something memorable and large with both storms. I’d be worried if clown maps were pasting me this many days out. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 33 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Still many days to go and a lot of wiggle room to go with it. Only one piece of energy is on land right now and even that piece is over Alaska. . The shortwave divebombing in from east central Canada/ through Minnesota at hour 84-96 needs to phase with the plains shortwave.GFS does this,Euro doesn't.And everything a tad more west. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago The 12z EURO, although didnt get it done, did trend towards the GFS. Will this continue at 18z/0z? We will soon see. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago I mean really just minor adjustments to these H5 maps and its a Big Dog. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 57 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: I mean really just minor adjustments to these H5 maps and its a Big Dog. Maybe we'll have it go our way this time. Just haven't been that lucky the last few years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago GFS is a complete miss with the Friday system this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 18z GFS does not get it done on system #1. Windshield wiper effect continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 8 hours ago Author Share Posted 8 hours ago 18z gfs isn’t going to cut it on system 1, but the energy did tick west quite a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Going the wrong way today on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Panthers and snow potential. Always letdowns. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 18z GFS gives northern VA 10-15". Thought it had a chance for us but it was later in the phasing this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Feels like NC is the same as SC now and all the systems go north to VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Storm #2. GFS brings the goods for many! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 2nd system looks better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Major Winter Storm for NC/VA for Storm #2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: Major Winter Storm for NC/VA for Storm #2 Yeah, hate we waste a lot of.precip here as rain before turning to snow, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Just now, BornAgain13 said: Major Winter Storm for NC/VA for Storm #2 Yep. Close to an old classic Miller A. we just need the Euro and GFS to keep showIng this SE set up next weekend. I’ll take my chances. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 2nd storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Can’t complain at all about the look on the 2nd one but it is so close to something even bigger. That energy over Baja stretches the southern shortwave a little flat and dampens it just as it’s getting going, then the coastal picks up on the east coast. Keep that energy more consolidated and maybe get a full fledged closed low in the gulf. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 8 hours ago Author Share Posted 8 hours ago Fine with the 18z runs so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Fine with the 18z runs so far. Held somewhat of a serve. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 8 hours ago Author Share Posted 8 hours ago Don’t let the surface output on the first storm distract from the fact that we ticked west again upstream. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago I know we all want a big storm (myself included) but I’d take a 3-5 inch event in a heartbeat. At the same time…you can see the potential is there for WNC/Foothills for a bigger event too. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 7 hours ago Author Share Posted 7 hours ago 24 minutes ago, WNC_Fort said: I know we all want a big storm (myself included) but I’d take a 3-5 inch event in a heartbeat. At the same time…you can see the potential is there for WNC/Foothills for a bigger event too. Same here. All perspective too. I consider anything that completely buries the grass blades to be major around here. With that said, I’m not above mowing the day before because I’m a real sicko. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 1 hour ago, Brick Tamland said: Feels like NC is the same as SC now and all the systems go north to VA. Mountain friends please ignore this thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 7 hours ago Author Share Posted 7 hours ago 7 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said: Mountain friends please ignore this thread. Well he’s not exactly wrong. That’s a very logical statement given recent climo. But you’re also correct, the mile high crowd can ignore this thread, you guys score on bird farts. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Just like the Panthers…. Tying it up in the 2nd half of model runs today.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 7 hours ago Author Share Posted 7 hours ago Euro AI has a nice overrunning event for next Saturday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 14 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Well he’s not exactly wrong. That’s a very logical statement given recent climo. But you’re also correct, the mile high crowd can ignore this thread, you guys score on bird farts. Our climo is so different especially around 3k feet and up it's crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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