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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion


snowfan
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Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

GG? Ha...Now see that shows you how much we view these model runs with the same emotions we watch our favorite teams with, lol

More than that. If it were physically possible to pull a Tonya Harding on an atmospheric feature to get more snow I would do it with no remorse

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3 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Canadian so far seems relatively unchanged. Maybe a bit north with the overall pattern, though it could just be a bit slower. 

I like everything about the ggem at 90 except it’s weaker and slightly easy with the southern wave. But its more amplified and detached and west with the NS and as expected the western ridge continues to bleed slightly west every run. 

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A thought. There is variability within the larger scale setup. So it’s possible to get a better setup in terms of the major long wave features but end up with a worse result due to minor factors causing a slower development or less amplification. However, if the larger scale trend of backing both the NS wave and the western ridge continues at some point a better outcome becomes much more likely regardless of the small scale variables. In other words get the whole thing to back another 150 miles and it would take a much less perfect progression to get a hit. Right now we could win but it would take  damn near perfect phase and amplification which is what the runs showing a hit have. Keep improving the ridge/trough axis and even a less perfect result can end up good. 

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Just now, stormtracker said:

Swear to God if this hits the Carolinas and just goes out and we get a blip....fire will rain down

prateptype-imp.conus.png

That pink area dropped 19" of snow in 6hrs 

just a testament to the potential we have

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