Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs

[Blizzard of 93]

@MAG5035 & everyone else!

Check out the 0z Euro for the Sunday pm chance. Great run for CTP.

 

[Blizzard of 93]

0z Canadian is still on board as well  & has not wavered much the last couple of days.

[Blizzard of 93]

0z EPS & 0z AI EPS got back on board as well.

[Voyager]

Interesting little temp spike this morning. It was 30 at 4:00am, then it went up to 36 at 5:00am, and now back down to 33 at 5:45am.

[mahantango#1]

36 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Interesting little temp spike this morning. It was 30 at 4:00am, then it went up to 36 at 5:00am, and now back down to 33 at 5:45am.

Were in the middle of a heatwave!

[mahantango#1]

2 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

0z Canadian is still on board as well  & has not wavered much the last couple of days.

NWS will tend to disagree with you.

[mahantango#1]

[Blizzard of 93]

10 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

NWS will tend to disagree with you.

It’s not me…

I am showing what the models said…

Also, I posted their discussion from yesterday evening & CTP was certainly monitoring the potential. 

[mahantango#1]

1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

It’s not me…

I am showing what the models said…

I know, seems they are really downplaying the event this morn.

[Blizzard of 93]

3 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

I know, seems they are really downplaying the event this morn.

If the 12z models are board, they will be updating again later today.

[mahantango#1]

Just now, Blizzard of 93 said:

If the 12z models are board, they will be updating again later today.

Theres still time to score, no need for the hail-mary...yet.

[mahantango#1]

Mark Margavage 

snrteoSodpc56184g68hfgu24988l1al14mc584h0h8mhfh2m0t7l7a1i151 ·

Weekend Storm Update

Despite what you might have heard…I am STILL tracking the potential for a significant snow event this weekend. If it happens, the snow would arrive Sunday afternoon/evening. Model Guidance has been all over the place but I’ve been fairly consistent with my message: This looks like a Miller B Nor’Easter.

Miller B storms typically have a mix line that sets up along I-78/I-80 in eastern PA and NJ.

The European Model suggests that mix changes over to heavy snow as this storm strengthens.

Whether or not that actually happens is pure speculation at this point. There are some non-linear processes that need to go exactly correct for this storm to produce significant snow. If not, the storm could miss off to the south. So nothing is set in stone yet, but the threat remains.

~Meteorologist Mark Margavage

[Blizzard of 93]

6z Euro continues to be on board with a slightly warmer & more tucked low position near the DelMarVa before it exits off of the coast.

It still brings warning level snow to the Harrisburg area this run.

If we end up with this track, I like our chances.