colonel717 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 I'll look forward to watching the Pens as the 0z comes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Its over start of the the south trend. It was fun while it lasted.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Its over start of the the south trend. It was fun while it lasted....Hang in there. Might need the detour sign again tonight if things start going backwards. Still lots of time. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, MikeB_01 said: Hang in there. Might need the detour sign again tonight if things start going backwards. Still lots of time. . Lmao totally not serious fyi 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 NWS Pgh discussion https://x.com/NWSPittsburgh/status/2014086973758025897 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southpark Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 17 minutes ago, colonel717 said: It aligned with those fail of the eps that missed to the south. 4-5 inches for AGC I would rather have that than too far north and we mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 GEFS came north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 24 minutes ago, Mailman said: Honestly, I'd have been more concerned if it showed primary going up 79. Absolutely brother! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Ukie only goes out to 66 hrs so here is comparison to 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Definitely a good sign when PBZ is discussing contingency plans. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Rare instance where the OP GFS will lead the ensembles, but the GFS has been all over the place so it's incredibly hard to trust no matter which way it goes. Frustrating model. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 For what it's worth, 19 UTC NBM pretty much held serve from 13 UTC. Mean is 10.4", 73% chance of 6" or more, 63% chance of 8" or more, 36% chance of 12" or more. 4% chance of a historic level event (18"+). The spread has narrowed a bit, 6" to 13" (floor is up a couple inches). If the GFS leads us downward, that would be quite the bust considering all guidance right now, but I suppose it remains a possibility. Better plan for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 18z EURO 13inches 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahoff Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, colonel717 said: 18z EURO 13inches Sounds good! The NAM at 84 looked like a good start, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 hour ago, colonel717 said: It aligned with those fail of the eps that missed to the south. 4-5 inches for AGC Something just doesn’t look right on the 18GFS. Look at the precip shield cutoff at the Indiana state line. I expect it to come back tonight. (Hope) Fingers crossed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southpark Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 11 minutes ago, north pgh said: Something just doesn’t look right on the 18GFS. Look at the precip shield cutoff at the Indiana state line. I expect it to come back tonight. (Hope) Fingers crossed I think the GEFS was more north than the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Icy on my back patio. Watch for slick spots tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Hard to say what the NAM would do since it stops but at hour 84 looks like there's still plenty of precip to come. Its definitely south with the heavier returns. Looks like the NAM held back energy and didnt quite fast phase it quick enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity87 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 hour ago, TheClimateChanger said: Icy on my back patio. Watch for slick spots tonight. I live on a hilly brick road that I couldn't make it up. Definitely some dangerous spots out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 ICON is solid, if you're into that model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 ICON is solid, if you're into that model. I’m into any model that shows what I want it to show me. . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 22 Author Share Posted January 22 Icon is a mauling. 15”-20” forum wide with tongue back in WV where it belongs. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 19 minutes ago, MikeB_01 said: I’m into any model that shows what I want it to show me. . It's shows 19 inches SAGC. I never see Icon as snowy model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Rgem looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeB_01 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 13 minutes ago, Mailman said: Just now, colonel717 said: It's shows 19 inches SAGC. I never see Icon as snowy model. Inject it straight into my veins... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 RGEM had full phase. Will see what CMC shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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