ChalkHillSnowNut Posted yesterday at 12:20 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:20 AM Winter storm watch posted for my area for 3-7” not a barn burner but will take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted yesterday at 12:30 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:30 AM Fwiw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted yesterday at 01:41 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:41 AM Definitely going to come down to where the relatively narrow band of frontogenesis sets up. It's going to be cold-cold, so the ratios should be quite decent with any kind of moderate snow growth under convergence. It's only about two to three tenths of precip total for AGH. Have to make it count because it could be the last look at snow until towards New Year's or into 2026. Christmas Week is looking too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted yesterday at 01:52 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:52 AM 4 minutes ago, jwilson said: Definitely going to come down to where the relatively narrow band of frontogenesis sets up. It's going to be cold-cold, so the ratios should be quite decent with any kind of moderate snow growth under convergence. It's only about two to three tenths of precip total for AGH. Have to make it count because it could be the last look at snow until towards New Year's or into 2026. Christmas Week is looking too warm. If we mange at least 3 inches I may try to take the boy sled riding, might be the last opportunity for a couple weeks. Sunday should look and feel like winter. Should have NNW flow and lake streamers / snow showers. Certainly looks warm after mid week. There should be at least a few "colder" periods after a cutter or something for a day or two mixed in, might be able to thread the needle but otherwise not a great look. Hopefully by Christmas we see some favorable looks on the ensembles for a return to winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted yesterday at 01:59 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:59 AM Anybody under this band? Curious if its putting down anything. Its only a few miles north of my yard, hoping it drifts south a bit. Contemplating going for a drive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gordo74 Posted yesterday at 03:24 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:24 AM Quietest I’ve ever seen this board with a WSW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted yesterday at 03:30 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:30 AM 4 minutes ago, Gordo74 said: Quietest I’ve ever seen this board with a WSW Its such a small area that is gonna have a chance at really maximizing snow potential that its not really exciting people. Gonna have to see where the bands set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted yesterday at 12:37 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 12:37 PM 9 hours ago, Gordo74 said: Quietest I’ve ever seen this board with a WSW Definitely a stretch. I think that’s more the top end potential, a will likely go to advisories most places. But should be a nice little shot of winter for < 2 weeks before Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted yesterday at 12:46 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:46 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted yesterday at 01:04 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:04 PM A reminder: even though the mood seems to be we’re failing to cash in from this “great pattern” before it ends next week, all we need is 3.6” tomorrow to be above normal snowfall for December, an amount that seems very possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted yesterday at 02:59 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:59 PM 11 hours ago, Gordo74 said: Quietest I’ve ever seen this board with a WSW I would be pretty excited if I lived between the Mason Dixon line and I-70. Im thinking 2-4 for the city north. Don't get me wrong, it should be fun, cold powder is my favorite. Sunday may also feature some robust lake bands (looks like maybe a lake Huron connection) so that might add a lottery jackpot and add to the wintry feel of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gordo74 Posted yesterday at 03:46 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:46 PM Westmoreland WSW updated to 5-7”. Seems like they see something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PghPirates27 Posted yesterday at 03:53 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:53 PM 13 hours ago, RitualOfTheTrout said: Anybody under this band? Curious if its putting down anything. Its only a few miles north of my yard, hoping it drifts south a bit. Contemplating going for a drive. Went right over my house. Pretty intense for about 30 minutes. Picked up a quick 1.5" Had to drive home in it from AGC. Went from nothing to a mess in a few miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted yesterday at 04:50 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:50 PM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 1141 AM EST Fri Dec 12 2025 OHZ039>041-048>050-057-058-PAZ013-014-020>022-077-078-WVZ001-002- 130215- /O.NEW.KPBZ.WW.Y.0024.251213T1800Z-251214T1800Z/ Tuscarawas-Carroll-Columbiana-Coshocton-Harrison-Jefferson OH- Muskingum-Guernsey-Lawrence-Butler-Beaver-Allegheny-Armstrong- Indiana-Higher Elevations of Indiana-Hancock-Brooke- Including the cities of East Liverpool, Steubenville, Aliquippa, Salem, Cambridge, New Philadelphia, Pittsburgh Metro Area, Follansbee, Ambridge, Indiana, Ford City, Ellwood City, Zanesville, Beaver Falls, Cadiz, Carrollton, Armagh, Columbiana, Butler, Dover, Malvern, Weirton, Monaca, Wellsburg, New Castle, Kittanning, and Coshocton 1141 AM EST Fri Dec 12 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 5 inches. * WHERE...Portions of east central Ohio, southwest and western Pennsylvania, and northern and the northern panhandle of West Virginia. * WHEN...From 1 PM Saturday to 1 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow bands may prompt some counties to be upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Please report snow or ice accumulations by calling 412-262-1988, posting to the NWS Pittsburgh Facebook page, or using X @NWSPittsburgh. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ecanem Posted yesterday at 04:56 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:56 PM 13 hours ago, Gordo74 said: Quietest I’ve ever seen this board with a WSW We’re not used to snow before Christmas. I think I golfed this week last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted yesterday at 05:11 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 05:11 PM 13 hours ago, Gordo74 said: Quietest I’ve ever seen this board with a WSW I think the other thing - not a lot to “track” per se. Just a clipper with decent potential due to ratios and banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted yesterday at 05:19 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:19 PM 6 minutes ago, Burghblizz said: I think the other thing - not a lot to “track” per se. Just a clipper with decent potential due to ratios and banding. Yep the solution really hasnt changed much. A few wobbles north and south but overall it hasn't really changed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted yesterday at 05:26 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:26 PM They seem to have me at around 5" right now where I'm at. I'm pretty much on the Allegheny/Washington County border. I'm a stones throw from a WSW. Lol I'd be good with that if that verifies. Would be a little more for me than last week. Sent from my SM-S931U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted yesterday at 05:41 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:41 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted yesterday at 05:48 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:48 PM Looks good. Nice spread the wealth event. Despite the different products (WWA/WSW), shouldn't be a huge gradient north to south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted 21 hours ago Author Share Posted 21 hours ago We’ll see how this plays out but the warnings in the southern counties feels “aggressive”. 6-10” with “localized higher amounts”? Just doesnt feel like there is that kind of moisture to work with, despite the ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago Interesting graphic by the NWS. Seems like its all gonna depend on the banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago 31 minutes ago, Burghblizz said: We’ll see how this plays out but the warnings in the southern counties feels “aggressive”. 6-10” with “localized higher amounts”? Just doesnt feel like there is that kind of moisture to work with, despite the ratios I think the NWS tends to lean NBM - latest run has Morgantown with a 44% chance of 8" or more. 76% chance of 6" or more. Pretty decent odds. I'm sure the typical places with orographic lift will jackpot. AGC has a 46% chance of 6" or more for the same run. Almost a coin flip. Blend mean is 4.1" total but it seems to favor an amount between 4-7" for AGC. That's definitely bullish, as even the unreliable but typically juiced SREF mean is lower, but I'm not sure what ratio that plot measures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Now they upped me to like 10” here on the ridge just east of Uniontown 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted 9 hours ago Author Share Posted 9 hours ago HRRR looks to be trying to bump some of those imbedded bands a little north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimB Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago NWS has nudged totals up in Allegheny county with the latest update and added the “heavy at times” wording. Maybe laying the groundwork for a warning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 35 minutes ago, TimB said: NWS has nudged totals up in Allegheny county with the latest update and added the “heavy at times” wording. Maybe laying the groundwork for a warning? Hopefully we maximize the potential. With the earlier arrival of precip are we expected to get the heavier rates earlier? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 1141 AM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 OHZ057-058-PAZ021-WVZ002-140215- /O.UPG.KPBZ.WW.Y.0024.251213T1800Z-251214T1800Z/ /O.EXA.KPBZ.WS.W.0008.251213T1800Z-251214T1800Z/ Muskingum-Guernsey-Allegheny-Brooke- Including the cities of Pittsburgh Metro Area, Wellsburg, Zanesville, Follansbee, and Cambridge 1141 AM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 7 inches. * WHERE...In Ohio, Guernsey and Muskingum Counties. In Pennsylvania, Allegheny County. In West Virginia, Brooke County. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Please report snow or ice accumulations by calling 412-262-1988, posting to the NWS Pittsburgh Facebook page, or using X @NWSPittsburgh. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago The initial band looks to target center of AGC and south, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Flakes have started here in Bethel. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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