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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion


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12 minutes ago, KamuSnow said:

I'm ready for some fresh powder to blow around, but imagine this cold spell with bare ground or a dusting, no thanks. This has been awesome, even exceptional. Hoping for at least one more significant snow, ideally while some of what we have is still on the ground. I am enjoying this winter!

I did try sledding earlier, and I either need to lose some weight or get a bigger sled, the sleet layer was settling underneath the sled and slowing me down. If I got up to speed faster it might work. Fun stuff, lol. 23F currently.

I think I used a toboggan on this snow covered with ice stuff and flew down the hill, Apply some silicone spray on the bottom and you'll break records, Think Chevy Chase Christmas vacation...

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1 minute ago, Birds~69 said:

I think I used a toboggan on this snow covered with ice stuff and it flew down the hill, Apply some silicone spray on the bottom and you'll break records, Think Chevy Chase Christmas vacation...

Lol, thanks for the pro tip! Don't have a toboggan but we have a longer plastic sled I'm gonna try. Also have a couple of the old American Flyers with the metal runners I could sand down and wax up, but I don't think I'd get too far with those. I'm 6'4 and 220 lbs, lol. 

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9 minutes ago, KamuSnow said:

Lol, thanks for the pro tip! Don't have a toboggan but we have a longer plastic sled I'm gonna try. Also have a couple of the old American Flyers with the metal runners I could sand down and wax up, but I don't think I'd get too far with those. I'm 6'4 and 220 lbs, lol. 

Think the plastic sled will glide well over the ice topping.

WU going with 1-3 tomorrow night. Hoping for a inch...anything  more, overachiever.

"Occasional snow showers. Low 16F. WSW winds at less than 5 mph, increasing to 10 to 20 mph. Chance of snow 60%. 1 to 3 inches of snow expected."

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8 minutes ago, KamuSnow said:

Lol, thanks for the pro tip! Don't have a toboggan but we have a longer plastic sled I'm gonna try. Also have a couple of the old American Flyers with the metal runners I could sand down and wax up, but I don't think I'd get too far with those. I'm 6'4 and 220 lbs, lol. 

I still have my American Flyer from childhood. One of these days I’ll get around to refurbishing it—sand down the runners and repaint them, refinish the wood.
 

But for now it remains one of dozens of “I’ll-get-around-to-it-someday” projects on my list. 

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1 hour ago, JTA66 said:

I still have my American Flyer from childhood. One of these days I’ll get around to refurbishing it—sand down the runners and repaint them, refinish the wood.
 

But for now it remains one of dozens of “I’ll-get-around-to-it-someday” projects on my list. 

Lol, I hear you!

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1 hour ago, JTA66 said:

I still have my American Flyer from childhood. One of these days I’ll get around to refurbishing it—sand down the runners and repaint them, refinish the wood.
 

But for now it remains one of dozens of “I’ll-get-around-to-it-someday” projects on my list. 

Those old things worked once for me the year was 2007 

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I'm OK with just some flakes flying around.  Headed up to Schwenksville tomorrow just about the time the front comes. Weird feeling nervous about leaving the house, but I'll only be gone 24 hrs.  I'll get a text if the power goes out. Fuel gauge is on 1/2 tank.

Stay warm folks!

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Our coldest weather of the year is on the way over this weekend. Snow showers should begin from west to east across the area this evening with occasional snow showers and maybe a snow squall tomorrow morning. The high tomorrow will be overnight tonight but quickly fall into the single digits above zero during the day tomorrow with winds gusting as high as 50mph. The extreme cold warning goes into effect at 3pm tomorrow. Snow amounts will be light with between a coating and an inch at most. We should finally warm up to near freezing by Tuesday with a chance for some freezing rain or rain by Wednesday with temperatures just above freezing in most spots.image.png.97c069244c5b6499a7f9515642936f05.pngimage.thumb.png.467ff95da97dc5143fa90b647c3b42b2.png

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29 minutes ago, Duca892 said:

Can i ask how the ENS look for next midweek? That system has kind of gone to crapola on the OP

AI EPS still likes the 15-17th period.. if you are referring to the 11-12th, that's another northern stream clipper that changes every 6 hours... it's going to change every 6 hours.. 

 

image.png

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15 minutes ago, JTA66 said:

Going on 3 weeks with snow cover, not the easiest thing to do around here. Barring any prolonged torch next week, I think we make it to 4 weeks.

What's more impressive it really hasn't budged. Basically the same amount and not all crappy looking. Hopefully tonight a little refresher...

26F/Overcast

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23 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

The gfs is just not a serious model. Look at 00z last night to 12z today for the 11-12th… only about 1000 mile difference with the low :lol:

And then now there is a President's Day storm. That model sucks. 

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21 hours ago, The Iceman said:

I'm just glad to know we can still do long sustained cold in these parts... I was getting worried that transient cold was the new norm.

The past couple years, the PV has been unloading on the other side of the world into Siberia (northern Russia & northernChina).  For example back in Jan. 2023 where we seemed to completely miss the snow (I had just over an inch for the 2022 - 2023 season), where there the PV unloaded over Siberia - 

 

VUIAV5IMJNHKHAPD235ITQCYUM.png

 

 

 

Siberia sees coldest air in two decades as temperature dips to minus-80

Siberia sees coldest air in two decades as temperature dips to minus-80January 11, 2023

We were probably overdue!

 
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2 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Almost always a 10 day fantasy storm by then it's sun angle torch season

 

 

I don’t think general people actually grasp that we are honestly only line 2wks from the sun angle becoming a real factor. It creeps up quick 

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Just now, Duca892 said:

I don’t think general people actually grasp that we are honestly only line 2wks from the sun angle becoming a real factor. It creeps up quick 

Which is why late February and March snow value is padding numbers

12z euro says give your Valentine this sleet bomb storm lol

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6 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Which is why late February and March snow value is padding numbers

12z euro says give your Valentine this sleet bomb storm lol

bro what? Euro is a textbook thump to light sleet/frz rain. Almost the same storm as two weeks ago.

 

prateptype_cat_ecmwf-imp.us_ne.png

 

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Just now, The Iceman said:

bro what? Euro is a textbook thump to light sleet/frz rain. Almost the same storm as two weeks ago.

 

prateptype_cat_ecmwf-imp.us_ne.png

 

We know what happens when storms push into SW PA. Besides it's going to morph into a thousand different solutions on all the guidances 

 

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