MO/KS/AR/OK 2025-2026 Winter Discussion

[MoWeatherguy]

2 minutes ago, StormChazer said:

GFS paints the town with a significant second wave of precip on Sunday morning.

 

Nws Tulsa area in the cross hairs so far. 

[StormChazer]

A definite trend amongst the runs. looking forward to the Euro in an hour.

 

 

 

 

Canadian

06Z Euro

GFS

Icon(non-Kuchera so looks lower but isn't)

 

[SnowMan]

I am in North Texas - Celina area.  Looking forward to see how much ZR we get.

[The Waterboy]

Hot pink is my favorite color the rest of this week!   Those maps are almost unbelievable.  

[MUWX]

Wichita has expanded their watch north a couple of counties. I assume SGF will do the same shortly.

Edit: SGF added one for the whole forecast area. Most offices getting more aggressive in amounts, curious if they will continue to increase them or not, but several watches now in the 5-10" range. 

[StormChazer]

NWS Tulsa certainly getting on board with the high totals.

 

[rockchalk83]

It’s the UKMET, so proceed with caution: 

[StormChazer]

12Z Euro. Still going strong.

[MoWeatherguy]

1 minute ago, StormChazer said:

12Z Euro. Still going strong.

Looking good!

[ouamber]

This is reminding me of GHD 2011. I'm not sure why the trends are pulling this so far north. Personally, I do not want to be in the bullseye two days out, but isn't this the time when the models lose the cold air and try to say it's going to be warmer than it ends up being?

 

[JoMo]

I think the models will probably start to decrease precip amounts and come more in line with what reality will be.