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OBS for moderate coastal impact Nor'easter Sun-Mon 10/12-13/25 with needed rain everywhere. To minimize any disruptions review NWS warnings-statements.


wdrag
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Ill make the claim now.... this is going to overperform on the mainland of barnegat bay.   We have very strong sustained winds with frequent gusts over 50 now.  The water began rising before low tide was reached, and its going to be a long night ahead until the 4AM high tide.   Many boats will likely succumb to this storm, sadly...

 

Then, my work begins. Brutal. 

 

 

Screenshot_20251012_202004_Chrome.jpg

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I am a bit of a radiohead.  I have 3 scanners going with trunked talk groups on custom settings.  All of ocean county towns have too many calls for me to keep up with.  Trees falling and lines arching are the most frequent.   This thing is NOT bombing out (thanks, Omega,) but the net results of the gradient squeeze are impressive.  

 

Updated to reflect reality of surface maps, dated or not.

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2 minutes ago, dseagull said:

I am a bit of a radiohead.  I have 3 scanners going with trunked talk groups on custom settings.  All of ocean county towns have too many calls for me to keep up with.  Trees falling and lines arching are the most frequent.   This thing is bombing out. 

Little Egg Harbor recently gusted to 59 mph.  Winds busier than they have been up here all day.  Nothing dramatic but estimated 20-25 mph gust at times.  Just a bit of mist in the air.

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7 minutes ago, dseagull said:

I am a bit of a radiohead.  I have 3 scanners going with trunked talk groups on custom settings.  All of ocean county towns have too many calls for me to keep up with.  Trees falling and lines arching are the most frequent.   This thing is bombing out. 

No, it is not

image.png.03ded59622588b4335665e502b20a4f8.png

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I was surprised at how high the water levels were in Bayside Queens, along little neck bay. Surveyed them around 4:30, and then around 7-8 during low tide. Even at low tide, the water was covering about 1/4th of the jetty along Bayside marina. Very rough waters out there, some gusts to 40 mph this evening. Just rainy and breezy away from the water, but along north Queens shoreline it’s a totally different story. 

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7 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

No, it is not

image.png.03ded59622588b4335665e502b20a4f8.png

Ill fix my post.... I understand its a gradient squeeze.  Trust me, I do.  Apologies, im about to watch many neighborhoods get exceptionally wet here, as this system doesnt necessarily deepen, but the net results worsen.  If I didnt look at the surface map you posted, id describe an incredibly different situation.  

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1 minute ago, wthrmn654 said:

 

3k without power now on long Island and tides are now rising.  Fire island go bye bye i bet

 

Winds haven’t even gusted to 40 at the local airports…fire island will be fine 

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