Met1985 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago It does seem that we may stick with mixing a bit longer but the freezing rain potential is huge and severe.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Then, it’s all sleet for those same counties until late Sunday afternoon. That would be a fantastic outcome for these areas. South and west of there, the freezing rain locks in much earlier. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Going to be in an interesting spot at my house at 2900’ in Black Mountain. I have no idea how we do in these type events since I havent experienced one here. Hoping we can hang on to the snow and get a couple of inches before the sleet. Worried about the freezing rain as well here. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Gfs is really honing onto more backside moisture coming through with this arctic blast. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Brutal run with the freezing rain 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago More flow snow Monday night. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 7 minutes ago, Hvward said: Going to be in an interesting spot at my house at 2900’ in Black Mountain. I have no idea how we do in these type events since I havent experienced one here. Hoping we can hang on to the snow and get a couple of inches before the sleet. Worried about the freezing rain as well here. You're going to be in a freaking mess Hunter. Lots and lots of ice. I've seen it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Not good.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Nice little thump. I still think the flow snow in under modeled. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago You're going to be in a freaking mess Hunter. Lots and lots of ice. I've seen it.I am ready. Got the generator, 3 loads of firewood, 2 weeks of food, Starlink, full propane tank. Ready to thrive and report. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 12Z GFS QPF totals thru 90 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Nice little thump. I still think the flow snow in under modeled. Sent from my SM-G998U using TapatalkAgree whole heartedly with this. That last GFS gave Johnson City 3 more inches with the backside. It will for sure be under modeled. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopack42 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Can someone help me understand about plumbing/pipes in this situation? I have water turned off in my condo at the master valve inside my unit. Assuming power goes out so there's no heat, can pipes still burst? Should I turn the water off at the master valve and then drain the water by running the sink until there is no water flowing? I'm not a plumbing expert 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Don’t worry if this weekend doesn’t work out for snow for us. The GFS gives us a casual 24”-30” next weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, gopack42 said: Can someone help me understand about plumbing/pipes in this situation? I have water turned off in my condo at the master valve inside my unit. Assuming power goes out so there's no heat, can pipes still burst? Should I turn the water off at the master valve and then drain the water by running the sink until there is no water flowing? I'm not a plumbing expert You want to open up a faucet at the lowest point to take any pressure out and leave it open after the water is shut off 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Sw NC weather said: Don’t worry if this weekend doesn’t work out for snow for us. The GFS gives us a casual 24”-30” next weekend. Probably misses to the south again. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Icy Hot Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, Met1985 said: Gfs is really honing onto more backside moisture coming through with this arctic blast. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk It could happen but do any of us feel good about trusting the GFS any more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, Icy Hot said: It could happen but do any of us feel good about trusting the GFS any more? Yes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Icy Hot said: It could happen but do any of us feel good about trusting the GFS any more? Seems to be doing better with this system so far. Its over a week out so I doubt it has the details correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 47 minutes ago, Hvward said: I am ready. Got the generator, 3 loads of firewood, 2 weeks of food, Starlink, full propane tank. Ready to thrive and report. Hell yeah my man! Sound like me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 47 minutes ago, Hvward said: Agree whole heartedly with this. That last GFS gave Johnson City 3 more inches with the backside. It will for sure be under modeled. Yes sir. We've seen this before. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted 58 minutes ago Share Posted 58 minutes ago I'm curious what the disconnect is between the NAM and the GFS on precip. They aren't even in the same ballpark on totals. That said, I remember a storm from a few years ago that was forecast to be a significant ice storm and the globals wound up way overdoing precip and we wound up with just scattered/spotty showers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted 56 minutes ago Share Posted 56 minutes ago 1050mb isobars just crossed the line on mesoanalysis. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 54 minutes ago Share Posted 54 minutes ago 12 minutes ago, Icy Hot said: It could happen but do any of us feel good about trusting the GFS any more? Yeah actually and especially at this range. The gfs does a much better job with flow snow than the Euro. Also with the cold air crashing in after the storm this is a classic setup for back side flow snow and I actually think the gfs is handling the storm at this range better than the euro. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 52 minutes ago Share Posted 52 minutes ago 3 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: 1050mb isobars just crossed the line on mesoanalysis. Awesome! Thanks Tyler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 52 minutes ago Share Posted 52 minutes ago 25 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Seems to be doing better with this system so far. Its over a week out so I doubt it has the details correct He's asking about the flow snow for Sunday I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted 51 minutes ago Share Posted 51 minutes ago 2 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: 1050mb isobars just crossed the line on mesoanalysis. Yup! WPC Surface map Current 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mercurydime Posted 48 minutes ago Share Posted 48 minutes ago County officials have just declared a state of emergency here in McDowell. Crikey. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 44 minutes ago Share Posted 44 minutes ago Gfs gives us flow snow next Thursday. Funny how it completely shadows the foothills. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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