2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread

[Met1985]

Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham-Northern

Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-

Including the cities of Rainbow Springs, Kyle, Faust, Cashiers,

and Highlands

1208 PM EST Sat Jan 10 2026

 

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY ABOVE 3500

FEET...

 

* WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph

  expected above 3500 feet.

 

* WHERE...Buncombe, Graham, Haywood, Macon, Madison, Mitchell,

  Northern Jackson, Southern Jackson, Swain, and Yancey Counties.

 

* WHEN...From 6 AM to 6 PM EST Sunday.

 

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree

  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

[Met1985]

Euro seeing nothing at all for tomorrow. Has maybe flurries up around Beech but we will see.

[Rainforrest]

What drought 4.40 and still pouring. 

[Met1985]

12z euro is unimpressive for the Thursday upslope snow.

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[Met1985]

Euro says what snow and what storms. Probably right. 

[Maggie Valley Steve]

Just emptied a bit over 2 inches from the gage. Looks like the heavier rain has shifted SE. 

[franklin NCwx]

Starting to clear out here. Just a little over 4 inches.  Fontana is the lowest I have seen in sometime 

[Met1985]

18z gfs still really likes bringing some snow into the mountains tomorrow morning.

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[Met1985]

Still a really good signal in the 18z gfs for Thursday.

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[Buckethead]

Still a really good signal in the 18z gfs for Thursday.

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I literally just texted you about that lol.

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[Met1985]

Next weekends storm is still there but with a ton of caution.  But for the mountains a nice run.

[Met1985]

With the setup next weekend that would be a synoptic storm with the possibility of flow snow on the backside. 

[Met1985]

A big hit for the south central mountains next weekend.

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[Met1985]

Total accumulation from now to next Monday.

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[Tyler Penland]

The 3km NAM looks convective tomorrow afternoon, works in nearly 100j/kg of surface cape and some mixed layer as well, maybe enough for some isolated lightning strikes as the trough axis swings through. 

 

Next weekend is certainly interesting. One thing that gives me caution is the GFS verification scores have not been great lately. That said I'll be down in Georgia next weekend so you can pretty much take a snowstorm to the bank- I missed the November one down there too.