Maggie Valley Steve Posted Tuesday at 11:44 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:44 PM We've been stuck in the soup for 3 days with temperatures stuck in the 40's. It looks like there may be a wintry mix Thursday night into Friday morning above 5K and freezing temperatures possible early Saturday morning. I'm keeping an eye on early next as yet another Gulf Coast low organizes with an digging upper trough and robust cold front headed our way. The models have flipped from a clipper to a wrapped meandering upper low. If this is the pattern ahead as we head into November, things could become interesting. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 12:52 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:52 PM Feels like winter out there this morning. Temp of 38 with rain. Mt Mitchell is at 31 with rime ice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 12:59 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:59 PM Seems like we still may see some high elevation snow Thursday night and most should see a freeze Friday night so bundle up those trick or treaters Friday evening. After that we get another cool shot then it looks like the pattern goes zonal for a bit. So we will see but after some much needed rainfall the weather will turn beautiful. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 01:08 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:08 PM I got this from Bam weather but it's being talked about currently as we head into Met winter. This would be perfect heading into the cold season. Just 1 variable but a nice one.Watching the MJO closely ahead."Phase 6" through mid-NOV offers an overall warmer outlook.However, especially as we transition to "phase 8", cooler temps will be the theme. Key will be timing but below normal temps loom to open up DECSent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted Wednesday at 10:18 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 10:18 PM Currently 37 with fog/drizzle and a lot of wind in Wolf. I've had a few gusts to 30 in the past hour. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 11:22 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:22 PM 1 hour ago, Buckethead said: Currently 37 with fog/drizzle and a lot of wind in Wolf. I've had a few gusts to 30 in the past hour. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk Heck yeah! Raining currently with a temp of 41. Been at 41 for hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted Thursday at 10:51 AM Author Share Posted Thursday at 10:51 AM 33 with flurries in Wolf this morning.Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Thursday at 10:55 AM Share Posted Thursday at 10:55 AM 3 minutes ago, Buckethead said: 33 with flurries in Wolf this morning. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk Nice! Down to 35 here but no flakes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted Thursday at 11:38 AM Share Posted Thursday at 11:38 AM 46 minutes ago, Buckethead said: 33 with flurries in Wolf this morning. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk Nothing so far at 4650 on Beech but rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted Thursday at 12:03 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 12:03 PM Nothing so far at 4650 on Beech but rain. That was at 5100' in Wolf. I left that out. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Thursday at 12:51 PM Share Posted Thursday at 12:51 PM 1 hour ago, Buckethead said: 33 with flurries in Wolf this morning. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk When I get my money right, I’m getting a cabin somewhere in your neck of the woods. Snow capital of NC. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted Thursday at 08:00 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:00 PM What a raw wet day in the Valley. Temperature started out in the upper 30’s and has managed to 'heat up' to the mid and upper 40’s this afternoon. GSP stated in their afternoon disco that the freezing levels are beginning to drop rather quickly and a good chance for snow showers from 3500 ft and the possibility of some light accumulations. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Thursday at 09:54 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:54 PM Just got home. Current temp is 41 degrees, very windy and it looks like it's rained on and off today. Hoping to see some flakes tonight. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Friday at 02:37 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:37 PM Temps where all over the place this morning. At home I only got to 38, 42 in Asheville, 38 at the bottom of old Fort, and 52 in Morganton. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted Friday at 02:41 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:41 PM Woke up to 33 this morning with frost. I just emptied 3.24 inches out the gage for the week. Not too shabby at all! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Friday at 04:18 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:18 PM The wind is still nasty and cold today in the high country. Up in Yancey helping my dad build a cabin 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Saturday at 02:03 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:03 AM Going to be a cold one tonight. Temp already down to 37. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted Saturday at 10:08 AM Share Posted Saturday at 10:08 AM 29.7 so far this morning and still dropping. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Saturday at 01:45 PM Share Posted Saturday at 01:45 PM The hammer finally dropped overnight with a low of 27 degrees. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted Saturday at 02:46 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:46 PM 29 this morning with heavy frost on the Valley floor. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Saturday at 05:46 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:46 PM This is what the extended Euro ens is spitting out for December starting at the end of this month. There are several signs that this may come to fruition with the mjo plots moving into favorable forcing and the PV weakening towards the second half of November. When I analyze the broader, reoccurring pattern, the signals are clear — a –EPO / +PNA/-NAO/-AO setup tries to re-establish by mid to late month. This combination supports a stronger ridge in the West and a deepening trough across the East, allowing colder air to funnel south from Canada. I am a bit skeptical because the Euro monthly and weeklies kind of burnt me last year. They did well for January but crapped out elsewhere along the season. Ill have more right ups a bit later on a modern day record IOD that will affect this winter as well.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Saturday at 11:13 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:13 PM A little lesson from last year especially with the CANSIPS. The first picture was the modeled temperatures for last January. The second picture is the actual temps we had in January. The third picture is the modeled temps for January 2026. Now this can go either way but I don't put much stock in these long range predictions anymore. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted yesterday at 12:17 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:17 AM 1 hour ago, Met1985 said: A little lesson from last year especially with the CANSIPS. The first picture was the modeled temperatures for last January. The second picture is the actual temps we had in January. The third picture is the modeled temps for January 2026. Now this can go either way but I don't put much stock in these long range predictions anymore. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Yeah, all the lr(long range) Model's have Enso factored in very high. You can see La nina footprint. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted yesterday at 02:40 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:40 PM Looks like we will have relatively quiet week ahead with daytime highs in the 60's and lows in the upper 30’s to 40’s. A mainly zonal flow should hold until next weekend, then changes are brewing. The various computer schemes suggest a strong Great Lakes gale developing and moderate to heavy snow across portions of the Region. There are hints of snow upslope snow showers along the border Counties late next weekend depending on timing. I continue to see signs that indicate the possibility of below normal temperatures and storm chances into the Thanksgiving Holiday period. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago Reports of heavy snow on the Cherohala Skyway for the last 4 hrs..Radar is definitely backing it up. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago The GFS and Euro drop the hammer next weekend. A week away but pretty good agreement. Would definitely bring upslope snow to the area. Something to watch. Until then enjoy this beautiful week. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 30 with heavy frost this morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has reached a new record weekly negative value at -1.94ºC. A negative dipole reduces convection across the west Indian Ocean and enhances it across the east. This can favour more blocked weather patterns.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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