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Central PA Summer 2025


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7 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

The Slight risk was actually expanded WEST compared to yesterday's map. 

As Canderson mentioned yesterday there is some timeing differences at play . Either way I think the biggest  news will be the flash flooding here in cpa. The local water sheds have done a great job this year absorbing and shedding but I think there number is up atp. 

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14 minutes ago, Yardstickgozinya said:

As Canderson mentioned yesterday there is some timeing differences at play . Either way I think the biggest  news will be the flash flooding here in cpa. The local water sheds have done a great job this year absorbing and shedding but I think there number is up atp. 

Call me strange, but I wish that flood risk was expanded east. All this miserable wetness, light rain, drizzle, mist, and gloominess and nothing even remotely remarkable to show for it.

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1 hour ago, Voyager said:

Call me strange, but I wish that flood risk was expanded east. All this miserable wetness, light rain, drizzle, mist, and gloominess and nothing even remotely remarkable to show for it.

Ok Strange. Dont get to down on yourself . Your feelings about the weather are justifiable. 

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1 hour ago, Yardstickgozinya said:

Ok Strange. Dont get to down on yourself . Your feelings about the weather are justifiable. 

Yeah. I'm a go big or go home weather guy. Give me a cane, a blizzard, a severe storm, or flooding rains. I hate the mundane.

55 minutes ago, canderson said:

TOR warning west of chamberburg along the border. 

Send that up to Tamaqua please... :unsure:

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9 hours ago, Voyager said:

Yeah. I'm a go big or go home weather guy. Give me a cane, a blizzard, a severe storm, or flooding rains. I hate the mundane.

Send that up to Tamaqua please... :unsure:

I completely understand.   Mundane to me is a week straight of sunny days, clear blue sky's with just enough breeze to gently play the wind chime as the afternoon doves sing  back and forth about their lifelong court ship.  That bores the living daylights out of me. Call me strange but I spend those days dreaming of 100-degree weather with muggy nocturnal thunderstorms or digging two feet of snow out of my driveway after mud wrestling  the female  clown midgets and old Jack three legs  from the  Ringling Bros. and Barnum & Bailey Circus. 

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Slight risk probabilities stayed rock steady overnight for Thursday. Screenshot_20250618_044202_Chrome.thumb.jpg.fade541379f3833aff97f71728fcfac3.jpg

   ...New England into the Mid Atlantic/Southeast... Relatively rich low-level moisture will stream northward ahead of the front approaching New England and the Mid Atlantic during the day on Thursday. Moderate buoyancy may develop as far north asnorthern NY/VT, with pockets of stronger heating/destabilization farther south into the Mid Atlantic and Carolinas/Southeast. 

The strongest deep-layer flow/shear is still expected from PA/northern NJ northward into New England, where wind profiles will be conditionally supportive of supercells and organized bowing segments. Damaging winds and perhaps a tornado could accompany the strongest storms in this area. Farther south into the southern Mid Atlantic and Carolinas,deep-layer flow will be somewhat unidirectional and weaker, but still sufficient for some organized convection. Clusters capable of producing scattered wind damage will be possible, especially in areas where stronger diurnal heating/destabilization occurs.  Deep-layer flow will be rather weak into parts of MS/AL/GA/SC, but the glancing influence of the mid/upper-level trough and relatively large MLCAPE and PW will support storms capable of producing isolated strong/damaging gusts.

The full SPC forcast discussion for Thursday is in the link below.  https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

 

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1 hour ago, Yardstickgozinya said:

I completely understand.   Mundane to me is a week straight of sunny days, clear blue sky's with just enough breeze to gently play the wind chime as the afternoon doves sing  back and forth about their lifelong court ship.  That bores the living daylights out of me. Call me strange but I spend those days dreaming of 100-degree weather with muggy nocturnal thunderstorms or digging two feet of snow out of my driveway after mud wrestling  the female  clown midgets and old Jack three legs  from the  Ringling Bros. and Barnum & Bailey Circus. 

This too, in a sense. If it's not going to storm in some fashion, then nice sunny days are good, too.

A week of drizzle? No thanks.

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1 minute ago, Voyager said:

This too, in a sense. If it's not going to storm in some fashion, then nice sunny days are good, too.

A week of drizzle? No thanks.

.  My subconscious is always looking for an excuse to lay around for a week during my busy season but this is definitely getting a little repetitive and starting a cut into my finances. The good news is the next few days might  not disappoint and have Increasing. storm potential to look forward to.

 

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I fly out of Puerto Vallarta Friday around noon. That maybe an issue due to interaction of Erica and some front. I'm forecast to get 3"-6" of rain Thursday afternoon through Friday afternoon. I'm getting totally different forecast when I look at wunderground, AccuWeather, and then the translation from the Mexican national weather service. If anyone has a better grasp of things I would appreciate some Intel. The Mexican national weather services is saying 40-60km/hr guests to go along with heavy rains Thursday through Friday but wunderground has winds at 8km/hr

Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

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SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 433
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1245 PM EDT WED JUN 18 2025

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 433 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

PAC001-011-017-029-045-071-091-101-133-182300-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0433.250618T1645Z-250618T2300Z/

PA
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS                BERKS               BUCKS
CHESTER              DELAWARE            LANCASTER
MONTGOMERY           PHILADELPHIA        YORK
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