2025-2026 ENSO

[GaWx]

3 hours ago, MJO812 said:

The final countdown 

 Anthony, today’s NAO forecast is consistent with yesterday’s (bad/+):

Yesterday’s GEFS:

 

Today’s GEFS:

[cmillzz]

27 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

March 2026 is likely going to finish the warmest March on record for CONUS

Damn, even warmer than 2012? That’d be extremely impressive

[michsnowfreak]

3 hours ago, cmillzz said:

It’s already been a torch month for virtually the entire CONUS and aside from the brief early week cold shot, will continue to torch (except for the far northeast perhaps). Doesn’t need to be 2012 to be defined as a “torch”.

Im referring specifically to several posts that repeatedly referenced that following this cold shot, the western torch would envelop the entire conus and clearly that is not the case. Just had our coldest st paddys day in 59 years. And after milder days this weekend, there are several more cold shots en route for the lakes and northeast while the southwest continues to burn.

Torch is subjective i guess. The word torch was never used til 2012. Now anything a few degrees above normal is a torch to some.

[Stormchaserchuck1]

6 minutes ago, cmillzz said:

Damn, even warmer than 2012? That’d be extremely impressive

The heat wave in the SW, US over the next 10 days is probably more impressive than 2012. Ranks up there with June 2021 in the NW with std of top warm departures all time. 

[michsnowfreak]

1 hour ago, JACKASS said:

It's been a torch winter for most of the globe.

Other than some odd cold spikes in the south.

Good for the globe! Its been mentioned many, many times. It doesn't change the fact that it was a colder than average winter in the Great Lakes and northeast, or that the cold in that part of the globe often refused to budge. I understand that getting a cold winter where 90% of this forum resides, despite more widespread world warmth, does not sit well with some. But it doesnt mean it didnt happen or cant be discussed. 

[Stormchaserchuck1]

Palm Springs, CA hit 106F today, a new monthly record. Palm Springs, CA has now come within 28 degrees of the all time highest temperature ever recorded on Earth in the wintertime! They are expected to go higher tomorrow and Friday. 

[MJO812]

33 minutes ago, GaWx said:

 Anthony, today’s NAO forecast is consistent with yesterday’s (bad/+):

Yesterday’s GEFS:

 

Today’s GEFS:

Really cold air is finished.  Slight chance of more snow in the east south of New England but its mostly over  .

If these would like a few days ago then we would of had a good chance of anow.

[MJO812]

1 hour ago, JACKASS said:

It's been a torch winter for most of the globe.

Other than some odd cold spikes in the south.

Yes for the west coast and parts of the Midwest but not for the east coast.

[MJO812]

24 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

Good for the globe! Its been mentioned many, many times. It doesn't change the fact that it was a colder than average winter in the Great Lakes and northeast, or that the cold in that part of the globe often refused to budge. I understand that getting a cold winter where 90% of this forum resides, despite more widespread world warmth, does not sit well with some. But it doesnt mean it didnt happen or cant be discussed. 

Exactly

[michsnowfreak]

38 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Yes for the west coast and parts of the Midwest but not for the east coast.

For western Midwest was warmer than normal, but torch was the Plains and West.

[Stormchaserchuck1]

Flagstaff, AZ's record high for the month of March is 73

They are projected to hit 87 Friday, 14 degrees higher than all time high for the month with 11 days to go!

Thursday

Sunny, with a high near 86.

Friday

Sunny, with a high near 87. 

Saturday

Sunny, with a high near 83. 

 

 

Flagstaff has never hit 100F in the Summertime. So their difference between this March's high temp and previous March's all time (since 1899) is greater than the difference between this March's high and their all time highest temp ever recorded. 

[cmillzz]

1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:

Im referring specifically to several posts that repeatedly referenced that following this cold shot, the western torch would envelop the entire conus and clearly that is not the case. Just had our coldest st paddys day in 59 years. And after milder days this weekend, there are several more cold shots en route for the lakes and northeast while the southwest continues to burn.

Torch is subjective i guess. The word torch was never used til 2012. Now anything a few degrees above normal is a torch to some.

My guess is DTW finishes March around +5. Not quite as warm as last year, but I'd still consider that to be a borderline torch.