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2025-2026 ENSO


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17 hours ago, so_whats_happening said:

Remarkably similar 2 month period with some probably pretty important differences.

2024.png

2025.png

One important difference is the AAM. Last year at this time it was in full on El Nino (positive). This year, it is and has been very strongly negative 

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1 hour ago, snowman19 said:

One important difference is the AAM. Last year at this time it was in full on El Nino (positive). This year, it is and has been very strongly negative 

Another important difference is the character of La Nina....hard pressed to find many weak/east based Nina events that occured during -QBO that didn't feature some blocking. Although 2005-2006 was pretty mild mid season, it was wintry in December and featured big blocking in March.

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