Interior NW & NE Burbs 2025

[North and West]

hey guys, hope you had a nice Thanksgiving!

Think there’s anything going on with this storm down yonder at MMU?

My family and I are awaiting news to see if we can make it town on Tuesday.




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[xram]

39/37 A whopping .01" for the day. Perfect day to watch football

[snywx]

36° w/ lots of sunshine currently. I do think Orange goes to a warning for 4-8". WWA for Rockland & W Passaic for 2-3". Once you cross the Hudson south of the Putnam/Westcher border is prob primarily a rain event with some snow to start. I-84 is the new "NW of 287" line 

[crossbowftw3]

15 minutes ago, snywx said:

36° w/ lots of sunshine currently. I do think Orange goes to a warning for 4-8". WWA for Rockland & W Passaic for 2-3". Once you cross the Hudson south of the Putnam/Westcher border is prob primarily a rain event with some snow to start. I-84 is the new "NW of 287" line 

Looking pretty much set for folks like you and I. An 8-12 hour snow blitz and out by the end of tomorrow.

[snywx]

2 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said:

Looking pretty much set for folks like you and I. An 8-12 hour snow blitz and out by the end of tomorrow.

You guys in Sullivan should do very well with this. Rock Hill, MSV areas are prob a lock for 6-8". As long as we dont see any sneaky warmth in the mid levels here in northern orange we should be good for 4"+

[crossbowftw3]

49 minutes ago, snywx said:

You guys in Sullivan should do very well with this. Rock Hill, MSV areas are prob a lock for 6-8". As long as we dont see any sneaky warmth in the mid levels here in northern orange we should be good for 4"+

On the western side of the county (Narrowsburg area) at slightly lower elevation so more 4-6” and possibly drizzle to end, if we even get that warm.

[ForestHillWx]

Retreating here for a while; the main thread is a disaster. All rather interesting as the city was never supposed to see any accumulation. 

I always wonder about the age of our posters as the younger generation has no idea as to how lean winters around here can be. 

[North and West]

Retreating here for a while; the main thread is a disaster. All rather interesting as the city was never supposed to see any accumulation. 
I always wonder about the age of our posters as the younger generation has no idea as to how lean winters around here can be. 

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[crossbowftw3]

3 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said:

Retreating here for a while; the main thread is a disaster. All rather interesting as the city was never supposed to see any accumulation. 

I always wonder about the age of our posters as the younger generation has no idea as to how lean winters around here can be. 

I turn 28 in January and I do remember how horrid 2011-12 was after the big one in October. 2015 with the 70s Christmas week was shocking, and I missed on bigger snows for January 2016 blizzard by barely 40 miles.

 

To some degree I do know.

[crossbowftw3]

That said:

[North and West]

I turn 28 in January and I do remember how horrid 2011-12 was after the big one in October. 2015 with the 70s Christmas week was shocking, and I missed on bigger snows for January 2016 blizzard by barely 40 miles.
 
To some degree I do know.

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[IrishRob17]

9 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said:

Retreating here for a while; the main thread is a disaster. All rather interesting as the city was never supposed to see any accumulation. 

I always wonder about the age of our posters as the younger generation has no idea as to how lean winters around here can be. 

If you're expecting hundreds of weenie posts on every model run you'll be disappointed. Most of us here know how to find the models ourselves (its not 2004 anymore), we do look at them, and we don't feel the need to breakdown each and every run at nauseum. I know it's a weather board and everyone enjoys the weather in their own way. Some of the other NW regulars can throw in their thoughts here but I see this thread as a no fluff, meat and potatoes kinda of place. 

[snywx]

23 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said:

Retreating here for a while; the main thread is a disaster. All rather interesting as the city was never supposed to see any accumulation. 

I always wonder about the age of our posters as the younger generation has no idea as to how lean winters around here can be. 

They weren't around for the 80s & 90s. I moved up here from the Bronx in 95 and couldn't believe the difference in winter weather. UHI & proximity to the Atlantic really kill that area in terms of winter weather. 

[snywx]

15 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

If you're expecting hundreds of weenie posts on every model run you'll be disappointed. Most of us here know how to find the models ourselves (its not 2004 anymore), we do look at them, and we don't feel the need to breakdown each and every run at nauseum. I know it's a weather board and everyone enjoys the weather in their own way. Some of the other NW regulars can throw in their thoughts here but I see this thread as a no fluff, meat and potatoes kinda of place. 

I remember us starting this separate thread prob 10 or so yrs ago. During the winter season its def needed. Tomorrow is a perfect example 

[Irishmick9]

I need to come to this forum more often as it is a different world up here and I understand the lack of enthusiasm down there. With that being said, I need to get access to the models so I don't have to ask here but until then, are the mesos still showing the R/S line little north of Sussex Co or back down a bit? I know 1-84 is a good spot for this one but northern half of Sussex was looking great until this morning.  This will be my only IMBY type question. 

[MANDA]

I'm on the FAR southeast edge to be involved in this forum but it is a nice place to chill....I have to say.  The main thread is like the movie Groundhog Day.  I feel like I'm reliving Winter 2024-25 all over again with the usual suspects taking their usual stance and "weenie tags" flying all over the place.

That being said my 2-4" forecast for MBY is slipping away...I'm now thinking 1" or maybe 2" if I'm lucky and this over performs.

 

[North and West]

I'm on the FAR southeast edge to be involved in this forum but it is a nice place to chill....I have to say.  The main thread is like the movie Groundhog Day.  I feel like I'm reliving Winter 2024-25 all over again with the usual suspects taking their usual stance and "weenie tags" flying all over the place.
That being said my 2-4" forecast for MBY is slipping away...I'm now thinking 1" or maybe 2" if I'm lucky and this over performs.
 

I’m on the southern and western end here (MMU) and every year it’s the same movie. Everyone gets bent out of shape for things literally out of our control.




.

[IrishRob17]

2 hours ago, Irishmick9 said:

I need to come to this forum more often as it is a different world up here and I understand the lack of enthusiasm down there. With that being said, I need to get access to the models so I don't have to ask here but until then, are the mesos still showing the R/S line little north of Sussex Co or back down a bit? I know 1-84 is a good spot for this one but northern half of Sussex was looking great until this morning.  This will be my only IMBY type question. 

You can check out a lot for free here: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/

1 hour ago, MANDA said:

I'm on the FAR southeast edge to be involved in this forum but it is a nice place to chill....I have to say.  The main thread is like the movie Groundhog Day.  I feel like I'm reliving Winter 2024-25 all over again with the usual suspects taking their usual stance and "weenie tags" flying all over the place.

That being said my 2-4" forecast for MBY is slipping away...I'm now thinking 1" or maybe 2" if I'm lucky and this over performs.

 

You’re welcome even if you feel like you’re on the fringe. I don’t really know what to expect here as I’m right along Interstate 84 but at just under 400’. I’ve had storms go both ways here, where I flip to rain because of my elevation and other times I stay snow because I’m far enough NW. It’s always a nowcast here. 

[snywx]

5 hours ago, Irishmick9 said:

I need to come to this forum more often as it is a different world up here and I understand the lack of enthusiasm down there. With that being said, I need to get access to the models so I don't have to ask here but until then, are the mesos still showing the R/S line little north of Sussex Co or back down a bit? I know 1-84 is a good spot for this one but northern half of Sussex was looking great until this morning.  This will be my only IMBY type question. 

The extreme northern sections of Sussex and potentially W Passaic are in play for a plowable snowfall. If I was in NJ northern Sussex is where I would wanna be especially the Montague area. 

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

The writing was on the wall for this one starting Sunday. A victory would be seeing the grass covered but that's highly unlikely now. An ominous beginning to the season but at least it's early in the game. Going from 5-8, which I never quite bought into, to 1-2 in a 24 hour time span is never a good thing but that's the weather game.

[crossbowftw3]

Snow just broke out within the last few minutes. We are underway. 

[North and West]

commenced at MMU


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[ForestHillWx]

Flipping between snow/ice depending on the intensity.

Our school district closed; but Murphy calling a state of emergency for northwest Jersey may be more ridiculous. 

[North and West]

Flipping between snow/ice depending on the intensity.
Our school district closed; but Murphy calling a state of emergency for northwest Jersey may be more ridiculous. 

When everything is an emergency, nothing is.


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[IrishRob17]

First flakes right at 9am quickly turned into light snow, 29/22. 

[snywx]

3 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

The writing was on the wall for this one starting Sunday. A victory would be seeing the grass covered but that's highly unlikely now. An ominous beginning to the season but at least it's early in the game. Going from 5-8, which I never quite bought into, to 1-2 in a 24 hour time span is never a good thing but that's the weather game.

84 looks to be the actual dividing line this time around 

26 here w/ moderate snow falling 

[xram]

29 light snow here

[MANDA]

27 minutes ago, North and West said:

When everything is an emergency, nothing is.


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Bingo.  Dilutes the message when truly needed.  Goes in one ear and out the other.

[CPcantmeasuresnow]

30.2 with moderate snow, maybe 1/2 inch so far.

Waiting to hear the dreaded ping on the windows.