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Mid to long range discussion- 2025


wncsnow
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Today’s Euro Weeklies update:

1) 4th run in a row with a very weak SPV late Nov/early Dec with today’s having ~25% of members with a very early major SSW, the highest yet of any run!
IMG_5048.png.4126b740e70f374306fe28e07a433efd.png

 

2) After having warmed up significantly in the E US the last 3 runs for most of November/early Dec from the cold Nov 2-9 and then mainly NN Nov 10-Dec 7 of the Oct 26 run, today’s has cooled back down notably for much of Nov 10-Dec 7 and is downright cold for the new week (Dec 8-14) with a solid -AO for Nov 24-Dec 14. Keep in mind that the Euro often has trouble seeing cold too far out. So, seeing BN all the way out at weeks 5-6 in today’s run is noteworthy and will be followed closely for future trends.


500 mb week 6:

IMG_5049.thumb.webp.a8f53e29d82cb98742920953cab8be4c.webp

 

2m temps week 6:

IMG_5051.thumb.webp.336c39bdf9569b9608cf171ca4a8f7fb.webp

 

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17 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

True Cold next week IMG-1015.png

 After having a few chilly runs in late Oct for the period around Veteran’s Day and then backing off to mild, the model consensus since Nov 1st has gotten much colder for then with the last few runs being the coldest yet!

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