WinstonSalemArlington Posted October 29 Share Posted October 29 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted October 29 Share Posted October 29 Warmer mid November? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted October 29 Author Share Posted October 29 The first 2 weeks of November have went from possibly below average/ near average to above average if we avoid clouds/rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted October 30 Share Posted October 30 8 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Warmer mid November? Blocking breaking down along with MJO Propagation into warmer phases . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted October 30 Share Posted October 30 After the warmup both GFS and Euro remarkably both show a strong cold front traversing the country in a couple of weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 Today’s Euro Weeklies update: 1) 4th run in a row with a very weak SPV late Nov/early Dec with today’s having ~25% of members with a very early major SSW, the highest yet of any run! 2) After having warmed up significantly in the E US the last 3 runs for most of November/early Dec from the cold Nov 2-9 and then mainly NN Nov 10-Dec 7 of the Oct 26 run, today’s has cooled back down notably for much of Nov 10-Dec 7 and is downright cold for the new week (Dec 8-14) with a solid -AO for Nov 24-Dec 14. Keep in mind that the Euro often has trouble seeing cold too far out. So, seeing BN all the way out at weeks 5-6 in today’s run is noteworthy and will be followed closely for future trends. 500 mb week 6: 2m temps week 6: 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted October 31 Share Posted October 31 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted November 1 Share Posted November 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted November 2 Share Posted November 2 Something interesting around Veterans Day 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted November 2 Share Posted November 2 Widespread freezes coming to the Carolinas and Virginia next week 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted November 2 Share Posted November 2 True Cold next week 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted November 3 Share Posted November 3 17 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: True Cold next week After having a few chilly runs in late Oct for the period around Veteran’s Day and then backing off to mild, the model consensus since Nov 1st has gotten much colder for then with the last few runs being the coldest yet! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted November 3 Share Posted November 3 Freezes to the coast possible next week 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted November 3 Share Posted November 3 November 11 temp departures, highs below 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted November 3 Share Posted November 3 GFS joins the cold train 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted November 3 Share Posted November 3 Euro weeklies 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted November 3 Share Posted November 3 2 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Euro weeklies Looks like it's factoring Nina with Blocking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted November 3 Author Share Posted November 3 New England looks like a fun spot to be in December if that's correct. Storm track could be an issue for us southern folks but it's a long ways out yet 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted November 3 Share Posted November 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted November 4 Share Posted November 4 Looking at mid 30's for us next week. Could be our first frost and freeze if it runs colder. That is early for us. Usually doesn't get that cold until 3rd or 4th week of November. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted November 4 Share Posted November 4 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted November 4 Share Posted November 4 Carolina Weather Association 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted November 4 Share Posted November 4 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted November 4 Share Posted November 4 1 hour ago, olafminesaw said: So, you're telling me there’s a chance?! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted November 4 Share Posted November 4 The revenge of the torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted November 4 Share Posted November 4 Amped 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted November 4 Author Share Posted November 4 1 hour ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: The revenge of the torch Its definitely going to warm up after next week's cold shot. The question is what pattern comes next and how long does it take to establish itself. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted November 4 Share Posted November 4 GFS sees snow shower potential in the northeast North Carolina Piedmont and coastal plain on November 13P 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted November 4 Share Posted November 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted November 4 Share Posted November 4 Uhhh….this is damn close to Nov 1, 2014. A little negative tilt and this thread will blow up. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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