2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

[GaWx]

On 10/5/2025 at 2:20 AM, WxWatcher007 said:

That’s by far the worst spot too given the OHC and reduction in shear. There’s too much shear for the lemon areas in the Gulf right now, but the tropical Atlantic wave is likely to develop given how convectively active it continues to be and the CAG could very well produce 1-2 TCs (more likely 1 imo). 
 

 Today the Euro ens/weeklies don’t have as much activity in the W Caribbean for midmonth as they had two days ago when I posted how much more active than climo it was.

0Z 10/4 EPS run for 0Z 10/15: note how busy it was in W Car

 

12Z 10/6 EPS run for 0Z 10/15: not as active in W Car

[WxWatcher007]

5 hours ago, GaWx said:

 Today the Euro ens/weeklies don’t have as much activity in the W Caribbean for midmonth as they had two days ago when I posted how much more active than climo it was.

0Z 10/4 EPS run for 0Z 10/15: note how busy it was in W Car

 

12Z 10/6 EPS run for 0Z 10/15: not as active in W Car

Yeah I think we’ll kind of see the signal ebb and flow the next few days. It’s still pretty far out. 

[Coach McGuirk]

Another possible coastal low, non-tropical storm Sunday.