2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

[WxWatcher007]

I don’t see anything possible other than homebrew/hybrid off the east coast in the next week or so.

[BarryStantonGBP]

1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I don’t see anything possible other than homebrew/hybrid off the east coast in the next week or so.

the atlantic said she'll get fookin pissed in mid September especially with that nonce humberto from the Notting Hill carnival

[BarryStantonGBP]

 

[BarryStantonGBP]

PACK IT UP GABRIELLE
THAT SLAG WILL CONTRIBUTE NOTHING TO THE SEASON

 

[nvck]

Interesting write-up about google's deepmind model, and how it did for erin: https://arstechnica.com/science/2025/08/googles-ai-model-just-nailed-the-forecast-for-the-strongest-atlantic-storm-this-year/

[BarryStantonGBP]

3 minutes ago, nvck said:

Interesting write-up about google's deepmind model, and how it did for erin: https://arstechnica.com/science/2025/08/googles-ai-model-just-nailed-the-forecast-for-the-strongest-atlantic-storm-this-year/

Told you DeepMinds is the way to go

 

[BarryStantonGBP]

 

[BarryStantonGBP]

 

[BarryStantonGBP]

OI OIIIII SEPTEMBER WILL POP OFF

 

TS FREQ:

ACE:

 

@GaWxGTFIH

[GaWx]

2 hours ago, BarryStantonGBP said:

OI OIIIII SEPTEMBER WILL POP OFF

 

TS FREQ:

ACE:

 

@GaWxGTFIH

 Today’s Euro Weekly run not only has the most active 9/15-21 ACE yet, it is the 1st run with 9/22-8 and that is even more active than 9/15-21! It has the quietest Sep week as the 1st one and the noisiest week as the 4th one. That resembles Sep of 2024 somewhat because then the quietest weeks of ACE in Sep were the 1st (0) and 3rd (0) while the 4th had the noisiest by far with AN ACE (18.1). The 2nd had 6.1.

Today’s EW ACE Sep progs vs very active 20 yr climo
1-7: 4.5 (.3)
8-14: 11.3 (.7)
15-21: 20.4 (1.3)
22-28: 22.4 (1.6)

 So, today’s vs climo is despite a very quiet 1st week and still BN 2nd week progging the 1st 4 weeks of Sept at 58.6, which compares to only 24.2 in 2024 and is ~the active 30 year climo of ~60.

To compare, look at what I posted on 8/27/24:

Today’s Euro Weeklies could be nicknamed “A Tale of Two Seasons”:

- Weeks 1-3 (9/2-22): remain only at ~50% of climo overall. These haven’t changed much for days other than a gradual decline.

- Week 4 (9/23-29/new week “on the block”): the first forecast for that week is for 120% of climo and it follows the prior week’s modest 70%. So, it’s seeing some kind of sudden change. If it were a reversion to climo, it would be only at 100%, not 120%. Also, this is the first time there has been any week at 120%+ since the 8/16 run. Will be interesting to follow.

[BarryStantonGBP]

6 hours ago, GaWx said:

 Today’s Euro Weekly run not only has the most active 9/15-21 ACE yet, it is the 1st run with 9/22-8 and that is even more active than 9/15-21! It has the quietest Sep week as the 1st one and the noisiest week as the 4th one. That resembles Sep of 2024 somewhat because then the quietest weeks of ACE in Sep were the 1st (0) and 3rd (0) while the 4th had the noisiest by far with AN ACE (18.1). The 2nd had 6.1.

Today’s EW ACE Sep progs vs very active 20 yr climo
1-7: 4.5 (.3)
8-14: 11.3 (.7)
15-21: 20.4 (1.3)
22-28: 22.4 (1.6)

 So, today’s vs climo is despite a very quiet 1st week and still BN 2nd week progging the 1st 4 weeks of Sept at 58.6, which compares to only 24.2 in 2024 and is ~the active 30 year climo of ~60.

To compare, look at what I posted on 8/27/24:

Today’s Euro Weeklies could be nicknamed “A Tale of Two Seasons”:

- Weeks 1-3 (9/2-22): remain only at ~50% of climo overall. These haven’t changed much for days other than a gradual decline.

- Week 4 (9/23-29/new week “on the block”): the first forecast for that week is for 120% of climo and it follows the prior week’s modest 70%. So, it’s seeing some kind of sudden change. If it were a reversion to climo, it would be only at 100%, not 120%. Also, this is the first time there has been any week at 120%+ since the 8/16 run. Will be interesting to follow.

That means gabby should pack it up

wait for storms after her innit