Voyager Posted December 21, 2023 Author Share Posted December 21, 2023 13 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I cannot believe Office Depot is still kickin. I believe they merged with Office Max. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 Really decent signal on the Eps for a snowstorm 1/3-1/5 period. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 4 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Really decent signal on the Eps for a snowstorm 1/3-1/5 period. Should have said, it's the same system reflected at the end of the Gfs essentially. And you know what they say...the big ones are sniffed out far in advance...sometimes. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 Just now, mitchnick said: Should have said, it's the same system reflected at the end of the Gfs essentially. And you know what they say...the big ones are sniffed out far in advance...sometimes. That system on the GFS looked like it was going to be something big and then, it runs for the GL on the last panel...so that may be out next, great hope indeed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 8 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: That system on the GFS looked like it was going to be something big and then, it runs for the GL on the last panel...so that may be out next, great hope indeed! No way slp would head for the GL with the ensemble mean 500mb and 250mb wind flow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 5 minutes ago, mitchnick said: No way slp would head for the GL with the ensemble mean 500mb and 250mb wind flow. Thanks Mitch notice @Bubbler86did the GFS takes it into the lakes. I hope this is the one, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 10 minutes ago, mitchnick said: No way slp would head for the GL with the ensemble mean 500mb and 250mb wind flow. It actually seemed to transfer vs head....but that is as far as I am willing to dissect 384 :-). Would have to see some more panels to see if it a model blip but regardless, we are well on our way to losing 850's on the final panel behind a SE Wind at 850 and Easterly at the surface. I just cannot come to using ensemble means for anything except patterns so just discuss the one op I saw :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 8 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: It actually seemed to transfer vs head....but that is as far as I am willing to dissect 384 :-). Would have to see some more panels to see if it a model blip but regardless, we are well on our way to losing 850's on the final panel behind a SE Wind at 850 and Easterly at the surface. I just cannot come to using ensemble means for anything except patterns so just discuss the one op I saw :-) In weenie world, the best of times have the ensembles supporting the operational runs. But we're too far out for that. Be that as it may, I personally believe we have our first legit threat at a legit snowstorm to track fwiw. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 4 minutes ago, mitchnick said: In weenie world, the best of times have the ensembles supporting the operational runs. But we're too far out for that. Be that as it may, I personally believe we have our first legit threat at a legit snowstorm to track fwiw. Yea, wayyy too far out. I agree that early January is our first window and seeing the Op showing so much cold air in the US at that point is reassuring. Unless this falls off, it is a big plus that we are only going to have a one week can kick this winter as to potential winter weather. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 Pretty good disco in the MA long-range thread centered on the dictionary, drugs, and a little weather thrown in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 7 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Pretty good disco in the MA long-range thread centered on the dictionary, drugs, and a little weather thrown in. It's the DC culture. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 13 minutes ago, mitchnick said: It's the DC culture. A polite way to say it, nice. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 @Bubbler86 guess what? Roundtop opens for the season...tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: @Bubbler86 guess what? Roundtop opens for the season...tomorrow. That is pretty amazing. The low highs this week must have really helped them out. Do not see the same for Liberty at least on their web site. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 Just now, Bubbler86 said: That is pretty amazing. The low highs this week must have really helped them out. Do not see the same for Liberty at least on their web site. The trails don't look that great but far better than just a few days ago. I can't remember the last year that Roundtop didn't beat Liberty and/or Whitetail for opening day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: The trails don't look that great but far better than just a few days ago. I can't remember the last year that Roundtop didn't beat Liberty and/or Whitetail for opening day. To me looking at this pic, Liberty is not even close especially with rain and 50's coming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: To me looking at this pic, Liberty is not even close especially with rain and 50's coming. Agreed - not super familiar with Liberty like I am with Roundtop (2 of my kids had passes when they were teens) but don't they suffer from having a lot of south-facing terrain? Roundtop maximizes retention with a lot of terrain that sees little sun until later in the season. Sunny, dry days don't hurt them. It's rain and high dews that are crushing. (same for any resort) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Agreed - not super familiar with Liberty like I am with Roundtop (2 of my kids had passes when they were teens) but don't they suffer from having a lot of south-facing terrain? Roundtop maximizes retention with a lot of terrain that sees little sun until later in the season. Sunny, dry days don't hurt them up. It's rain and high dews that are crushing. (same for any resort) I know at Whitetail a lot of trails face South because I can see them from my house on a clear day. I feel like the Liberty ones face more West or Northwest but trying to gauge though off driving up there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted December 21, 2023 Share Posted December 21, 2023 20 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I know at Whitetail a lot of trails face South because I can see them from my house on a clear day. I feel like the Liberty ones face more West or Northwest but trying to gauge though off driving up there. They have some that face east as well that are on the “backside” of the Mtn. I can see those slopes from my house in Hanover and they are starting to whiten up nicely. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 18z GEFS looks loaded with potential for that first week of January. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 30 this morning, warmed up overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 They have some that face east as well that are on the “backside” of the Mtn. I can see those slopes from my house in Hanover and they are starting to whiten up nicely.You can see Whitetail from Hanover? That's impressive. I've been to Whitetail. I didn't think it was large enough to be seen from that far away. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 1 minute ago, Atomixwx said: You can see Whitetail from Hanover? That's impressive. I've been to Whitetail. I didn't think it was large enough to be seen from that far away. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk He mentioned Liberty in the same sentence. Nice try. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 19 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: 30 this morning, warmed up overnight. Got down to 25 here but up to 31 here as well. The real cold air held a bit east of what the rgem as forecasting. Low to mid 20's in Chester county right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 17 minutes ago, Wxdavis5784 said: He mentioned Liberty in the same sentence. Nice try. What is also impressive (segue) is what Whitetails power bill must be despite not hosting paying skiers. They have had their main slope lights on every night for weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: What is also impressive (segue) is what Whitetails power bill must be despite not hosting paying skiers. They have had their main slope lights on every night for weeks. LOL. Liberty has not turned the lights on yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 He mentioned Liberty in the same sentence. Nice try.Hey smartass, I wasn't trying to get you on a "gotcha" moment like some asshole. I misread. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 Better role out some more ensembles because the Op GFS is not really getting cold enough air down into the US now. Next (model run)! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 Just now, Atomixwx said: Hey smartass, I wasn't trying to get you on a "gotcha" moment like some asshole. I misread. Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk I’m not being a smartass. But I certainly thought you were. Whitetail is like 50-60 miles east of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 22, 2023 Share Posted December 22, 2023 Better role out some more ensembles because the Op GFS is not really getting cold enough air down into the US now. Next! I was thinking that must have happened because it was awful quiet in here overnight.Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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